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Post 30 Jun 2012, 10:57 am

Calm down, ARJ. You were implying we just don't 'understand'. I do understand, but we now know that the bill has pretty much been held up as constitutional. So, the question simply does not arise any more in a comparison between Obamacare and Romnaycare.

If you think I was being 'obnoxious' bear in mind you were basically saying we foreigners are incapable of getting the whole deal. I was merely responding in kind to your snarkiness.
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Post 30 Jun 2012, 2:14 pm

danivon wrote:Calm down, ARJ. You were implying we just don't 'understand'. I do understand, but we now know that the bill has pretty much been held up as constitutional.
Actually, I disagree with this characterization in that the main arguments for defending the mandate, i.e. Commerce Clause and Necessary and Proper were defeated. Further, the a major portion of the other major aspect of the ACA, the medicaid expansion, was ruled unconstitutional via a 7-2 vote.

danivon wrote: So, the question simply does not arise any more in a comparison between Obamacare and Romnaycare.
and again, I was answering your specific question on what is the fundamental difference between the two. That is the fundamental difference between the two.

danivon wrote:If you think I was being 'obnoxious' bear in mind you were basically saying we foreigners are incapable of getting the whole deal. I was merely responding in kind to your snarkiness.
and I was responding to your snarky "the problem with Americans" which I found completely obnoxious. The implication being Americans are too stupid to get past parochial issues. Well, Federalism is a key aspect of our system. That non-Americans want to ignore that aspect is frustrating. No matter how many time it is explained you (in the generic sense) refuse to either understand it or accept it.
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Post 30 Jun 2012, 4:34 pm

Earlier I said that "many" states will opt out of the Medicare expansion and I think someone took issue with that. They were right; "many" is too many. The ACA provides almost free money (at first) for the expansion, and few states pass up free money. But this article in the NYTimes headlined Reluctance in Some States Over Medicaid Expansion explains... well, the headline says it all.

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/30/us/politics/some-states-reluctant-over-medicaid-expansion.html?_r=2&hp
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Post 01 Jul 2012, 1:43 am

ARJ, it doesn't really matter why the individual mandate has been ruled constitutional, at least not for the ACA. Just because it didn't pass the Commerce Clause doesn't affect the fact that it passed as a tax.

And you are wrong about the expansion being ruled out. It has not been. As has the 'carrot' to states of extra funding. All that has been struck down is the 'stick' of removing funding from states that refuse the expansion.

My original question had been 'specific' in asking what the difference was, putting aside the State v Federal issue. I don't want to ignore it completely, but given that SCOTUS has ruled, clearly a lot of that difference is now ruled fine, so we come to the rest of it. The 'content' of the law, rather than the process or the source.

By the way, I'm currently in Switzerland. The US is centralised compared to the Helvetic Confederation. We non-Americans can get it, OK? I'd just like to see if you guys can 'get' that there's a fair bit more to the bill in terms of what it does.
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Post 01 Jul 2012, 5:41 am

ACA doesn't impact residents of Massachusetts very much. We already had the pre-existing condition rules and 80% for medical care rules over here (and there have been some refunds from insurance companies). The penalty/tax for not getting health insurance is very stiff for Massachusetts: it's over $1,000 per year per adult (so over $2,000 per year for my family!) and it indexes for medical inflation. So, I spend over $13,000 a year for health insurance instead of incurring that penalty. The $13,000 for health insurance is tax deductible whereas the $2,000 penalty would not be.
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Post 01 Jul 2012, 9:20 am

So, RJ, are you saying that Romneycare and Obamacare are very similar in effect?
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Post 01 Jul 2012, 3:44 pm

danivon wrote:ARJ, it doesn't really matter why the individual mandate has been ruled constitutional, at least not for the ACA. Just because it didn't pass the Commerce Clause doesn't affect the fact that it passed as a tax.
Actually yes it does Dan because it looks like there is a 5-4 majority that says the mandate is unconstitutional under both the commerce clause and the necessary and proper. If a future Congress were to eliminate the fine for not maintaining insurance, no other method of enforcement may be employed. That is actually a huge victory for conservatives.

danivon wrote:And you are wrong about the expansion being ruled out. It has not been. As has the 'carrot' to states of extra funding. All that has been struck down is the 'stick' of removing funding from states that refuse the expansion.
Except that is not a distinction without a difference. I am not trying to be snide when I explain this but you have to understand how medicaid works. Part of Medicaid is paid by the Federal Gov't and part by the State. The amount the state pays is dependent on size but is usually no less then 40%. Further, when you count in the Federal subsidy, Medicaid takes up on average about 22% of the state's budget. The problem feared with the expansion is that it will explode the amount of the state budget that must go towards Medicaid and that the federal suppliment will not be enough to cover the expansion (a pretty foregone conclusion).

