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Post 14 Apr 2011, 1:24 pm

Steve

I don't doubt George's intelligence. I doubt his genuineness with regard to being a fence-sitter politically.


Regarding intelligence, I note that El Capitan picked me 6th when I was on his Patriot Games team. Oh, wait a minute . . . that means the other captains had the same opinion . . . Hmmm . . .

Nevertheless, I really do think of myself as a fence-sitter. Sure, I'm left of center in 2011 America, but I'm right of center in 1975 America. Nelson Rockefeller's my man. I thought and still think a lot of Paul O'Neil, and Colin Powell, but there is no place in American politics for people like me (or them, clearly!). So I go in and vote for third parties. Others make their impulse vote. Call it a lack of education, if you will Steve, but maybe a lot of voters just don't like the choices on the menu. This is a larger, longer-term issue that I don't see getting better anytime soon.
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Post 14 Apr 2011, 1:51 pm

Steve
Hmm, sitting on trillions of dollars? Unusual behavior for capitalist pigs. Maybe they don't think they can make a profit? Why would that be? Increased regulations? Higher medical insurance costs and requirements because of Obamacare? Overall economic uncertainty because of QE2
?

Unusual? Not really Steve. There are often periods where people with money sit and abide their time to invest... I'm sure most of it this time is uncertainty. The point is that if they had paid a higher tax, they'd probably still be sitting on the sidelines but your deficit would be lower. By quite a bit.
And face it, if Bush hadn't cut taxes for the wealthy, without any effect on employment or the economy, he could have run a much smaller deficit and the accumulated debt at the time of the 08 crash would have been smaller.

I note that the Poll you reference didn't ask "Do you think people with incomes over $250K pay a fair tax?" That's the only tax increase Obama is really talking about is't it?
Comments from your article:
Sandra Jennings, a retired teacher in South Bend, Ind., said her federal taxes are fair, but she thinks rich people get off too easily.
Rich people, she said in an interview, "get all these loopholes. The middle class does not have loopholes."
Mari Lemelson of Edison, N.J., said, "I have a big problem with the millionaires, at least ...

The point is that Obama has hit a strategic sweet spot.
In the end, there will have to be 4 things for the budget to made sane. (That is small surpluses in good times..)
1) the economy must grow.
2) Expenditures in many things have to be decreased, including defense, corporate subsidies etc.
3) There will have to be changes in Medicare that allows Medicare to start using its weight to negotiate lower medical costs. Perhaps a move away from fee for service as a standard.
4) Entitlements will have to be changed. Perhaps an older retirement age, means tests, deindexing ....

What's interesting is that its now all on the table, and the public seems prepared to deal with some negative personal outcome. Call it sacrifice. But the idea that defending the continuation of the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy 3% is going to be a winner for the republicans going forward seems ludicrous. Although Obama caved in December, he caved before the last 4 months have "educated" the public or prepared them enough to accept the harsh medicine.
Now that EVERYONE is saying much the same thing. (Ryan and Obama aren't that different in saying why the cuts are essential...) he can push the republicans into a corner defending the lower taxes and their attacks on medicare. (how it will and has bern framed...)
Obama has simply been pragmatic up till now, and now that people are prepared to follow he'll lead...
Which bodes well for his re-election campaign. That and the clown show of potential opponents under way. (Your man Trump is a real piece of work.)
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 9:15 am

rickyp wrote:Steve
Hmm, sitting on trillions of dollars? Unusual behavior for capitalist pigs. Maybe they don't think they can make a profit? Why would that be? Increased regulations? Higher medical insurance costs and requirements because of Obamacare? Overall economic uncertainty because of QE2
?

Unusual? Not really Steve. There are often periods where people with money sit and abide their time to invest... I'm sure most of it this time is uncertainty.


Right, when the GOVERNMENT causes uncertainty, can it really be upset when people stick their money under a mattress? If they knew they what the playing field was going to look like, what their costs would be, what the environmental regulations were going to be, etc., they would invest appropriately. Rich people didn't get rich by burying their money in the backyard. In this case, they are protecting it from uncertainty.

The point is that if they had paid a higher tax, they'd probably still be sitting on the sidelines but your deficit would be lower. By quite a bit.


No, if you raised taxes, they would be sheltering even more money. I wish Obama/Pelosi/Reid would have had the guts to follow your advice. The economy would be much worse and the GOP would have won control of the Senate. Because the Socialists failed to act more fully on their own beliefs, they were able to maintain a modicum of respectability. While I am happy for those who did not lose their jobs because they did not raise taxes, politically it would have been advantageous to have seen the "glorious" results of raising taxes in a recession.

