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Post 09 Jan 2016, 3:30 pm

Even though he hasn't done me the courtesy of replying to any of my substantive points, I probably shouldn't reply to Ricky in kind. So...

Crowds in many places can become unruly, and dangerous. Times Square in New York on New Years once had that reputation.


This is an utterly absurd point. The best way to illustrate it is by quoting at length from a commenter I read on the Guardian today. Needless to say the Guardian spent at least a week pretending that this event never happened and deleting any comment on any thread which mentioned it before eventually realising that they probably had to say something about it, so they commissioned one of their 'feminist' writers to come out with an apologia piece which counts as one of the most disgusting pieces of journalism I've ever read. I'm not the only one. Within about 12 hrs of comments being open more than 6000 people had posted their utter disgust (Ricky will probably agree with it).

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfre ... -years-eve

The post that struck me most was this one:

Dear Ms. Hinsliff, I am a Canadian professional who currently lives in the vicinity of Cologne. I am also a woman. Having lived in Canada most of my life, I have seen a multicultural model work successfully. I also consider myself to be left leaning, and myself come from a family of immigrants, therefore am highly empathetic to the immigrant experience.

Immediately after the sexual assaults on NYEs, I was relayed the details by a female acquaintance who was there. This young woman is a social worker and I have no reason to believe has any right leaning tendencies. Let me clarify a few details for you and your readers Ms. Hinsliff. These women were surrounded, in groups of 2 or 3, by men that overall are estimated to have numbered at about 1000, who my friend described as being of North African race. These men then proceeded to "grope" them as you so delicately state, by inserting their fingers into the women's vaginas and anuses. The women had "let's @#$! let's @#$!" and "whore" shouted at them. They were then robbed of their phones and their wallets. At least 2 women have come forward to date and filed complaints of rape.

This event sparked an outcry in the social media. The mainstream media were silent for days. The police initially reported that it was a peaceful night. The politicians were silent. The furor on social media continued. The female mayor of Cologne came forward and told young women that they needed to protect themselves by keeping strangers "at arm's length" (blame the victim). The public was told not to jump to conclusions about the ethnicity of the perpetrators. People here spoke about it privately and in hushed tones, less they be branded a "nazi" for asking the obvious, albeit unpleasant questions. A police report was leaked indicating that of the men who they rounded up, many did in fact have refugee or North African/Arab status. Dr. Merkel at long last made a worded public comment yesterday, 7 days after the event, but has yet to stand in front of her nation in an open press conference with a Q&A session (up until then the Germans got a few weakly worded weasel-word statements).

Ms. Hinsliff, a sign of intelligence is the ability to take new information, assimilate it, and, if required, to adjust ones thinking. One week ago I would never have believed that I would be put into a position to have to write what I am about to write now. However facts are facts, and the facts that are emerging show a culture that is out of line with our western values.

As a woman lacking the necessary physical strength to defend myself (pepper spray has apparently sold out in Germany), I am not interested in assuming the risk of having individuals with this sort of mentality around me, period. I have lived my entire life surrounded by people of all cultures and races, and have never ever even heard of a barbaric act like this, let alone spoken with someone who has experienced it first hand. Last night on a German talk show I heard an expert saying that in refugee centres, some of these men refuse to have their food given to them by a woman. They spoke of programs that could be implemented to change the attitudes of these men. I do not want to spend my tax dollars on rehabilitating these individuals. I would hope that the majority of them would not behave in this fashion, however it is a risk that I am personally unwilling to take and a slippery slope that their own brethren pushed them down by committing this horrifying, large scale, organized criminal act. I would prefer to spend those tax dollars setting up safe zones in their home countries and stabilizing the region so that they can be returned there as expeditiously as possible. Of course if they truly want to live in Europe and embrace our values, then they could apply through normal channels and be carefully screened. It pains me to have to write this, and I would never vote for a right leaning party or attend a right leaning demonstration, but this is completely unacceptable, and as a highly educated and very open-minded individual, I am no longer willing to embrace the naive position which I until a week ago held on this issue. There are enough other compelling issues in the western world where we need to invest our limited financial and human resources, without saddling ourselves with this.

I will reiterate, it is unfortunate that the deeds of 1000 bad men tarnish an entire group of individuals, but frankly, acts have consequences, and in the face of the mounting evidence, they need to be swift and decisive, unless Merkel wants a revolution on her hands.