Additionally, this is the first time a serious limit has been put on the Federal Government's ability to use the stick. This is also a huge win for the conservative side, especially considering that section of the opinion was joined by two on the liberal wing making it a 7-2 decision.

danivon wrote:My original question had been 'specific' in asking what the difference was, putting aside the State v Federal issue. I don't want to ignore it completely, but given that SCOTUS has ruled, clearly a lot of that difference is now ruled fine, so we come to the rest of it. The 'content' of the law, rather than the process or the source.
[/quote]

Well, then my understanding is that there is no difference. However, your original question appeared to be in regards to how Romney could be for it when he passed it but against it when Obama passed it. The answer still stands. The difference it state and federal. I feel that way. While I personally don't like the law there is no reason that Massachusetts couldn't implement it. However, I disagree with the decision and still feel it is unconstitutional.
Last edited by Archduke Russell John on 01 Jul 2012, 7:27 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Post 01 Jul 2012, 4:45 pm

danivon wrote:So, RJ, are you saying that Romneycare and Obamacare are very similar in effect?


Not here. We will wind up paying taxes for nothing.

Now, recognizing this is from Grover Norquist and thus suspect, I do know that this is basically accurate:

Taxes that took effect in 2010:

1. Excise Tax on Charitable Hospitals (Min$/immediate): $50,000 per hospital if they fail to meet new "community health assessment needs," "financial assistance," and "billing and collection" rules set by HHS. Bill: PPACA; Page: 1,961-1,971.

2. Codification of the “economic substance doctrine” (Tax hike of $4.5 billion). This provision allows the IRS to disallow completely-legal tax deductions and other legal tax-minimizing plans just because the IRS deems that the action lacks “substance” and is merely intended to reduce taxes owed. Bill: Reconciliation Act; Page: 108-113.

3. “Black liquor” tax hike (Tax hike of $23.6 billion). This is a tax increase on a type of bio-fuel. Bill: Reconciliation Act; Page: 105.

4. Tax on Innovator Drug Companies ($22.2 bil/Jan 2010): $2.3 billion annual tax on the industry imposed relative to share of sales made that year. Bill: PPACA; Page: 1,971-1,980.

5. Blue Cross/Blue Shield Tax Hike ($0.4 bil/Jan 2010): The special tax deduction in current law for Blue Cross/Blue Shield companies would only be allowed if 85 percent or more of premium revenues are spent on clinical services. Bill: PPACA; Page: 2,004.

6. Tax on Indoor Tanning Services ($2.7 billion/July 1, 2010): New 10 percent excise tax on Americans using indoor tanning salons. Bill: PPACA; Page: 2,397-2,399.

Taxes that took effect in 2011:

7. Medicine Cabinet Tax ($5 bil/Jan 2011): Americans no longer able to use health savings account (HSA), flexible spending account (FSA), or health reimbursement (HRA) pre-tax dollars to purchase non-prescription, over-the-counter medicines (except insulin). Bill: PPACA; Page: 1,957-1,959.

8. HSA Withdrawal Tax Hike ($1.4 bil/Jan 2011): Increases additional tax on non-medical early withdrawals from an HSA from 10 to 20 percent, disadvantaging them relative to IRAs and other tax-advantaged accounts, which remain at 10 percent. Bill: PPACA; Page: 1,959.

Taxes that took effect in 2012:

9. Employer Reporting of Insurance on W-2 (Min$/Jan 2012): Preamble to taxing health benefits on individual tax returns. Bill: PPACA; Page: 1,957.

Taxes that take effect in 2013:

10. Surtax on Investment Income ($123 billion/Jan. 2013): Creation of a new, 3.8 percent surtax on investment income earned in households making at least $250,000 ($200,000 single). This would result in the following top tax rates on investment income: Bill: Reconciliation Act; Page: 87-93.

