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Post 24 Jan 2016, 12:44 pm

Ray Jay wrote:
Doctor Fate wrote:
Sassenach wrote:I must admit I'm not really a fan of Michael Bloomberg. His variety of nanny-state liberalism doesn't really do it for me.


Exactly. This is why him getting in is golden to me. He is, in almost every respect, a Democrat--and one who believes there is nothing the government doesn't know how to do better than the individual does.


As it relates to gay marriage, abortion, and gun control, Bloomberg is a Democrat. But as it relates to economic policy he is not a Democrat. It's rare that you will agree with a politician on everything; Bloomberg is the best fit for me.

For impact on the race, I think you have to go state-by-state. If Cruz or Trump are up against Sanders, Bloomberg would take some Republican votes and many independent ones.


He won't take many Republican votes. What kind of Republican wants restrictions on sodas?

Trump: vulgarian authoritarian.
Bloomberg: nice authoritarian.

Sanders will get the Democratic nomination if Hillary is arrested and everyone in the national committee is sent to an asylum. They will not let a non-Democrat get their nomination.
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Post 24 Jan 2016, 12:49 pm

I think Bloomberg would take plenty of votes from Republicans if Trump were the alternative.
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Post 24 Jan 2016, 1:29 pm

A question for those of you who know more about this than I do: What would happen in the event that Bloomberg runs and manages to win a few states ? I realise this is very unlikely to happen,but let's say that every state goes the same way as 2012 except Bloomberg wins New York and California. At this point nobody would have enough delegates to form a majority. What's the mechanism for resolving that situation ?
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Post 24 Jan 2016, 1:41 pm

Sassenach wrote:A question for those of you who know more about this than I do: What would happen in the event that Bloomberg runs and manages to win a few states ? I realise this is very unlikely to happen,but let's say that every state goes the same way as 2012 except Bloomberg wins New York and California. At this point nobody would have enough delegates to form a majority. What's the mechanism for resolving that situation ?


http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/faq.html#no270
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Post 24 Jan 2016, 1:50 pm

Ah, so in effect that would give us President Trump by default ?
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Post 24 Jan 2016, 2:44 pm

Sassenach wrote:I think Bloomberg would take plenty of votes from Republicans if Trump were the alternative.


I agree. Trump scares the crap out of a lot of smart people. And Bloomberg, you can say a lot of things about him, but he's not scary.

Many times I have posted in these forums speaking favorably about Bloomberg, and I will say that by the end of his third term my opinions had switched a bit. He was a great administrator, and really built a responsive government, but by the third term, when he never had to run for election again, his administration really pushed things Bloomberg wanted to get done, regardless of what people thought. The relationship between the electorate did seem to change from citizens to subjects and I was actually glad to see him go (although no one seems to like his replacement.)

Doubt it this will be an issue, but if he does decide to run and we have Trump on one side and Hillary on the other, Bloomberg has a chance, if only because he has vastly more money to spend than either of them.
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Post 24 Jan 2016, 3:24 pm

Doctor Fate wrote:He won't take many Republican votes. What kind of Republican wants restrictions on sodas?


He gets a lot of flak for this (which never did pass BTW,) but his motivation was something a fiscal conservative can really appreciate.

NYC and NYS spend enormous amounts of $$ on Medicaid, which is health care to non-senior, non-veteran, poor. Those numbers were giant and getting bigger, and one of the reasons is type II diabetes in young obese people. One (of the many) causes of obesity is drinking empty calories in sugary drinks. These also cause real problems for people who have untreated diabetes who are ending up in emergency rooms and having parts of their bodies amputated until they die a terribly expensive premature death. So these people cost a fortune AND they get so sick so early they can't really ever be expected to be a productive member of society.

Bloomberg's primary motivation was fiscal. Less soda, less obesity, less diabetes and complications, less public money spent. You may not agree with it, but it was a motivation that the fiscal conservative republicans can understand.
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Post 24 Jan 2016, 3:40 pm

Sassenach wrote:Ah, so in effect that would give us President Trump by default ?

Well, at present over 30 states have a Republican majority delegation to the House. Chances are that the number would not go down much in November.
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Post 24 Jan 2016, 4:52 pm

Sassenach wrote:I think Bloomberg would take plenty of votes from Republicans if Trump were the alternative.


Why? He is anti everything the GOP stands for.

I loath Trump but would choose him over Bloomie 6 days a week and twice on Sunday. Bloomberg is a liberal--he's just not a nutty socialist.
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Post 24 Jan 2016, 4:55 pm

geojanes wrote:
Sassenach wrote:I think Bloomberg would take plenty of votes from Republicans if Trump were the alternative.


I agree. Trump scares the crap out of a lot of smart people. And Bloomberg, you can say a lot of things about him, but he's not scary.

Many times I have posted in these forums speaking favorably about Bloomberg, and I will say that by the end of his third term my opinions had switched a bit. He was a great administrator, and really built a responsive government, but by the third term, when he never had to run for election again, his administration really pushed things Bloomberg wanted to get done, regardless of what people thought. The relationship between the electorate did seem to change from citizens to subjects and I was actually glad to see him go (although no one seems to like his replacement.)

Doubt it this will be an issue, but if he does decide to run and we have Trump on one side and Hillary on the other, Bloomberg has a chance, if only because he has vastly more money to spend than either of them.