So tell me Ricky, did anything like this ever happen in Times Square ? I'm guessing not, so can we now drop the pathetic attempts at moral equivalence that you're attempting to draw in order to obfuscate the issue ?

Anyway...

If the Cologne Police had the force in place, with adequate direction, would this event ocurred? Doubtful?


One of the main reasons why they didn't have sufficient force in place, which has been confirned by the head of the police union, is that the Cologne police had been stripped of manpower because so many of their members were needed in Bavaria to register refugees. But even if this were not the case, the fact remains that nothing like NYE had ever happened before in Germany, so why would they lay on extras men for an event that they could not reasonably have predicted ? Although it should also be noted that their priority at the time seemed not to be the protection of the women so much as the covering up of the ethnicity of the perpetrators.

Do young men in groups become dangerous, especially after heavy drinking? yes. Just about anywhere. It isn't a rare event caused by sexually repressive socialization. Its regular and occurs in places where honor and responsibility are top priorities and trained into men.
So don't accuse me of what aboutery... Justify why this particular incident is a result of inadequate socialization but the high incidence of rape in the US military isn't... (Or fr that matter college dorms, or spring break in Florida)


Whataboutery, pure and simple.

I agree that in the Middle East they do get away with behaviors that are less prevalent in other parts of the world. But as soon as young men understand that there are consequences for their behaviors most manage to reign in their base instincts.
If the Cologne police had prepared and responded correctly then there might not have been an incident.


So the fault lies with the police, and not with the men who grabbed every women in sight, yelled "whore" in their face and inserted fingers into their anus ? Ok...

When the rape crisis in the US military has been solved, then maybe we can think about this as a cultural problem and not just a problem endemic to drunken, irresponsible young men around the world.


More whataboutery.

Here's the thing. I strongly suspect that well publicized deportations of perpetrators of crimes like this will have an immediate effect on how immigrant men behave.


In the paragraph immediately preceding this one you admitted that you made baseless assumptions about how easy it would be to deport these men, and yet here you are again pretending that these difficulties are irrelevant. Go figure...

Fact is that the only way to prevent many more of these events taking place is to stop the flow of migrants from the Middle East. But you don't want that, in fact you'd be quite happy for Europe to accept millions more. Perhaps you might want to question why Canada is refusing to accept any 'refugees' who are single males.
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Post 09 Jan 2016, 3:32 pm

sass
Classic whataboutery.


I'll repeat. Its not whataboutery. Its perspective.

Justify why this particular incident is a result of inadequate socialization but the high incidence of rape in the US military isn't... (Or for that matter college dorms, or spring break in Florida) . Its easy to jump on an incident that seems to be primarily hateful Muslims. Their horrible behavior is making it difficult for most of the refugees and easy for the bigots.

Young men groups often behave this way, especially after drinking. Where society tolerates the behavior or fails to react ....the behavior becomes commonplace. (India for instance. US college campuses as well apparently).

You seem to think that Germany will tolerate the behavior. Or that the German government, legal system and police are unable to cope. As a result you seem to think that young Muslim refugees will act with impunity and repeat their behaviors. (I sad seem to think...so perhaps you could respond here..)
I doubt it very much. The laws are already changing and the Cologne police chief has already paid for his lack of preparation, poor response and cover up. This is unlikely to reoccur due to inadequate police preparation or response again.
Moreover, lets remember why young men make up the large part of the refugee population. They are there for 3 reasons.
1) to get them out of the reach of military and militia drafts, and keep them alive
2) because they have the greatest chance of surviving the rough conditions of the migration ; and importantly
3) they are there to establish a beach head and if possible bring over relatives at some point.
Imagine how their families react if they commit crimes and are deported after all the trouble of getting them there. Especially if they are deported for sexual assault. If you don't think this is going to be a factor in their future compliance ... why not?

The minority will not be able to change the massive Germany society in any significant way. German values and the way society works will not change. Those immigrants who cannot adapt to German values ad social norms may become problems. I doubt there will be the tolerance of rape culture that you suspect, and as they are deported compliance by the remaining will occur. Or the men will leave if there is any peace in their homeland.
I agree with you that there will be societal frictions and difficulties. The greater the attempt at assimilation, and the sooner these men can be put to work ...the better.
They represent a solution for something that has troubled demographers and German employers for some time. A Labor shortage.
http://www.dw.com/en/tapping-refugees-t ... a-18688541
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Post 09 Jan 2016, 3:38 pm

The US military is utterly and completely irrelevant to this issue. It's a classic diversion tactic because you're unwilling to acknowledge that accepting hundreds of thousands of young males from rampantly misogynistic cultures is going to cause an increase in sex crime. Frankly, your argument is a little disgusting.
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Post 09 Jan 2016, 3:41 pm

rickyp wrote:sass
Classic whataboutery.


