-

- danivon
- Ambassador
-
- Posts: 16006
- Joined: 15 Apr 2004, 6:29 am
05 Feb 2015, 11:59 am
bbauska wrote:You missed the part where they could leave.
Telling people to leave a city you don't even have control of, without knowing what routes will be kept open, assuming they all believe the threat and are physically capable of acting upon it, is not the same as them actually being able to leave.
It is a war zone, not Spokane.
Thank you for your non-answer. I am used to it from others as well.
I think we are all reeling a bit from the sociopathic concept of destroying whole cities, regardless of the lives of the people living there.
-

- bbauska
- Administrator
-
- Posts: 7463
- Joined: 26 Jun 2000, 1:13 pm
05 Feb 2015, 12:02 pm
Fine. When you recover, I would love to hear your opinion. Heal well.
-

- danivon
- Ambassador
-
- Posts: 16006
- Joined: 15 Apr 2004, 6:29 am
05 Feb 2015, 12:13 pm
bbauska wrote:Fine. When you recover, I would love to hear your opinion. Heal well.
My opinion on what? We are already attacking - bombing Daesh/ISIS. We are already helping Syrian rebels and Kurdish peshmerga. Jordan now has a powerful motivation to deal with them. And other nations are also helping.
I don't know what more we should do that does not run risks of being counter-productive (killing thousands upon thousands of civilians because they didn't get out of the way in time is bound to have major repercussions, not least enraging our allies). I would agree that more investment in civil society and infrastructure would help in Iraq and Syria, but Syria is in a state of civil war and we can't be too sure who is really a 'friend', and Iraq is a basketcase with a government only just replacing the corrupt and partisan predecessor.
Like Sass, I am not sure what the answer is. I doubt it will be simple or easy. But I know it is not your idea.
-

- bbauska
- Administrator
-
- Posts: 7463
- Joined: 26 Jun 2000, 1:13 pm
05 Feb 2015, 12:17 pm
Thank you for your input. I will ask you the same thing as Sass.
Do you think your minimum is achieving success, or does it need to be increased to achieve the desired effect?
-

- bbauska
- Administrator
-
- Posts: 7463
- Joined: 26 Jun 2000, 1:13 pm
05 Feb 2015, 12:35 pm
Sassenach wrote:2 Million at Aleppo. Doesn't even make it above Shaka's Conquests...
If you look, I said the biggest individual artrocity. I'm guessing Shaka never killed 2 million people in one battle...
You asked another question w/o answering mine. Surely you realize the rudeness and selfishness you are exhibiting.
I actually don't agree with this at all. What I'm saying is that I don't feel confident enough to give you an answer because I don't feel that I have an answer to give. I don't know what the best course of action to tackle ISIS would be. If there's one thing we've learned over the last decade or so of interventions in the Islamic world it's that this is a very unpredictable place with no obvious right thing to do and the potential for unforeseen consequences to our actions that could be very severe. Back in 2003 I was confident that invading Iraq was the right thing to do and that it work out for the best in the long run. There's part of me that still clings to that belief, but it would be foolish to try and deny that I was very naive in that assumption. I don't know what should be done here and I don't see why I should be forced to answer your question rather than simply admit it.
You may feel that my refusal to give you an answer somehow disqualified me from commenting on your own proposals but if so then I'll have to respectfully disagree. It's quite possible to have an opinion on somebody else's proposed solution without being able to better it with your own. I know in my gut and also in my brain that a Mongol style scorched earth offensive would be foolish.
Fine. I do not feel it disqualifies you, but it say (to me at least) that you only want to criticize w/o putting forth any substantive input.
As I have said before, I do not want to scorch earth unless it is brought to that level. That is why I have been asking for a high and low level of response.
-

- danivon
- Ambassador
-
- Posts: 16006
- Joined: 15 Apr 2004, 6:29 am
05 Feb 2015, 1:39 pm
bbauska wrote:Thank you for your input. I will ask you the same thing as Sass.
Do you think your minimum is achieving success, or does it need to be increased to achieve the desired effect?
Leading question. The "minimum" is to do nothing, which is some way less that I described as the current action.
And it does depend what you measure "success" by and whether you are prepared to take the time and effort instead of reach for the "quick" solution.
Kobane was relieved, which was a success. They are not making inroads towards Baghdad as they were before. Their tactic of tryinh to blackmail Jordan has hopefully backfired.
I would say that things are going slowly, but in the right general direction. It will take many years.
-

