geojanes wrote:As a technocratic leader--that I hope he would be...
As I see it, this really gets at the root of the matter. Romney seems to be a technocrat in many ways. He's certainly smart enough to be one (to the extent that's important). His experience in business and with the Salt Lake Olympics was seemingly guided by rational rules of method, risk/reward, and the search for practical results. And he hasn't displayed (as I read him) much in the way of
genuine ideological fervor that rises above (or simply ignores) common sense and wonkishness.
However...
Can a technocrat be effective as POTUS? History isn't really on the side of a positive answer. First of all, no one has ever gotten a mandate to rule technocratically because no one has ever run as a technocrat. (I'll mention two semi-exceptions in a moment.) In fact, I can't remember any candidate except Jimmy Carter making much of a point about their mastery of any aspect of technology. (He was a Navy Nuke.) And only very obliquely will candidates brag about how smart they are.
Who have been the most effective Presidents since WWI? I'd say FDR, LBJ, and Reagan, and you could hardly name three less technocratic Presidents. Let me amend that: you
could not name three less technocratic modern Presidents. They lead the pack since 1920 in being least technocratic.
The two semi-exceptions among all modern Presidents: Carter and Clinton. Jimmah was certainly an ideologue, but as an "outsider" and as an engineer, he implied that whereas Nixon had governed with an excess of (paranoic) emotion, he'd be cool, calm and collected, basing his decisions on what's rationally best for the nation, not the perverse motives of a Nixon. To an extent he did indeed try to govern like that. It did not work out well. I don't want to get into a big debate here about Jimmy Carter; suffice it to say that in the list of "effective" Presidents through our history (which exists in my head) he does not appear in the top thirty.
Clinton was exceptional in that he did strongly imply during the 1992 campaign that he was an exceptionally smart guy. He ran as a moderate, a "New Democrat", with a wonkish record from Arkansas - implying a less ideological more pragmatic approach to governance. We were even sold to some extent on the idea that Hillary was a sort of technocrat. And once in office his first really big effort was a quite technocratic effort to reform healthcare. The real author of that plan,
Ira Magaziner, could be described as a technocrat par excellance.
It didn't work out. Technocracy in general really didn't work out for Clinton, and he soon found himself simply playing politics, governing more like a Reagan or LBJ than an Ira Magaziner. The Republicans forced him into it - there's no question about that. And in my opinion, if Romney tries to govern like a technocrat the Democrats will soon cut him down to size and force him to be a politician. Which party is which, in this case, is irrelevant. It's simply that we have a two-party system and ain't neither one of them called the Technocracy Party.
Can a technocrat be effective as POTUS? I fear not. As much as I'd like to think it possible, I fear not. Can Romney be effective as POTUS? I fear not. That's not to say that Obama has been or will be more effective.
The place for technocrats is in the cabinet, or even sub-cabinet. Look again at the three most effective modern Presidents (as I named them): FDR, LBJ and Reagan. These men were all consummate politicians. They'd each spent many decades in the thick of partisan politics, fighting with two fists and not a lot of rules. They were each important leaders
before they ran for the top spot.* For some reason men like that don't run much for President any more. John McCain was a long-time two-fisted pol, and something of a leader, and couldn't beat a barely-known first-term Senator with no accomplishments. Before McCain the last candidate I'd place (barely) in this class was Richard Gephardt. And the last who
really qualified was Bob Dole. All losers. And consider the roster of candidates Carter beat out for the nomination in 1976: Mo Udall, Scoop Jackson, Robert Byrd, Birch Bayh, and Lloyd Bentsen. All
real politicians who knew how to get things done in DC, and they lost to a peanut farmer, who hadn't a clue.
Yes, it's tempting to think of Romney as a technocrat and hope he'll govern that way, but it might be wiser (if less intellectually satisfying) to hope he'll be a ball-busting SOB who sees only the big picture and leaves all the details but the very messiest to the guys in the small offices.
*This is less true of Reagan than of FDR and LBJ, but for a good 20 years before he ran for Prez Reagan had, second only to Barry Goldwater, defined what it meant to be a conservative.