I'll repeat. Its not whataboutery. Its perspective.

Justify why this particular incident is a result of inadequate socialization but the high incidence of rape in the US military isn't... (Or for that matter college dorms, or spring break in Florida) . Its easy to jump on an incident that seems to be primarily hateful Muslims. Their horrible behavior is making it difficult for most of the refugees and easy for the bigots.

Young men groups often behave this way, especially after drinking. Where society tolerates the behavior or fails to react ....the behavior becomes commonplace. (India for instance. US college campuses as well apparently).

You seem to think that Germany will tolerate the behavior. Or that the German government, legal system and police are unable to cope. As a result you seem to think that young Muslim refugees will act with impunity and repeat their behaviors. (I sad seem to think...so perhaps you could respond here..)
I doubt it very much. The laws are already changing and the Cologne police chief has already paid for his lack of preparation, poor response and cover up. This is unlikely to reoccur due to inadequate police preparation or response again.
Moreover, lets remember why young men make up the large part of the refugee population. They are there for 3 reasons.
1) to get them out of the reach of military and militia drafts, and keep them alive
2) because they have the greatest chance of surviving the rough conditions of the migration ; and importantly
3) they are there to establish a beach head and if possible bring over relatives at some point.
Imagine how their families react if they commit crimes and are deported after all the trouble of getting them there. Especially if they are deported for sexual assault. If you don't think this is going to be a factor in their future compliance ... why not?

The minority will not be able to change the massive Germany society in any significant way. German values and the way society works will not change. Those immigrants who cannot adapt to German values ad social norms may become problems. I doubt there will be the tolerance of rape culture that you suspect, and as they are deported compliance by the remaining will occur. Or the men will leave if there is any peace in their homeland.
I agree with you that there will be societal frictions and difficulties. The greater the attempt at assimilation, and the sooner these men can be put to work ...the better.
They represent a solution for something that has troubled demographers and German employers for some time. A Labor shortage.
http://www.dw.com/en/tapping-refugees-t ... a-18688541


I'll make it easy for you, rickyp: cite one incident in the military, NYC, or the American college of your choice, wherein young women were surrounded by hundreds of young men who then shouted they wanted to f*** the women, referred to them as "whores," and then forcibly probed and raped them.

Go ahead. We anxiously await your on-point citation.
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Post 09 Jan 2016, 3:54 pm

sass

So tell me Ricky, did anything like this ever happen in Times Square ?

You may not remember Time Square in the 70's and 80s...
It wasn't the Time Square of today.
Both muggings and sexual assaults had reached epidemic levels.

http://ij.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/0 ... ctive2.pdf

Sass
I'll make it easy for you, rickyp: cite one incident in the military, NYC, or the American college of your choice, wherein young women were surrounded by hundreds of young men who then shouted they wanted to f*** the women, referred to them as "whores," and then forcibly probed and raped them


rThe third-floor hallway was about six feet wide and dimly lighted. The report said the corridor was extremely crowded on Friday and Saturday evenings. According to three witnesses, a sign was posted on the floor warning: "Gantlet--enter at your own risk."

The report said the gantlet appeared well organized even though most of the participants were drunk. When a woman appeared, a scout would shout "clear deck" if he considered her attractive enough to molest or "wave off" if he thought her too unattractive. The terms are drawn from aircraft carrier flight operations.

Many women reportedly were lured unwittingly into the gantlet by officers who steered them toward it casually. The awaiting aviators appeared to arrange themselves so that women would not recognize what they were approaching, the report said.

When they emerged, one Navy enlisted man told investigators, victims looked like they had been through a pinball machine.

"Many eyewitness accounts described women who had articles of clothing ripped or removed as they went through the gantlet," the report said. "One particularly disturbing incident involved an intoxicated college freshman who was stripped from the waist down as she was passed overhead through the gantlet and then left on the hallway floor
"A female civilian victim told us that, as she walked up the hallway, at least seven men attacked her," the report said. "They pulled down her 'tube top' and grabbed at her exposed breasts while she attempted to cover herself with her arms. She fell to the ground and the assault continued. . . . After a few moments, they stopped their attack and she was allowed to get up from the floor."