11. Hike in Medicare Payroll Tax ($86.8 bil/Jan 2013): Current law and changes:

12. Tax on Medical Device Manufacturers ($20 bil/Jan 2013): Medical device manufacturers employ 360,000 people in 6000 plants across the country. This law imposes a new 2.3% excise tax. Exempts items retailing for <$100. Bill: PPACA; Page: 1,980-1,986

13. Raise "Haircut" for Medical Itemized Deduction from 7.5% to 10% of AGI ($15.2 bil/Jan 2013): Currently, those facing high medical expenses are allowed a deduction for medical expenses to the extent that those expenses exceed 7.5 percent of adjusted gross income (AGI). The new provision imposes a threshold of 10 percent of AGI. Waived for 65+ taxpayers in 2013-2016 only. Bill: PPACA; Page: 1,994-1,995

14. Flexible Spending Account Cap – aka “Special Needs Kids Tax” ($13 bil/Jan 2013): Imposes cap on FSAs of $2500 (now unlimited). Indexed to inflation after 2013. There is one group of FSA owners for whom this new cap will be particularly cruel and onerous: parents of special needs children. There are thousands of families with special needs children in the United States, and many of them use FSAs to pay for special needs education. Tuition rates at one leading school that teaches special needs children in Washington, D.C. (National Child Research Center) can easily exceed $14,000 per year. Under tax rules, FSA dollars can be used to pay for this type of special needs education. Bill: PPACA; Page: 2,388-2,389

15. Elimination of tax deduction for employer-provided retirement Rx drug coverage in coordination with Medicare Part D ($4.5 bil/Jan 2013) Bill: PPACA; Page: 1,994

16. $500,000 Annual Executive Compensation Limit for Health Insurance Executives ($0.6 bil/Jan 2013). Bill: PPACA; Page: 1,995-2,000

Taxes that take effect in 2014:

17. Individual Mandate Excise Tax (Jan 2014): Starting in 2014, anyone not buying “qualifying” health insurance must pay an income surtax according to the higher of the following . . .

Exemptions for religious objectors, undocumented immigrants, prisoners, those earning less than the poverty line, members of Indian tribes, and hardship cases (determined by HHS).Bill: PPACA; Page: 317-337

18. Employer Mandate Tax (Jan 2014): If an employer does not offer health coverage, and at least one employee qualifies for a health tax credit, the employer must pay an additional non-deductible tax of $2000 for all full-time employees. Applies to all employers with 50 or more employees. If any employee actually receives coverage through the exchange, the penalty on the employer for that employee rises to $3000. If the employer requires a waiting period to enroll in coverage of 30-60 days, there is a $400 tax per employee ($600 if the period is 60 days or longer).Bill: PPACA; Page: 345-346

Combined score of individual and employer mandate tax penalty: $65 billion/10 years

19. Tax on Health Insurers ($60.1 bil/Jan 2014): Annual tax on the industry imposed relative to health insurance premiums collected that year. Phases in gradually until 2018. Fully-imposed on firms with $50 million in profits. Bill: PPACA; Page: 1,986-1,993

Taxes that take effect in 2018:

20. Excise Tax on Comprehensive Health Insurance Plans ($32 bil/Jan 2018): Starting in 2018, new 40 percent excise tax on “Cadillac” health insurance plans ($10,200 single/$27,500 family). Higher threshold ($11,500 single/$29,450 family) for early retirees and high-risk professions. CPI +1 percentage point indexed. Bill: PPACA; Page: 1,941-1,956


I took all the tables out as they don't format correctly. However, it is quite the array of taxes.

PROBLEM: This bill originated in the Senate. Technically, tax bills must start in the House. I'd love to see it overturned on that technicality!

In any event, we still see the President's men running around denying it's a tax. Pretty funny.
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Post 01 Jul 2012, 7:31 pm

Ricky,

I am ready to say that this discision pretty much falls in line with each judges underlying judicial ideology. If you want more of an explanation let me know.
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Post 01 Jul 2012, 10:16 pm

There is a story out there that says Roberts switched his vote. Here is a link to the story. Apparently, he was ready to vote to hold the entire law unconstitutional but changed his mind and decided to hold it unconstitutional under commerce and necessary and proper but constitutional as a tax. However, he couldn't get any of the other 4 to agree with him.

If this is true, I think I may have lost a lot of respect for the Chief Justice.
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Post 02 Jul 2012, 12:40 am

Heaven forbid that a judge have an open enough mind to be able to change it....

The question would be 'why' he moved from one to the other. Also, that report didn't really portray the minority four too well, having a fit of pique so they didn't even address the parts of the ruling they did agree with? Seems a bit petulant for senior jurists to me.
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Post 02 Jul 2012, 9:38 am

However, I disagree with the decision and still feel it is unconstitutional

Whatever your personal feelings....it is constituional.

Denial of reality is no refuge.

