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Post 06 Nov 2014, 7:29 am

freeman3 wrote:Sass has it right , I think. RJ, when you say tack back to the center what specific policies would he need to do? And DF what popular bills are you referring to ?The only thing. I could think of was corporate income tax rates. Here's the thing: if Republicans want to get things they like then they have to give the president things that he wants. If they are unwilling to compromise because of principle, that's fine, but who's going to get blamed if there is gridlock over the next two years? Obama is a lame-duck president and Republicans control the House and Senate so the answer is pretty clear--Republicans. It's not whether Obama goes back to the center, it's whether Rrpublucans are willing to make deals. And,yes, that means doing things they would rather not do. I think Sass is right,however, and Democrats are well-set up for 2016.
Negotiate, compromise, make deals--hopefully,that describes Republicans hence forth--but I doubt it.


I was talking to my Congressman at the election night after party. He said there are around 350 bills passed by the House that Harry Reid refused to move forward in the Senate. Those bills will most likely be voted on by the House again and now brought up for a vote in the Senate.
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 7:55 am

It will be interesting to see what those bills are. Obama could not get around Republican opposition (and the filibuster) to do much. If Obama opposes those bills , not sure how Republicans get past his veto (unless Obama and/or Democrats feel too much use of the veto will hurt the Democrats politically)
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 8:10 am

from politfact
Our ruling

Jenkins said that in the "do-nothing Senate," there are 352 House bills "sitting on Harry Reid’s desk awaiting action," including 55 introduced by Democrats.

In some cases, committee chairs -- not Reid -- may be blocking or moving slowly on these bills. In other cases, senators are working on their own alternative bills on the same topic. Meanwhile, the claim oversells the degree of bipartisanship in the House; a majority of the Democratic-sponsored bills she cites are relatively minor pieces of legislation.

Ultimately, Jenkins places all the blame on the Democrats and the Senate, but experts agree that it takes two to tango. Both parties and chambers have played a role in creating the current legislative dysfunction. On balance, we rate the claim Half True.


http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter ... hing-sena/
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 8:26 am

Something else to keep in mind: Whereas most of the American electorate would prefer that the 2 Parties compromise, each side is also evaluating whether their negotiating position will be better 2 years from today. Republicans are thinking they have a good shot at the White House in 2018 so they can wait on solving tax reform or immigration. Democrats are wondering whether they will have a stronger hand in 2 years when many Republican Senators are up for reelection (I believe it is 24 Republican Senators vs. 10 Democratic Senators.

It is a cynical way to look at things, but I think that is what is going on. So, neither the Dems or Reps will compromise too much. As long as it appears as if the other side is at fault, they won't pass legislation. Since each side tends to listen to their own supporters and news media, they both can convince themselves that the other side is at fault. Also, keep in mind that Sens. and Reps. (especially Republicans) cannot compromise too much or they will lose their primary challenges next election. Sure they should want to make the country better, but that's not how this game works.

The only politician whose calculation is different than that is Obama. He's not worrying about re-election; he's worried about legacy. At issue is whether he wants his legacy to be someone who made progress on immigration, tax reform, fixing ACA, etc. or does he want his legacy to be someone who held fast to his liberal principles. I suspect it is the latter, but we shall see.
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 9:13 am

Ricky:
They have committed to fighting a minimum wage increase even though over 80% of Americans are in favor of an increase.


Source?