The report said that a 24-year-old Navy officer related that she was groped and grabbed by five or six men while two male Navy officers whom she knew stood by and did nothing.

"One victim, a 32-year-old female, reported that she attended Tailhook '91 with her (husband), a Navy officer; her mother and two of her mother's female friends," the report said. "As the group walked through the hallway the victim, who was wearing a formal cocktail dress, was suddenly grabbed around the waist and lifted above the crowd by two men. The men lifted the skirt of her dress above her waist and pushed their hands between her legs. . . . Our investigation revealed that the victim's mother as well as one of her mother's friends were also indecently assaulted as they walked through the hallway."

http://articles.latimes.com/1993-04-24/ ... nvention/2

sass
The US military is utterly and completely irrelevant to this issue. It's a classic diversion tactic because you're unwilling to acknowledge that accepting hundreds of thousands of young males from rampantly misogynistic cultures is going to cause an increase in sex crime. Frankly, your argument is a little disgusting

Well, the US military has been rampantly misogynistic too. If rampant misogyny can exist there.... for decades, it ain't just one religions problem. (Though it is a problem for the religion as practiced by some sects.)

But if it is irrelevant Then why did you ask for an example..

I think Germany is capable of coping with refugees, and the problems and opportunities they present... and you seem to think that they are at the mercy of unruly Muslim thugs who can never control their sexual urges.
You give in to hysteria.
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Post 09 Jan 2016, 4:01 pm

Steve and I are different people...

Anyway, it's noteworthy that you're continuing to ignore the point about demographics and cultural misogyny that I've raised multiple times now. I think that demonstrates wilful intellectual dishonesty on your part, so there's probably no point continuing this discussion. You obviously don't care about facts.
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Post 09 Jan 2016, 4:36 pm

rickyp wrote:Well, the US military has been rampantly misogynistic too. If rampant misogyny can exist there.... for decades, it ain't just one religions problem. (Though it is a problem for the religion as practiced by some sects.)

But if it is irrelevant Then why did you ask for an example..


Yes, do try and sort out your opponents, won't you? And, let's see if your example meets the standard:

Doctor Fate wrote:I'll make it easy for you, rickyp: cite one incident in the military, NYC, or the American college of your choice, wherein young women were surrounded by hundreds of young men who then shouted they wanted to f*** the women, referred to them as "whores," and then forcibly probed and raped them


From your link:

The report said that a 24-year-old Navy officer related that she was groped and grabbed by five or six men while two male Navy officers whom she knew stood by and did nothing.

"One victim, a 32-year-old female, reported that she attended Tailhook '91 with her (husband), a Navy officer; her mother and two of her mother's female friends," the report said. "As the group walked through the hallway the victim, who was wearing a formal cocktail dress, was suddenly grabbed around the waist and lifted above the crowd by two men. The men lifted the skirt of her dress above her waist and pushed their hands between her legs. . . . Our investigation revealed that the victim's mother as well as one of her mother's friends were also indecently assaulted as they walked through the hallway."


In no way do I approve of this or want to minimize it. However, it fails to even approach the scale of what took place in Cologne.

I think Germany is capable of coping with refugees, and the problems and opportunities they present... and you seem to think that they are at the mercy of unruly Muslim thugs who can never control their sexual urges.


Sure, and Germany has shown its courage in responding to the sodomy inflicted upon the women of Cologne--by blaming the victims and telling them how to be less assaulted next year. You blame the cops--because they should have been ready for a mass of rapists which is unprecedented in their city. You blame everyone except the penetrators. How sad for you.

You give in to hysteria.


No, you fail the empathy test.
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Post 10 Jan 2016, 6:27 am

I suspect the next thing to emerge from all this will be confirmation that an awful lot more crimes are being carried out by the new arrivals which have been covered up. I read this earlier, which was posted by a commenter on the Guardian. There's no point linking the original source material since it was taken from a German language news report and then run through Google translate, but the translated version is pretty clear:

BILD reveals what the authorities conceal in Germany - and why the police may not always tell the whole truth.
A senior police officer from Frankfurt / M. explains to BILD: "For offenses of criminal suspects who have a foreign nationality and are reported in a reception center, we put the case on the desk immediately to the side."
The officer continued: "There are strict instructions of the Board of Directors, not to report offenses committed by refugees. Only direct requests from media representatives to such acts should be answered."