I note that the Poll you reference didn't ask "Do you think people with incomes over $250K pay a fair tax?" That's the only tax increase Obama is really talking about is't it?


Which will hit a lot of small businesses right between the eyes. Beyond that, it's a cynical political ploy (red meat to the base) because a tax increase won't pass anyway. Remember this: four months ago, Obama was BRAGGING about continuing those tax breaks.

The point is that Obama has hit a strategic sweet spot.
In the end, there will have to be 4 things for the budget to made sane. (That is small surpluses in good times..)
1) the economy must grow.
2) Expenditures in many things have to be decreased, including defense, corporate subsidies etc.
3) There will have to be changes in Medicare that allows Medicare to start using its weight to negotiate lower medical costs. Perhaps a move away from fee for service as a standard.
4) Entitlements will have to be changed. Perhaps an older retirement age, means tests, deindexing ....


Obama has "hit" nothing. He put out a nine page memo. His skeleton proposal can't be scored--there is no "there" there. It's a vapor, not a plan.

He did not and will not substantively address 3 and 4. He will not do anything on 2, other than raise taxes and cut defense. His approach will negatively affect 1. In other words, his vaporware-ish approach is not only not a "sweet spot," it is a fraud and a disaster in the making.

Although Obama caved in December, he caved before the last 4 months have "educated" the public or prepared them enough to accept the harsh medicine.


As usual, you know nothing about American politics. What the last four months have shown is that the public is tired of Obama's policies. While they like him personally, what's his rating on the economy? On the budget?

Now that EVERYONE is saying much the same thing. (Ryan and Obama aren't that different in saying why the cuts are essential...)


Rubbish. I'll tell you what. I will send you $100 if you can do a side-by-side comparison of the numbers. Here's a hint: I would make it a million dollars, but I don't have that. Obama gave few numbers--really just some vague "savings" and "cuts" and a "total." His own office calls it a "framework." Why? Because no one knows what's in it--because he drew it up on a napkin before strolling in to attack the Republicans after inviting them to sit in the front row.

The man is a coward and an empty suit. Instead of putting Ryan in the front row so he could lambast him without response, he should challenge him to a debate. Who knows more? If it's your man Obama, he should shellack that poor rube Ryan, right?

He is the most spineless President in the history of our Republic. I bet Jimmy Carter could stare him down.

. . . he can push the republicans into a corner defending the lower taxes and their attacks on medicare. (how it will and has bern framed...)


Because the Coward-in-Chief has taken the bold step of lying and demagoguing. He won't have an adult conversation about issues because all he cares about is getting re-elected. If the country has to face bankruptcy somewhere down the road, so be it.

Obama has simply been pragmatic up till now, and now that people are prepared to follow he'll lead...
Which bodes well for his re-election campaign. That and the clown show of potential opponents under way. (Your man Trump is a real piece of work.)


My man Trump? Not my choice. I think he's right about a few issues, but so what?

I have to say the debates between the pseudo-intellectual (and vapid) Obama and the fiery Trump would be entertaining. I would love to hear Trump say, "Listen, I'm worth billions. I have made and lost and remade billions. You? You've never run a lemonade stand. You wouldn't last the first week on my show."

I think there is only two ways Obama gets re-elected:

1. The economy massively rebounds. That appears not to be happening.

2. The Republicans nominate Palin. I really doubt she is running.
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 9:52 am

Btw, part of the reason I've lost all respect for the President is outlined by Kudlow here:

But President Obama unveiled a much different tax-reform vision in his much-anticipated debt speech on Wednesday. He would raise tax rates on upper-income earners and small businesses. He also would eliminate deductions and credits, or so called "tax expenditures." The president referred to these tax-expenditure reductions as "spending cuts." In his context, they most certainly are not. They are more tax hikes.

Basically, the president is giving successful earners and small-business filers a double tax hike. That's what it really is.

Of course, the president's formula of estimating higher revenues to lower the deficit is completely wrong. The reality is that higher tax rates will slow the economy, inhibit new start-up companies, penalize investors, and may very well lose revenues and increase the deficit.

In the latter part of his speech the president did mention some kind of middle-class and corporate tax reform. But he gave no specifics.

