GMTom wrote:how about you share this chart once again, it being so supportive of your position that the ban on assault weapons was so effective in reducing gun crimes. I went back and I see nothing to support that claim. I have seen only one chart on the internet that attempts to make this claim (I think the one you used) and that chart too is full of holes.
I really don't know what you are on about. I suspect you don't either. If you know what chart it is, can't you link to the post it's in? Or tell us what one you are on about?
I used some charts to show the relationship between gun ownership and gun death, using data from the 50 US states. You claimed there was no correlation, even though I was able to show you the trend line.
However, the question you are asking me to deal with is not simply about general gun ownership, but about the effect of the assault weapons ban over time
Lets see that chart again, I'm sure it shows no correlation since the statistics back that up.
The ban resulted in several low years of "mass shootings" along with one of the largest right in the middle.
What chart? If it's on the thread, tell us which post it's in.
In your quest to see 'charts', perhaps this may help. It's quite simple. It shows that if a mass shooter uses an assault weapon, they shoot more people, and they kill more people. It's not exactly surprising, but surely it does help to explain why banning assault weapons makes mass killings less of a problem (while not eliminating them):
http://www.businessinsider.com/assault- ... art-2013-2This link has no graphs, but it does explain some of the effects of the ban in effect from 1994-2004:
http://www.salon.com/2012/12/26/banning ... ons_works/The single formal assessment of the ban, as required by Congress in passing the law, was conducted by criminologists Christopher Koper, Jeffrey Roth and others at the University of Pennsylvania (Koper is now at George Mason). The National Institute of Justice, the research arm of the Department of Justice, paid for the evaluation, which was first conducted in 1999 and updated in 2004, and looked at everything from homicide rates to gun prices.
A few key findings emerged. Overall, banned guns and magazines were used in up to a quarter of gun crimes before the ban. Assault pistols were more common than assault rifles in crimes. Large-capacity magazines, which were also prohibited, may be a bigger problem than assault weapons. While just 2 to 8 percent of gun crimes were committed with assault weapons, large-capacity magazines were used in 14 to 26 percent of of firearm crimes. About 20 percent of privately owned guns were fitted with the magazines.
But even though assault weapons were responsible for a fraction of the total number of gun deaths overall, the weapons and other guns equipped with large-capacity magazines “tend to account for a higher share of guns used in murders of police and mass public shootings,” the study found.
If you included 'large-capacity magazines' for semi-automatic weapons in a definition of 'assault weapon' (after all, we are not bound to use the old definition you are deriding, do we?), then there would be a clear indication of potential benefit.
An October 2012 study from Johns Hopkins, which looked at newer data than Koper’s, concluded that that “easy access to firearms with large-capacity magazines facilitates higher casualties in mass shootings.”
So, according to the official study, was the ban effective in stopping killings? The short answer is yes, though it’s a bit unclear because of the massive loopholes in the law. “Following implementation of the ban, the share of gun crimes involving AWs [assault weapons] declined by 17 percent to 72 percent across the localities examined for this study (Baltimore, Miami, Milwaukee, Boston, St. Louis, and Anchorage),” the Koper study concluded.
Data from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) also shows a significant drop in assault weapon usage in gun crimes. In the five-year period before the enactment of the ban, the weapons constituted almost 5 percent of the guns traced by the Bureau (the ATF is responsible for tracking guns used in crimes), while they accounted for just 1.61 percent of gun traces after the ban went into effect — a drop of 66 percent. The effect accelerated over time, as the guns presumably became harder to find.
Even the weak 1994-04 ban had an effect. Those kinds of guns were used a lot less as a proportion of gun crime (and, as we know, gun death fell sharply from 1994-2001).
On spree shootings, this guy -
http://voices.yahoo.com/could-assault-w ... 45406.html - worked out the different rates of spree shootings in years with the ban and years without:
Of course, the Assault Weapons Ban was only law for 10 years, while we had more years (39) without an Assault Weapons Ban. So I calculated a ratio of spree shootings to years of the study. For two spree shootings during the Assault Weapons Ban, there were 10 years: shootings-to-years = 20 percent. For the non-Assault Weapons Ban years (39), there were 14 spree shootings: shootings-to-years = 35.8 percent.
The rate of such shootings doubles for years without the ban. But you claim it had no effect
This link is text only, so no graphs for you, and it's from early on in the ban, but has some interesting conclusions:
https://www.ncjrs.gov/txtfiles1/173405.txt--Criminal use of the banned guns declined, at least temporarily, after the
law went into effect, which suggests that the legal stock of preban assault
weapons was, at least for the short term, largely in the hands of collectors
and dealers.
--Evidence suggests that the ban may have contributed to a reduction in
the gun murder rate and murders of police officers by criminals armed
with assault weapons.
--The ban has failed to reduce the average number of victims per gun
murder incident or multiple gunshot wound victims.
Well, fewer dead cops is clearly not the effect you are looking for.
If you are looking at a graph on here, that I have posted, and it vexes you, rather than jjust repeating "your chart" and telling me to post it again, try making it clearer which one it is. That way I can respond. Until then you are just being confusing.