BTW, most states in the U.S. have a minimum wage that is higher than the federal level. This includes most big states (CA, FL, NY, IL, MI, OH, MA) so the vast majority of Americans aren't impacted by the federal minimum.
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 9:25 am

Re Minimum wage : Now, maybe the passing of minimum wage increases in a number of States plebecites might see them change their tune. But the Koch Bros are demanding no action... So, i'm thinking that the following is still their policy

RYAN: I think it’s inflationary. I think it actually is counterproductive in many ways. You end up costing job from people who are the bottom rung of the economic ladder. Look, I wish we could just pass a law saying everybody should make more money without any adverse consequences. The problem is you’re costing jobs from those who are just trying to get entry level jobs. The goal ought to be is to get people out of entry level jobs into better jobs, better paying jobs. That’s better education and a growing economy. Those are some of the things he talked about and I don’t think raising minimum wage — and history is very clear about this — doesn’t actually accomplish those goals.
RUBIO: I want to see people making a lot more than $9 an hour in the United States. And the way do you that is through rapid economic growth where people are being paid a lot more than that. $9 is not enough. I think we all would want that. The question is is a minimum wage the best way to do it? And history has said the answer is absolutely not. In fact, the impact of minimum wage usually is that businesses hire less people. That’s the impact of it. They’ll just hire less people to do the same amount of work…We have a lot of history to prove that the minimum wage , raising the minimum wage does not grow the middle class.

mcconnel
“And we’re not going to be debating all these gosh darn proposals. That’s all we do in the Senate is vote on things like raising the minimum wage [inaudible]—cost the country 500,000 new jobs; extending unemployment—that’s a great message for retirees; uh, the student loan package the other day, that’s just going to make things worse, uh. These people believe in all the wrong things.”

In late April, Senate Republicans, led by McConnell, successfully filibustered a bill to increase the minimum wage to $10.10 an hour, a widely popular measure that would increase wages for at least 16.5 million Americans. Earlier in the year, McConnell also led a filibuster of a three-month extension of unemployment insurance to some 1.7 million Americans. At one point in the negotiations, he offered a deal to extend unemployment only if Democrats agreed to repeal the Affordable Care Act, even though the ACA does not add to the federal deficit.

http://www.thenation.com/article/181363 ... exclusive#

They are likely to try and eliminate Dodd Frank as well. Which was a half assed fix of the financial services industry at best. If you take McConnel at his word.
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 9:42 am

70 percent support to raise it to $10.10 (back in January) http://www.people-press.org/2014/01/23/ ... solutions/
A brief survey of other polls indicates a cluster around 70 percent. Not 80 percent , but still strong support. It was interesting to see in the above poll Republican views about what to do about income inequality. A fairly large number (23%) advocated that the government do a lot and a similar number advocated taxing the wealthy and corporations (29%).
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 10:31 am

freeman3 wrote:Yeah,George, that statement was pretty cynical. It seems to me, however, that we have some systemic issues in our society that make that statement mostly true. First of all, the elites in our society are taking too much wealth and we seem to have no mechanism for stopping it. Obama did not even try to get single-payer because of opposition of health insurance companies and big Pharm. After the financial crisis we gave a lot of money to the people that caused the crisis and were unable to get either get rid of banks that were too big to fail or institute necessary minimum capital requirements so we will probably have a repeat at some point in the future. Citizens United has exacerbated the problem of money in politics (or "soft" legal corruption of Congress)

The reason ( I think ) Obama is not popular even though the economic stats are mostly good is that most people are not happy with how things are going in their own life. And that is a lot to do with our government not restraining the top few percent from taking too much of the wealth and paying too little taxes. That's what wealthy elites do in every country until there is a middle-class that demands a more equitable distribution. Now, we already went through that period where a rising middle-class was able to effect a more equable wealth distribution but we are in a post- class period where there is no group countering the interests of the wealthy . We are all supposed to get rich so there is no need for that ...

The dissatisfaction is diffuse and the general anti-government culture in the South (reflected in uncompromising Tea Party members) makes it near impossible to have the government rein in corporations and the wealthy. Unions have not survived a post blue-collar world. The Democratic Party even with almost a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate and control of the House was not able to get anything accomplished that was opposed by powerful business interests. The Dow has gone up how much under Obama?