If this Bild story turns out to be true then we're looking at an epic scandal.
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Post 10 Jan 2016, 9:21 am

If that is what the police have been doing, then it does need to stop. The police need to treat all crimes and criminals the same way.

But there does seem to be a lot of glee (and even schadenfreude) over the situation, and a lot of people leaping to conclusions. On all "sides".

I was discussing it with someone who seriously suggested that the co-ordinated nature of the robberies-with-sexual-threats-and-violence were the work of ISIS. Looks to me more like gangs of robbers co-ordinating opportunistically, and having misogynist values.

In all the above, I don't see much reference to the fact that Merkel is proposing a change to the law that would allow deportation of asylum seekers who commit any crime.
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Post 10 Jan 2016, 9:57 am

The devil will be in the detail there. Personally I don't believe that any such change in German law would survive a challenge to the ECHR. Sure, she could remove the requirement that they have to be sentenced to three years imprisonment, but that still leaves the problem of how you go about removing somebody to a warzone. It's not terribly feasible. Any attempt to deport to Syria would be immediately challenged by human rights lawyers and that challenge would in all probability succeed. Merkel will need to pull out of the ECHR and/or renounce the Geneva Conventions, neither of which is going to happen. It might be a little easier for some other nationalities, but I wouldn't bet on that. Look at how hard it was for us to deport Abu Qatada, a man with documented terrorist connections, to Jordan, which is not even a warzone.

There are other complications too. Let's say that Germany passes a new law which states that any asylum seeker who commits any crime under German law will face mandatory deportation. Fine, nobody would really object to that outside of the HR lobby, and to hell with them. Passing the law is the easy part though, enforcing it is much more difficult. Let's say a Syrian national is convicted of a crime which carries say a 3 month prison sentence. As soon as he goes inside the German authorities begin deportation proceedings. He appeals of course. The backlogs for appeals are very long in this country (the average wait between decision and first appeal hearing is about 9 months right now) and I can only assume it's even worse in Germany given the staggeringly huge number of arrivals they're having to process. So the likelihood is that he completes his sentence before he even gets to his first level of appeal. I don't know precisely how it works in Germany but here there are several levels of appeal against removal decisions. First there's the First Tier Tribunal then you can apply to the Upper Tier Tribunal then you can go to the Court of Appeal and if all of that fails you can still make an application to the European Court of Human Rights. It can take years to get right through the process if you're minded to string it out. So our hypothetical offender has finished his 3 months in prison and is ready to be released. Ideally he'd be put straight onto a plane and sent away to Syria, but that can't happen because he still has his appeal pending. What happens at this point ? Do we continue to hold him in detention indefinitely pending the outcome of all his appeals ? That in itself would constitute an action which could be challenged legally, so now there would be two distinct legal processes. What happens if we end up with several thousand people in similar positions, do we hold all of them ? How comfortable would you be with Germany creating a load of secure detention centres and holding potentially thousands of migrants in detention beyond the term of their prison sentences for what could be years ? I don't see that happening frankly. More likely is that they'd have to be released, at which point they will immediately abscond and that will be the end of that.

You need to understand just how far the immigration system is skewed in favour of the migrants when it comes to removals or deportations. This is what I've been warning about all along, once they're over the border it's desperately difficult to remove them again. Angela Merkel knows it of course, this is just a political gesture to try to placate her critics.
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Post 10 Jan 2016, 2:30 pm

sass
You obviously don't care about facts


I do care about facts . But these...aren't facts..
sass
It's simply not going to happen for them. What Germany now faces is the prospect of hundreds of thousands of sexually frustrated young men who all have grotesque attitudes towards women in general and western women in particular. It's a powderkeg. Sex crime is going to shoot up. Demand for prostitution is also going to soar, with resultant spikes in human trafficking and other disgusting activities.

its your assumptions.
And assumptions that contradict the history of cultural assimilation that occurs in societies where immigrants have full access to society.
Immigrants to the US are particularly good at achieiving assimilation and acquiring the local cultural values. Given the same kind of societal access in Germany, the refugees will do okay. Some wwill be problems. But not most.
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Post 10 Jan 2016, 2:37 pm

sass
One of the main reasons why they didn't have sufficient force in place, which has been confirned by the head of the police union, is that the Cologne police had been stripped of manpower because so many of their members were needed in Bavaria to register refugees. But even if this were not the case, the fact remains that nothing like NYE had ever happened before in Germany, so why would they lay on extras men for an event that they could not reasonably have predicted ?


