danivon wrote:Doctor Fate wrote:And, I for one, reject any linkage of obesity to the necessity of the government to pay for those who can work but won't and doctors who feel sorry for the under-skilled.
Indeed. But do you get the point that increased obesity is a factor in increased genuine disability claims? Or do you have any substantial response to the link to the AARP paper that freeman2 provided?
Fine, let's start with the paper.
It was written in 2001. So, it's applicability to the explosion of Disability claims in the last 4-5 years is?
Not too high.
From the article:
A recent study by the Workers Compensation Research Institute (WCRI) lends support to this observation (Tattrie, Gotz, and Liu 2000). This eight-state study concludes that the aging of the baby boomers should not have a dramatic impact on workers' compensation costs, in part because older workers are often in or shift to safer, less strenuous jobs that make them less prone to injury. Moreover, the investigators argue that while the costs per claim for middle-aged
workers are substantially higher than they are for younger workers, the per-claim costs for
older workers are only slightly higher than those of the middle-aged. Lower claim frequencies tend to offset the higher costs.
The WCRI report suggests caution in generalizing to other states, some of which may have higher age effects on claims than those studied. In addition, this study assumes a relatively modest increase in the proportion of workers aged 55 and over, "an increase too small to yield large age effects" (Tattrie, Gotz, and Liu 2000: 41). Whether a more substantial increase would yield more significant age effects is not known.
Hmm, this seems to throw cold water on your "older people are the reason these claims are going up" argument.
Second, is AARP an unbiased source?
Not in my book. Statistics can be used in a variety of ways and AARP invariably leans heavily Left.
Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) is the second most important disability benefit covering workers (with sufficient quarters of coverage, which most older workers will typically have). The average age of SSDI award has been falling and hovered about 49 years in 1999, down from 57 years for men and 59 years for women in 1957 (Social Security Administration 1999: Table 6.C2). Nonetheless, over one-third of the awards in the past decade have gone to
workers aged 55 and above (Table 8)—a share disproportionate to their representation in the
workforce. The declining age of SSDI awards in the 1980s and 1990s may be due, in part, to
the fact that a smaller share of the labor force was in the older age group, as can be seen in
Figure 1.
So, the age is falling, not rising. So, it has nothing to do with an aging workforce.
Also, older workers are disproportionately represented. I suspect there may be many reasons to examine the fraud issue there: Disability might be a nice "nest egg" for those who have not planned and suddenly realize Social Security is not enough.
DF - I was looking for your actual proposals, not a link to a paper that seems to really be more about how bad the problem is, and cribbing off them. And let's be fair, I only mentioned your lack of original proposals after you'd done the whole ignore/sneer/pretend thing. And after I had discussed with RJ and bbauska their proposals.
(And, that paper was more substantive than anything you, rickyp, or Freeman have posted).
Okay, fine, let's be fair. Fraud is a problem, you want to minimize or ignore it, the "conservatives" believe it is something that ought to be looked at in a serious way--as evidenced by:
bbauska - disability fraud is really a small issue . . .
The problem that they highlight is that certain categories of disability are not 'easy' to judge - particularly for laymen who are annoyed at layabouts claiming, but sometimes also for qualified medical experts. It's easy to spot someone with no legs, they clearly are physically limited. It's not so easy to spot someone with PTSD, or crippling back pain.
Maybe. However, no one has mentioned PTSD that I recall. "Depression" is of another stripe.
Is injury easy to fake? Some are. I know of two people who faked it. One was pregnant and developed "back pain" and was given "injured on the job" status. My response: "Not unless she was impregnated at work." The second was under investigation and went off "stress." How did she get away with it? There is a double standard when it comes to males/females in some jobs.
So this was not just about enforcement of the rules as they stand, but whether the rules themselves were right. Because there is the claim that mental problems and musculoskeletal problems (the two that DF and Tom seemed most exercised about) are grey areas, and so there must be loads of people using that to game the system. I do see that argument, and I do accept there are two groups of people who 'shouldn't' be claiming but are: those who deliberately game the system (although just reading a bunch of symptoms won't always cut it), and those who are in some way disabled by their condition but perhaps not enough to justify full benefits, but do have a legitimate claim to be limited in some way. The former is fraud, but very hard to prove. The latter is not, but if there's little between 'disability' and 'fully able to look for work', people in those grey areas will either be unfairly getting benefits, or unfairly not.
It's not that hard to prove. I know one person who went off "disabled," retired, moved, and joined a softball league. These days people are stupid enough to put such things on FB. With far less effort than the IRS uses, the government could reduce fraudulent claims substantially.
And there is actually still the wider debate if people are gaming the system, and that is why they are. You could simplify it to just laziness and greed, and those will be factors to an extent. But are there other issues here, like few alternatives in terms of work that pays (and here comes the minimum wage, zero-hour contract, insecure job argument) or other welfare/out of work benefits to subsist on.
Mooching off other people is laziness and greed. Spin it however you'd like.