What happens now, is that this becomes an election issue. Surprisingly I think. And republicans will have to say what they will replace Obama Care with if they repeal it.... Or if they repeal the tax penalty ....what they will replace that with.....
They can no longer stand behind the nostrum "This Unconstituional Law"...

The problem is that when polled about the individual elements of the law, most Americans like them. Its only under the umbrella phrase Obama care that they rebelled.
as the discussion becomes specific, this issue will challenge republicans. Mitts initial response included all the parts of Obama Care that people liked, but not the part that paid for Obama care. Now how is that responsible?


Support for the provisions of the healthcare law was strong, with a full 82 percent of survey respondents, for example, favoring banning insurance companies from denying coverage to people with pre-existing conditions.
Sixty-one percent are in favor of allowing children to stay on their parents’ insurance until age 26 and 72 percent back requiring companies with more than 50 employees to provide insurance for their employees.

PARTISAN DIVISION
Americans are strongly divided along partisan lines. Among Republicans, 86 percent oppose and 14 percent favor the law and Democrats back it by a 3-to-1 margin, 75 percent to 25 percent, the Reuters/Ipsos poll showed.
But in what could be a key indicator for the presidential contest, people who describe themselves as political independents oppose the law by 73 percent to 27 percent
http://news.nationalpost.com/2012/06/25/most-americans-oppose-obamas-healthcare-reform-but-strongly-support-its-individual-provisions/
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Post 02 Jul 2012, 10:42 am

rickyp wrote:Denial of reality is no refuge.


Nice. Good to have you on board. So, you'll agree with me that Jack Lew is denying reality?

What happens now, is that this becomes an election issue. Surprisingly I think. And republicans will have to say what they will replace Obama Care with if they repeal it.... Or if they repeal the tax penalty ....what they will replace that with.....
They can no longer stand behind the nostrum "This Unconstituional Law"...


Right, they get to play the "tax card" on a policy that has never been popular. I don't see how that hurts the GOP.

The problem is that when polled about the individual elements of the law, most Americans like them. Its only under the umbrella phrase Obama care that they rebelled.


They like some of the benefits. They don't like the Mandate. They won't like it if they ever figure out that Congress and the President lied to them--said it was not a tax when it is.

Sadly, trying to run on some of the plan won't work. Democrats have to carry the whole of it. That's a heavy lift.

I'm not going to respond to polls. We get into methodology too easily. If you want to start a poll forum, go right ahead. However, no poll shows the whole program getting more support than it has opposition.
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Post 02 Jul 2012, 12:13 pm

danivon wrote:The question would be 'why' he moved from one to the other.


Well the article sites the inside sources as saying he was very aware of the attacks against the Court's reputation. It seems to be saying that he changed his mind not because of any change in opinion about the law but because he was afraid of looking bad. Ironically, it looks like his opinion might be having the exact opposite results he wanted.

The article implies Roberts did it to avoid a hit to the Courts reputation. However, according to this Rasmussen poll those who think the Court is doing a good or excellent job are down by 3 points and those who view the Court negatively is up 11 points. Further, those who think the Justices pursue their own political agenda is up 5 points from a week ago to 56%.

Of course, this could, and probably will, moderate over time. However, if the story is true, I think Roberts put himself in a lose/lose situation. He decided a case in a way that he doesn't really agree with in an attempt to avoid hurting the Court's reputation which in turn will actually hurt the Court's reputation.
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Post 02 Jul 2012, 1:20 pm

Nice. Good to have you on board. So, you'll agree with me that Jack Lew is denying reality
?

Not according to Romneys top advisor.

TODD: It sounds like Governor Romney though agrees that it’s not a tax. So what you just said is that Governor Romney agrees that it’s not a tax. You guys called it a tax?
FEHRNSTROM: The governor disagreed with the ruling of the court. He agreed with the dissent written by Justice Scalia which very clearly stated that the mandate was not a tax.

TODD: Okay. Which -- so I guess -- we're -- I think we're talking around each other. The governor does not believe the mandate is a tax? That is what you're saying?

FEHRNSTROM: The governor believes that what we put in place in Massachusetts was a penalty and he disagrees with the court's ruling that the mandate was a tax.

TODD: But he agrees with the president that it is not -- and he believes that you should not call the tax penalty a tax, you should call it a penalty or a fee or a fine
FEHRNSTROM: That's correct
?
http://rundown.msnbc.msn.com/

I think this position is because then the penalty that Romney put in place in Massachussetts would have to be called a tax too. And that would upset Grover Norquist.