At the recent demonstrations in Cologne there were about 2,000 potestors divided into three groups.
There were 2,000 police.
They managed to get the manpower out for that.
I don't suggest that the lack of a planned or appropriate police response excuses the actions of the brutes.
However, if they had 2,000 police on New years, who didn't just stand and watch as some reports said police did on New Years, , this wouldn't be an issue.
If Germany could eliminate soccer hooliganism, they can deal with this problem.There were more soccer hooligans, with more booze, and better organization than a band of lonely horny refugees (and apparently some locals joined in,....)
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Post 10 Jan 2016, 3:13 pm

its your assumptions.
And assumptions that contradict the history of cultural assimilation that occurs in societies where immigrants have full access to society.


Simple demographics ought to tell you that this is complete bollocks. Setting that aside though, I'd like to ask how many Muslims you actually know. I know hundreds because here in Sheffield we have a very large Islamic community. Do you want to know how many of them are in a relationship with a non-Muslim ? I'll tell you, one. That's one out of hundreds of Muslims that I personally know (oddly, it's a Muslim woman married to a white British guy, which is vanishingly rare). I also have the benefit of being an immigration caseworker, so I've seen thousands of applications from Muslim men over the years. Again, the incidence of Muslim men with non-Muslim partners is remarkably small in my experience, and I'm willing to bet that my experience is vastly greater than yours. The fact is that you know nothing about this whereas I know a great deal.
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Post 10 Jan 2016, 3:34 pm

Germany already has assimilated 3 million Turkish Muslims without too many problems. Is there are any reason to think that the recent refugees are different than Turks? The "facts" in this case still seem to be murky as to who did the attacks, how many were involved, and how many sexual attacks there were . In any case, even if we assume several hundred refugees were involved in large-scale groping of women the acts of several hundred refugees cannot taint a million refugees.

Germany took an enormously courageous step in helping to take in these refugees. I think we should very much want it to work. Even with a million refugees there are almost a hundred million other Germans. We should be wanting this to work instead of predicting failure and searching for any signs that it won't. It's easy to say no to those on need based on fear, especially we can probably can figure that a few of these refugees will be inspired by radicals. But what about the rest of the people? Is it fair or just to say no to 95% of refugees because there always bad apples in any group? Classifying people into groups of people and then saying that group will cause too many problems is ignoring the harm to many individuals who will not cause any problems. To have heart is to look at the refugees as individuals; it's quite easy to just see them as a million refugees who will cause upheaval.

It's like when Fox News goes crazy when an illegal immigrant commits a serious crime. Well it's unfortunate but you look at enough people a certain percentage are going to do something wrong.

I respect Sass's views , particularly since he works in the immigration field in some capacity. But he seems to be very connected to a point of view that helping these refugees is going to overwhelm Europe and cause some severe problems. From my point of view, I applaud Germany for stepping up to the plate to help solve a massive humanitarian crisis. We should be hoping it works out.
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Post 10 Jan 2016, 3:54 pm

At best only half of the arrivals are Syrian (almost certainly the figure is much smaller given the incidence of fake Syrian passports in circulation and the complete lack of meaningful identity checks), and most of the Syrians had been living in Turkey for a long time prior to making the trip. The idea that these are all desperate people fleeing for their lives is utterly false. What we're talking about here is an unprecedented mass of economic migrants, roughly 80% of whom are young males. It's a recipe for disaster and it's high time that our liberal opinion-formers recognised the fact. Simply hoping that it works out is not good enough. Some of us (in fact most of us) realise that this is an unfolding disaster and want to see an end to it before it's too late. To the best of my knowledge there's never been a migration remotely like this before, and the potential for communal strife that it entails is enormous. Think about this, literacy rates in Syria and Iraq are about 70%. In Afghanistan it's roughly 30%. What this means is that at least a third, but probably more, of the arrivals won't even be able to read or write in arabic, let alone be able to communicate in German. The chances of them being able to find work are miniscule, so what the hell are all these hundreds of thousands of young men going to do all day ? What are the next wave going to do ? Keep in mind that Merkel only made her announcement halfway through 2015 and 1.1 million people arrived afterwards. Imagine how many more unemployable young men with rampantly misogynistic views are going to arrive in 2016. This is utterly unsustainable and I think you know it. Sure, let's hope for the best, but let's not be so naive as to expect it.

The borders have to be sealed, there's no alternative.