He also touted $750 billion in discretionary spending cuts, but again without any details. Most of that amount probably comes from the recent continuing resolution to avoid a budget shutdown. Since Obama is extrapolating out twelve years, who knows how this is scored.

On the entitlement front, Obama rejected Paul Ryan's consumer-choice and competition approach to Medicare reform. Instead, he invoked the Obamacare central-planning agency called the Independent Payment Advisory Board, which is supposed to make reductions in Medicare. Medicare itself would exercise more price controls on prescription drugs, rolling back the consumer choice and competition established under George W. Bush.

In total, President Obama is claiming $4 trillion in deficit reduction over twelve years. But we'll never see it. Interest expense savings is supposed to make up $1 trillion of that amount, while the rest will somehow come from a concoction of fewer tax deductions, higher tax rates, and $400 billion in defense-spending cuts.

In effect, the president has moved to the left. He has embraced the Democrats' so called progressive caucus in the House by slashing defense and jacking up taxes, all while offering no serious entitlement reform. (Hat tip to Jimmy Pethokoukis for nailing this earlier in the week.)

My final point is this: President Obama's harsh-rhetoric rejection of the Ryan budget and his new (presidential) campaign to raise taxes on the rich sets up a huge confrontation with House Republicans on the eve of the hugely important debt-limit expiration.


However, the lies he told were nothing compared to the way he told them. Shameful:

The three Republican congressmen saw it as a rare ray of sunshine in Washington’s stormy budget battle: an invitation from the White House to hear President Obama lay out his ideas for taming the national debt.

They expected a peace offering, a gesture of goodwill aimed at smoothing a path toward compromise. But soon after taking their seats at George Washington University on Wednesday, they found themselves under fire for plotting “a fundamentally different America” from the one most Americans know and love.

“What came to my mind was: Why did he invite us?” Rep. Dave Camp (R-Mich.) said in an interview Thursday. “It’s just a wasted opportunity.”

The situation was all the more perplexing because Obama has to work with these guys: Camp is chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, responsible for trade, taxes and urgent legislation to raise the legal limit on government borrowing. Rep. Jeb Hensarling (Tex.) chairs the House Republican Conference. And Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) is House Budget Committee chairman and the author of the spending blueprint Obama lacerated as “deeply pessimistic” during his 44-minute address.

At a time when the parties risk economic catastrophe unless they can come together to raise the debt limit, Obama’s partisan tone made no sense, Republicans across Capitol Hill said Thursday. Even some Obama allies wondered whether the president had made a tactical error.

“Yes,” the tenor of the speech was surprising, said Erskine Bowles, who headed Obama’s fiscal commission and is working with a bipartisan group of six senators to develop a compromise plan to rein in borrowing.


He invited the Republicans to a policy speech, then railed against them for 25 minutes before giving a scant "framework." He lied. He demagogued. He misrepresented. He was a politician at his absolute worst, having invited his opponents under false pretenses.

The man is THE embodiment of hypocrisy--pretending to be above the fray while throwing mud at his opponents and claiming to want to work with them.

Huckabee is starting to look good.

I love Romney.

Daniels walks on water.

Huntsman is a miracle worker.

Pawlenty is a prophet.

Whoever emerges from the GOP side is my hero. My disgust for President Obama's actions has reached that level.
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 9:58 am

geojanes wrote:Regarding intelligence, I note that El Capitan picked me 6th when I was on his Patriot Games team. Oh, wait a minute . . . that means the other captains had the same opinion . . . Hmmm . . .


Think of me as the Patriots when they got Brady. I saw your mad skills. I was just hoping the others would not until it was too late.

Nevertheless, I really do think of myself as a fence-sitter. Sure, I'm left of center in 2011 America, but I'm right of center in 1975 America.


So, you're saying the country has drifted right?

As evidenced by a Republican who ran up huge deficits (well, until Obama creamed him) and created a new entitlement?

As evidenced by America electing one of the most liberal Senators in history President?

As evidenced by Nancy Pelosi being Speaker for four years?

As evidenced by the reactionary social movements taking hold?

You may have convinced yourself that you are a fence-sitter. I don't doubt your sincerity. However, someone who voted for Ralph Nader twice is not a candidate to vote for a Republican for President.
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 10:55 am

geojanes wrote:Regarding intelligence, I note that El Capitan picked me 6th when I was on his Patriot Games team. Oh, wait a minute . . . that means the other captains had the same opinion . . . Hmmm . . .


