Ray Jay wrote:It's an interesting poll. I've certainly been confounded by his popularity. It all seems to be based on his hitting the right emotions, but not on policy, because his policy ideas are not particularly conservative, perhaps with the exception of immigration.
It is absolute frustration with politicians. Some in the GOP base are (rightly, imnsho) ticked off with Boehner and McConnell for failing to exercise their Constitutional power to do much of anything to stop Obama. There seems little point in voting for Republicans--the budget keeps going up, the border doesn't get secured, our country gets pushed around all over the globe, and the President keeps skirting the Constitution.
A lot is said about racism, but let me say this: no President in our history could get away with as much unconstitutional activity as this one. Republicans are terrified of being labeled "racists" if they even utter the "i" word.
From the poll, this is an interesting tidbit:
The survey also finds a majority of Trump supporters say they would vote for him as an independent candidate for president, in the event he does not win the Republican nomination.
And, I see it in my FB feed. Mostly, these folks are those who think Hillary committed murder. In other words, it's the conspiracy nuts and those who are so mad they don't care what Trump actually stands for. He is a celebrity and embodies the "DC is filled with morons" rage.
No matter what the polls say, he will make so many gaffes between now and election day he will not get 10% of the votes. My guess is more like 4-5% as a 3rd Party. And, if he were to be the GOP nominee, it would be the end of the party. We would see a new one take its place.
In other words, even if the Republican nominee is more conservative than Trump (e.g. Cruz or ) or liberal (e.g. Bush), or libertarian (e.g. Paul) or pro-life (Santorum, Walker, Huckabee), etc. they will vote with their anger, and not with their reason or ideology, per se. They will throw the election because emotionally Donald is striking the right nerve, whether it makes sense to do so, or not.
Because they see the flaws in the GOP and know the Democrats are little more than Social Democrats. They are looking for someone who says something "new" and he does that.
I think when it becomes clear Trump can't win, he'll exit. He won't waste his money on a purely quixotic venture. However, it will take some time for him to wake from his delusion.
24 Jul 2015, 11:54 am 