So forgive me if I am a bit cynical that individual congressman can make it to Washington without becoming beholden to economic interests that oppose changing the status quo. And even though Democrats are centrists in action if not thought for fear of the money spigots going dry, they are still far to the left of the Republicans. So bi-partisan deals are hard to come by because the views of each party's members so rarely intersect with those of the other side. That being the case , unless you are concerned about a congressman bringing projects to your state, the merits of each congressman are debatable; they simply serve to add to a vote to the party whose views are closest to your own views. Convince me of the merits of the individual congressman , George.


I agree with just about everything you just wrote, but I see absolutely no justification in all those words for your conclusion. Sure, a single congressperson is not, by him- or her-self, going to make much of a difference. Rather, for our political system to function, we all have to get along. We’re all people first, Americans second, and I hope democrat, republican, socialist, independent, or libertarian is way, way down that list. If the people we elect don’t recognize this hierarchy, then we’re going to be getting the government we deserve.

You talk about the dissatisfaction. If we’re electing a letter after a name, regardless of the quality of the person in front of that letter, how could that ever lead to a satisfactory outcome? It can’t, that person is bound to be disappointing if no one cares about his or her qualities. And these disappointing people lead to dissatisfaction. Yes, we have a systemic problem and, as you say, one congressperson can’t change it, but maybe 100 could. But we will never elect those 100 while people like you are saying it doesn't matter the quality of the person in front of the letter, all that matters is the letter. In my opinion, this is a disgraceful position that ultimately undermines the integrity of our democracy.

I don't mean to sound all holier than thou, because I do understand the desire to be expedient, but if you've got to undermine the foundation of our political system to achieve expediency, expediency isn't worth it.
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 10:38 am

Ok I am suitably chastened. Mea Culpa.
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 11:32 am

Ray Jay wrote:The only politician whose calculation is different than that is Obama. He's not worrying about re-election; he's worried about legacy. At issue is whether he wants his legacy to be someone who made progress on immigration, tax reform, fixing ACA, etc. or does he want his legacy to be someone who held fast to his liberal principles. I suspect it is the latter, but we shall see.


It was telling, I think, to hear the difference in tone and substance between McConnell and the President on Wednesday. McConnell was talking about putting the Senate back into operation, letting Senators from both parties participate, etc. --undoing all the damage Reid did. Meanwhile, the President was still "offering" to work with Republicans when they propose policies he's favored for years. So, all Republicans have to do is take Democratic positions and the President will cooperate.

:rolleyes:

I think we'll see a bill for the Keystone pipeline. I think we'll see an energy bill. I think we'll see many items that a majority of Americans agree on. I wouldn't be surprised if they start tinkering with funding if the President keeps trying to run the country by fiat. If I had my way, they would slash EPA funding until they pulled back on the regulations the agency has unilaterally imposed.

I think the GOP will start with things that might even be veto-proof, like Keystone. Many Democrats want that too.
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 11:44 am

Doctor Fate wrote:It was telling, I think, to hear the difference in tone and substance between McConnell and the President on Wednesday. McConnell was talking about putting the Senate back into operation, letting Senators from both parties participate, etc. --undoing all the damage Reid did. Meanwhile, the President was still "offering" to work with Republicans


I listened to both the press conferences on the radio, and I think the tone of both McConnell and Obama was pretty conciliatory. At least neither was confrontational. Both staked out predictable ground: McConnell wants to investigate the IRS, Obama is will not support the repeal of Obamacare, but he also said that no bill is perfect that he would consider changes that would improve the law.

If you take everything they said at face-value, then I'm hopeful that they're going to be able to get some things done.
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 11:53 am

freeman3 wrote:It will be interesting to see what those bills are. Obama could not get around Republican opposition (and the filibuster) to do much. If Obama opposes those bills , not sure how Republicans get past his veto (unless Obama and/or Democrats feel too much use of the veto will hurt the Democrats politically)


According to the Congressman, most of the bills were passed along bipartisan votes in the House and then sat on by Reid. So I guess the thought process is that either, the bills are popular enough with the public that the President will not be "able" veto them, or there will be enough bipartisan support that Democrats will provide enough extra votes to override any veto.