Think of me as the Patriots when they got Brady. I saw your mad skills. I was just hoping the others would not until it was too late.


We did win the whole thing that year, so maybe it was a shrewd move . . .

I respect Ralph Nader because, being a former car guy and Corvair owner, I think he's done a lot of good with his life. Had he a chance of winning, however, I may not have voted for him. More on topic, I think your attitude about my political views, which is similar to your previous comments regarding "RINOs," is part of the reason Obama will be reelected. In the American presidential system, big tent=winner while small tent=loser. Here you and your brethren in the Church of Ronald Reagan are working on excluding me, Colin Powell, Olympia Snowe, Lincoln Chafee, Paul O'Neil, etc.. Fine, nominate Mike Huckabee and let's see where that gets ya. Or one of those "you betcha" women.

The nation has drifted right over the past couple of generations, don't you think? Now, I'm talking about fundamentally, rather than budgetary stuff which is ideologically neutral. For instance, 40 years ago, we didn't think twice about taking property from people, tearing down their homes and giving them housing funded by your tax dollars. The concept of urban renewal was so optimistic, so liberal, it could never be promoted today. Think about it: "Oh, your house is run down. Let the gov't take it, tear it down and build another one for you!" How would people respond to that today? 40-50 years ago, they said, Great! Gov't won wars, went to the moon, built the interstates, built a Great Society for goodness sake! There was a lot of faith in govt culturally, which lead to people looking to gov't to help solve problems. Forty years ago, you really could say you were a socialist with a straight-face, because more gov't was not automatically a terrible thing. Not many people did, but a modern relic from that era, Bernie Sanders still says that's what he is. When he goes, he may be the last.

So yeah, you're convincing me Steve: In 2012 Rockefeller Republicans = Regan Democrats of 1980. I also understand why, because for men of faith--the church of RR--you don't let just anyone in, you've really got to be a man of faith, a republican true believer. It makes me sad.
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 10:56 am

Turns out Congressional Progressive Caucus (CPC) is the largest caucus within the Democratic caucus in the United States Congress with 83 declared members. They produced a budget proposal. You might not have heard of it. Probably because they are subservient to Obama, but none the less it is an interesting proposal in that it beats the budget deficit reductions of the Obama and Paul Ryan.
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 11:25 am

Neal Anderth wrote:Turns out Congressional Progressive Caucus (CPC) is the largest caucus within the Democratic caucus in the United States Congress with 83 declared members. They produced a budget proposal. You might not have heard of it. Probably because they are subservient to Obama, but none the less it is an interesting proposal in that it beats the budget deficit reductions of the Obama and Paul Ryan.


You're right, never heard of it. There are some budgetarily effective (and pretty radical) things in there. I probably never heard of it because it takes about five sacred cows of the Church of Ronald Regan, and three lambs given protection by Mr. Obama and roasts them on a spit, and hands out red meat dinners to the poor.
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 11:28 am

It is almost balanced between the left and the right. I would reduce even more, but this could be a good start...
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 11:55 am

geojanes
The nation has drifted right over the past couple of generations, don't you think? Now, I'm talking about fundamentally

Maybe you don't consider increasing liberal attitudes on social issues a left right thing...but how do things like attitudes towards race, racial intermarriage, acceptance of gays, gay marriage, place of women in society fit in with this generalization? On most of these social issues isn't the US becoming less conservative?
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 12:15 pm

rickyp wrote:geojanes
The nation has drifted right over the past couple of generations, don't you think? Now, I'm talking about fundamentally

Maybe you don't consider increasing liberal attitudes on social issues a left right thing...but how do things like attitudes towards race, racial intermarriage, acceptance of gays, gay marriage, place of women in society fit in with this generalization? On most of these social issues isn't the US becoming less conservative?


Great point. Can I say that socially the country has become much more liberal, but politically more conservative?

In some ways social liberalism may have grown out of political conservatism, as in the government should keep it's nose out of my business! It shouldn't care who I love, or marry, or what my gender is. Maybe. But honestly, I didn't even think about that until you mentioned it.
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 12:48 pm

bbauska wrote:It is almost balanced between the left and the right. I would reduce even more, but this could be a good start...


Did you read this?

I'm sorry, but it's Obamanomics on steroids. Massive tax increases--even on corporations' profits overseas. That idea is really brilliant. Corporations would never do something like close shop here and move the rest of their operation--or spin off some shell company to avoid the taxes. I'm sure that will work . . . not.