That is a pretty narrow band of candidates. They all espouse nearly the same policies, save on defense and immigration.

One is a complete narcissist.

The second is a narcissist and a felon.

The third would be a narcissist and someone who wants to restrict individual freedom by expanding the reach of government more than ever.

If those are the three candidates, we need a new system.
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Post 24 Jan 2016, 5:04 pm

geojanes wrote:
Doctor Fate wrote:He won't take many Republican votes. What kind of Republican wants restrictions on sodas?


He gets a lot of flak for this (which never did pass BTW,) but his motivation was something a fiscal conservative can really appreciate.


The idea itself is offensive. I want fiscal conservatism. In no way would I endorse this kind of government intervention to try and make it happen.

NYC and NYS spend enormous amounts of $$ on Medicaid, which is health care to non-senior, non-veteran, poor. Those numbers were giant and getting bigger, and one of the reasons is type II diabetes in young obese people. One (of the many) causes of obesity is drinking empty calories in sugary drinks. These also cause real problems for people who have untreated diabetes who are ending up in emergency rooms and having parts of their bodies amputated until they die a terribly expensive premature death. So these people cost a fortune AND they get so sick so early they can't really ever be expected to be a productive member of society.


I get it. However, this is not the remedy. Just like the NYC cigarette taxes won't stop people from smoking. Draconian measures like this just result in people avoiding them.

Bloomberg's primary motivation was fiscal. Less soda, less obesity, less diabetes and complications, less public money spent. You may not agree with it, but it was a motivation that the fiscal conservative republicans can understand.


Must be New York values. In real life, "I can't have a 32 ounce soda? Okay, I'll have two 16 ounce sodas."

Stop trying to tell me how to live, Mayor Bloomberg. I don't tell you how to live. Get out of my life.
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Post 24 Jan 2016, 5:55 pm

I thought the "left" wanted to get money OUT of politics.

If the soda issue needed to be implemented, it should be only on food stamp dollars (just like cigs). That way the people can make the choice on whether to be on the program or not, with all of its restrictions.
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Post 25 Jan 2016, 7:15 am

geo
Doubt it this will be an issue, but if he does decide to run and we have Trump on one side and Hillary on the other, Bloomberg has a chance, if only because he has vastly more money to spend than either of them.


He will not run if Hillary is the Democratic candidate. He is a big supporter of her. He would only run if Sanders looks to win. The problem is that it won't be clear till mid March that Sanders has a real chance or not. And each day that passes makes the process of getting on enough ballots more difficult.

Fate
Just like the NYC cigarette taxes won't stop people from smoking. Draconian measures like this just result in people avoiding them.


Its been proven in many jurisdictions that making cigarettes more expensive does cut down on smoking. Especially among young people under 24. Its also been proven that if you don't smoke before you are 24, you are very unlikely to ever take up the habit.
You are right that the addicts do try and avoid paying the taxes. So what?

geo
NYC and NYS spend enormous amounts of $$ on Medicaid, which is health care to non-senior, non-veteran, poor. Those numbers were giant and getting bigger, and one of the reasons is type II diabetes in young obese people. One (of the many) causes of obesity is drinking empty calories in sugary drinks. These also cause real problems for people who have untreated diabetes who are ending up in emergency rooms and having parts of their bodies amputated until they die a terribly expensive premature death. So these people cost a fortune AND they get so sick so early they can't really ever be expected to be a productive member of society

In large part because corn production is subsidized. The right place to deal with this is in Congress - ending the subsidies. But that won't happen because of the political weight of the agricultural lobby and Iowa in the primary process...
You can give props to Bloomberg for the intent, but the tax and the ban were clumsy ways to attack the problem.
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Post 25 Jan 2016, 8:11 am

bbauska wrote:I thought the "left" wanted to get money OUT of politics.

If the soda issue needed to be implemented, it should be only on food stamp dollars (just like cigs). That way the people can make the choice on whether to be on the program or not, with all of its restrictions.


Regardless of whether you and Dr. Fate are right on the merits, I think it would be a mistake to define Bloomberg on this one issue. The most important issues of the day are broad economic policy (extent of regulation / tax policy), international perspective (interventionist vs. isolationist), and social perspective (abortion rights, gun control, immigration). I guess taxing soda informs us on the 1st and 3rd, but I wouldn't define Bloomberg based on this one issue. In general he has been against excessive regulation and high taxes.
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Post 25 Jan 2016, 9:52 am

Ray Jay wrote:
bbauska wrote:I thought the "left" wanted to get money OUT of politics.

If the soda issue needed to be implemented, it should be only on food stamp dollars (just like cigs). That way the people can make the choice on whether to be on the program or not, with all of its restrictions.


Regardless of whether you and Dr. Fate are right on the merits, I think it would be a mistake to define Bloomberg on this one issue. The most important issues of the day are broad economic policy (extent of regulation / tax policy), international perspective (interventionist vs. isolationist), and social perspective (abortion rights, gun control, immigration). I guess taxing soda informs us on the 1st and 3rd, but I wouldn't define Bloomberg based on this one issue. In general he has been against excessive regulation and high taxes.


I would take Bloomberg over any Democratic candidate or Trump. How about other people's opinions if that were the 3?