- bbauska
- Administrator
-
- Posts: 7463
- Joined: 26 Jun 2000, 1:13 pm
05 Feb 2015, 3:15 pm
danivon wrote:bbauska wrote:Thank you for your input. I will ask you the same thing as Sass.
Do you think your minimum is achieving success, or does it need to be increased to achieve the desired effect?
Leading question. The "minimum" is to do nothing, which is some way less that I described as the current action.
And it does depend what you measure "success" by and whether you are prepared to take the time and effort instead of reach for the "quick" solution.
Kobane was relieved, which was a success. They are not making inroads towards Baghdad as they were before. Their tactic of tryinh to blackmail Jordan has hopefully backfired.
I would say that things are going slowly, but in the right general direction. It will take many years.
No leading meant...
I asked not "The minimum", but "Your minimum"
I was not asking the the world's definition of success. I was asking for yours.
Just my desire to learn more about what YOU think.
-

- bbauska
- Administrator
-
- Posts: 7463
- Joined: 26 Jun 2000, 1:13 pm
06 Feb 2015, 9:25 am
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_of_Dresden_in_World_War_IIhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_bombings_of_Hiroshima_and_NagasakiThese were not wanted to be done. It is sad that war comes to this. That is what war is. If we are not capable of bringing ourselves to the level needed for victory (that level has not yet been determined, btw), then we should not even start hostilities.
This is why I asked what the high and low level is for everybody. We can dicker about whatever level someone wants, but to not self analyze prior to conflict is crazier than the war itself.
-

- Ray Jay
- Ambassador
-
- Posts: 4991
- Joined: 08 Jun 2000, 10:26 am
06 Feb 2015, 9:49 am
Although it is an extremely repugnant regime, ISIS hasn't created the level of destruction of Nazi Germany or Imperial Japan. Nor do they have that potential. I'm all for the continued use of air power against them, but I wouldn't recommend nukes or destruction of whole cities.
-

- bbauska
- Administrator
-
- Posts: 7463
- Joined: 26 Jun 2000, 1:13 pm
06 Feb 2015, 10:14 am
Ray Jay wrote:Although it is an extremely repugnant regime, ISIS hasn't created the level of destruction of Nazi Germany or Imperial Japan. Nor do they have that potential. I'm all for the continued use of air power against them, but I wouldn't recommend nukes or destruction of whole cities.
I pray that it does not come to the level of nukes (which I don't support, btw).
-

- danivon
- Ambassador
-
- Posts: 16006
- Joined: 15 Apr 2004, 6:29 am
07 Feb 2015, 6:53 am
bbauska wrote:No leading meant...
I asked not "The minimum", but "Your minimum"
I was not asking the the world's definition of success. I was asking for yours.
But I was not describing "my minimum" - I was describing what is currently happening. Your assumption that this was my anything is what led to the leading question.
Just my desire to learn more about what YOU think.
I'm not a military expert, so I can't say what more or less we should be doing on that front. But on the human front, I think your 'maximum' (which you brought up pretty early as an option) is still horrific, massively disproportionate and would be counter-productive, given the current facts.
What I think is that the solution would be better coming from local and regional sources, not the might of Western arms. We can win a military victory, but there is a lot more to it than that - ISIS and similar groups would be able to play upon the civilian casualties to whip up just as much, if not more, hatred.
By the way, Dresden was overkill and should not have happened as it did.
-

- bbauska
- Administrator
-
- Posts: 7463
- Joined: 26 Jun 2000, 1:13 pm
07 Feb 2015, 10:45 am
Your normal response of giving no opinion and only criticizing others gives you that ability. I was asking your opinion so I could learn more about you. You continue to refrain from giving it, but continue to criticize.
I guess it gives you plausible denial as an option. Yes, I get that you are not a military man. You evidence that often.
-

- danivon
- Ambassador
-
- Posts: 16006
- Joined: 15 Apr 2004, 6:29 am
07 Feb 2015, 11:08 am
I don't need plausible deniability, as I am not in a position to make a real difference either way.
I have expressed an opinion, just not within the strict parameters you want to demand that we adhere to in order to show your questions the due respect or whatever.
Not being a military man, I am not comfortable with giving support to military action that carries risks to military personel, or civilians, without careful consideration.
In a sense there is no "minimum" or "maximum" - it is a question of what it takes and what the current situation is. I also worry that you are only really looking at this in a military sense. There is a lot to this very complex situation. We also have allies and enemies with conflicting positions (Iran hates ISIS, faction in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf were until recently at least complacent).
-

- bbauska
- Administrator
-
- Posts: 7463
- Joined: 26 Jun 2000, 1:13 pm
07 Feb 2015, 12:09 pm
Noted.
-

- bbauska
- Administrator
-
- Posts: 7463
- Joined: 26 Jun 2000, 1:13 pm
07 Feb 2015, 2:05 pm
Owen,
Have you commented on vaccines w/o being an immunologist?
Have you commented on US politics w/o being a US citizen?
Have you commented on Israeli/Palestinian relations w/o being either one?
You are more than capable to discuss your opinion on topics which you have little experience on.
Shall I continue with more examples? You are using your "response" to not comment, but are more than willing to criticize others. I would have hoped that the desire for fair discourse would be more to your liking.