Increase taxes on "the rich" (up to 49%), corporations (payroll taxes), other income.

Increase "investments."

Increase pork (aka "transportation projects" that no one wants)

Increase governmental social engineering (Infrastructure Bank will be a means of "spreading the wealth" to minority corporations, unions, etc, regardless of price, etc.)

This thing is a budget only a central planner could love. The Kremlin's on the line. They want to know who stole Kruschev's budgeting plan from the 50's.
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 1:10 pm

Steve, really? Anything that's from the left == Sovietism?

I guess if that's the way this is heading, you were right about the demagoguery...
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 1:19 pm

geojanes wrote:More on topic, I think your attitude about my political views, which is similar to your previous comments regarding "RINOs," is part of the reason Obama will be reelected. In the American presidential system, big tent=winner while small tent=loser. Here you and your brethren in the Church of Ronald Reagan are working on excluding me, Colin Powell, Olympia Snowe, Lincoln Chafee, Paul O'Neil, etc..


By that reasoning, Michael Moore should be the reason you won't vote for Obama. How is he any less Left than I am right?

You're just proving my point, so thank you!

Fine, nominate Mike Huckabee and let's see where that gets ya. Or one of those "you betcha" women.


I mentioned several candidates. In fact, specifically, I said I thought Palin could not win. So . . . this is more indication that you are not a swing voter. You are a liberal. There is no Republican who might possibly run that you would support.

Who was the last Republican candidate for President that you voted for? My guess is you never have. If that is the case, you have to redefine "swing voter" to call yourself one. You're not open to voting for a GOP presidential candidate, so if there's a "swing" it's from Democrat to something more liberal.

The nation has drifted right over the past couple of generations, don't you think? Now, I'm talking about fundamentally, rather than budgetary stuff which is ideologically neutral.


Spending is not "ideologically neutral." Someone who is genuinely conservative does not want to expand the government's reach and therefore is less willing to spend more. That's why Bush was not a conservative and most Republicans have not been as conservative as I would like.

For instance, 40 years ago, we didn't think twice about taking property from people, tearing down their homes and giving them housing funded by your tax dollars. The concept of urban renewal was so optimistic, so liberal, it could never be promoted today.


Maybe that's because we've seen the results? Not just the theoretical results, but actual real-life results? Been in any housing projects lately? Do they promote independence, a desire to improve one's life? Or, do they promote dependence and inter-generational poverty?

Gov't won wars, went to the moon, built the interstates, built a Great Society for goodness sake!


Did the War on Poverty succeed?

There was a lot of faith in govt culturally, which lead to people looking to gov't to help solve problems. Forty years ago, you really could say you were a socialist with a straight-face, because more gov't was not automatically a terrible thing. Not many people did, but a modern relic from that era, Bernie Sanders still says that's what he is. When he goes, he may be the last.


Swing voter? :laugh:

Nice guy. Smart. Sure, I'll go for both of those.

Swing voter? Not a chance.

Socialism is a terrible thing. Saying you are a socialist is an indication that you do not understand human nature. Socialism cannot succeed because it has at its core a foundational belief in the altruism of Man. The problem is we are greedy. We are never satisfied. We are flawed and we are, to one degree or another, selfish.

A socialist is someone who, ultimately, has to impose his/her vision on everyone else. Without force, socialism cannot take root. If it rises to power, it ultimately devolves into a system wherein the people cannot keep up with the promises the government makes--that's what's happening in much of Europe.

So yeah, you're convincing me Steve: In 2012 Rockefeller Republicans = Regan Democrats of 1980.


I'm not convincing you of anything. You've always been a fan of big government.

I also understand why, because for men of faith--the church of RR--you don't let just anyone in, you've really got to be a man of faith, a republican true believer. It makes me sad.


So much better to have a GOP that stands for nothing. That way, like Pelosi said the other day, elections mean nothing--since both parties (in her perfect world) want the same thing: a growing government.
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Post 15 Apr 2011, 1:22 pm

danivon wrote:Steve, really? Anything that's from the left == Sovietism?

I guess if that's the way this is heading, you were right about the demagoguery...


No, but look at the plan--it is all about taxing and spending. Like we can do that and stumble to prosperity. When Schakowsky is part of the solution, you're on your way to socialism. That's not demagoguery. That's her record--as it is with much of the "progressive" caucus. You may not like it, but you cannot dispute it--she and her ilk believe government is always the solution and the rich are always the enemy.