If the President vetos all the bills then the Democrats become the party of No in 2016 and that could have negative electoral consequences.
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 12:00 pm

The extent of the Republican victory is staggering. The last time they've had this many house members was in 1929. Over 62% of the Governors and 67% of the State legislatures are majority Republican. Those who are saying that the Dem's look good for 2016 aren't paying attention as far as I can tell.
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 12:20 pm

geojanes wrote:
Doctor Fate wrote:It was telling, I think, to hear the difference in tone and substance between McConnell and the President on Wednesday. McConnell was talking about putting the Senate back into operation, letting Senators from both parties participate, etc. --undoing all the damage Reid did. Meanwhile, the President was still "offering" to work with Republicans


I listened to both the press conferences on the radio, and I think the tone of both McConnell and Obama was pretty conciliatory. At least neither was confrontational. Both staked out predictable ground: McConnell wants to investigate the IRS, Obama is will not support the repeal of Obamacare, but he also said that no bill is perfect that he would consider changes that would improve the law.


Hmm, maybe they each had two different press conferences. You were not listening to what I was listening to. :)

The President is not willing to change the ACA in any meaningful way. He says it's working. Just wait until all the bills are in for next year's rates.

There is a broad consensus on the medical device tax. In fact, if they repeal it and Obama vetoes the repeal, he might just get his first smackdown.

People don't like the bill--after all this time. I think if the GOP play this well, they could make enough of a political wave to force the President to back down. It's a bad law. It has never been what the American people wanted--yet, the President knows best.

Ditto Keystone. Ditto immigration (oh, Americans are in favor of a "pathway," but ONLY if we know the border is secure. It's not). Ditto corporate tax rates.

If you take everything they said at face-value, then I'm hopeful that they're going to be able to get some things done.


No. Obama won't compromise. His idea of compromise is giving him what he wants. Strangely, he loves to give the Iranians and others what they want (reports are that he is offering cooperation with them against ISIS).

Or, how about his not so subtle slam of the GOP? After all, most Americans didn't vote Tuesday . . . the implication being his election was more legitimate. Of course, most Americans didn't vote for him either . . . .

Ron Fournier:

November 5, 2014 Shellacked and thumped by an angry electorate, President Obama declared to every American who voted in Tuesday's elections—and to those who've checked out of the political process—"I hear you."

And then he ignored them.

From all appearances Wednesday, the president won't change—not his policies, not his style, not his staff, not nothing. Defiant and begrudging, the president said he would meet with GOP leaders, seek their suggestions for common ground, and maybe grab a drink with Senate Majority Leader-to-Be Mitch McConnell.


Beyond that, meh. "It's probably premature" to consider personnel changes, Obama said when pressed by a reporter for the type of reflection and resetting undertaken by President Clinton after his 1994 midterm trouncing.

Moments earlier, McConnell urged Obama not to take executive action to legalize undocumented immigrants, saying such a momentous policy change by fiat would "be like waving a red flag in front of a bull." The newly reelected Kentucky senator also called it a "poison pill."

Obama shrugged. While willing to consider any immigration legislation passed by the GOP-controlled Congress, "What I'm not going to do," Obama said, "is wait."


He fancies himself king.
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Post 06 Nov 2014, 12:37 pm

Thankfully, I have my Republican friends here to keep me apprised of the shellacking my party took...
But what is the Republican brand that is being sold ? If it's primarily anti-Obama then that is likely to have a short shelf-life.
And of course we are getting into a cycle where Republicans do better in mid-term elections because of higher turn- out among their voters. And mostly likely we will see a different result in 2016 when Democrats turn out to vote again.
Also, Republicans did worse among most demographic groups as opposed to 2010. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the ... epublican/

In particular, they did worse with women and Hispanic voters.

So this election does not necessarily portend good things for Republicans in 2016. Whether they can come up with a positive brand that appeals to young, minority or female voters seems highly problematic.