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Post 14 Jan 2012, 10:23 am

rickyp wrote:ray
. If you believe in free enterprise, you can't fault people if they are playing by the rules. As to job statistics, you also have to look at what would have happened to these companies if private equity did not come in.


Absolutely true. But when you are electing people who make up a lot of those rules, then the sense of unfairness that pervades the current economic and politcal climate (from both tea Party and OWS) is key to the Bain issue.


What is "fair" about Solyndra? Didn't Obama risk capital that was not his own to suit his own ideology, ultimately resulting in a failed venture in which taxpayers were put at the end of the line by virtue of "negotiations" by the Administration?

Further, they were not forthcoming (at the very least) about releasing of negative information until after the election. People may not understand the benefits of venture capitalism, but they can surely realize taxpayer money being squandered and then the ensuing cover-up. Didn't we have a right to know Solyndra was firing workers, since it was our money being dumped?

he Obama administration knew before the 2010 election that Solyndra LLC, a solar-panel maker that received a $535 million U.S. loan guarantee, planned to fire workers, according to e-mails released today.

The messages don’t indicate that anyone from the White House directed Solyndra to delay announcing the layoffs until after the vote. Previously released e-mails, indicating the Energy Department urged Solyndra to postpone the cuts, have been cited by House Republicans who say politics influenced Solyndra’s award and last-ditch rescue bid that put taxpayers behind $75 million in private investment.

“Here’s the deal -- Solyndra is going to announce they are laying off 200 of their 1200 workers,” Heather Zichal, a White House adviser, wrote to Carol Browner, then director of the office of Energy and Climate Change Policy, and other officials on Oct. 27, 2010. “No es bueno.”


At the end of the day, which is worse: a business which risks its own money and has successes and failures, or a government which rewards its friends by giving them our money?

I'm not afraid of that debate.

Examples of where past actions and current words conflict will be a constant problem for Mitt.Dollerama. Bain made nearly a billion dollars buying 50% of Dollerama and turning that sub Walmart retailer into a monster winner. Then Mitt campaigns on fighting China's unfair trade policies taking jobs from Americans. You have to search pretty hard to find products in Dollerama that aren't Chinese imports.


So, let me get this straight: one should not take advantage of profit-making opportunities if one knows that down the road one might have to critique the source of those opportunities? In other words, Bain should have let Dollarama go out of business, costing jobs, rather than allow it to import stuff from China?

Um, I guess you want to shutter most businesses in the US? Try to go shopping and buy nothing made in China--I try and it ain't easy. Apple is an evil company? How many other successes should close their doors?

Example: Mitts answer to the auto industry collapse was to let them go bankrupt. Compared to the successful bailout ....


First, that is the "right" thing to do. If not, industries will have little reason to worry about poor business practice. Just wait for the government bailout.

Second, we don't know that it was successful yet. Some of the GM repayment scheme is based on stock options--and the stock ain't all that yet.

Third, what was done in the restructuring was illegal. Just as in Solyndra, legitimate bondholders were put at the back of the line. Who went to the front? Obama's buddies, the unions. The auto bailout is another example of crony capitalism.

those who work in the auto sector will understand that the bailout has worked out pretty good and that the dislocation of as complete bankruptcy would have destroyed a lot of middle class families ...


That's a hypothetical you can't prove.

Those companies would have been reduced in size or sold in parts. Many corporations in those situations come back stronger. In this case, they would not have had as much government interference (star witness: the Volt). The truth is you don't know what would have happened.

They understand that the collateral damage of a bankruptcy, seen as necessary but regretful by the monied managers like Mitt, falls on their families. And that seeming lack of empathy, plays pretty well when his public persona is also so inauthentic.


You know what I look forward to? You critiquing Obama for all the outright lies he tells. Please tell me how "authentic" the Man is.

The reason Tea Party members don't vote for Mitt, is largely that they see him as a figure that will continue a lot of what they also see as unfair. And thats why he's been taken back a notch by the Bain swift boating....


You have no idea what will happen in South Carolina. You don't even have any "friends" in the Tea Party movement, so you have no idea how much antipathy they have for the socialist ideology of President Obama. When it comes down to it, they will go to vote if a ham sandwich is the GOP nominee because they know Obama represents bankruptcy for America.
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Post 14 Jan 2012, 10:33 am

I should have known Ricky either didn't know what he's talking about (typical) or is lying.

rickyp wrote:Examples of where past actions and current words conflict will be a constant problem for Mitt.Dollerama. Bain made nearly a billion dollars buying 50% of Dollerama and turning that sub Walmart retailer into a monster winner. Then Mitt campaigns on fighting China's unfair trade policies taking jobs from Americans. You have to search pretty hard to find products in Dollerama that aren't Chinese imports.


One major problem: Romney was not at Bain when the company bought into Dollarama in 2004.

They did it so well that in November 2004, with 331 stores in Quebec and beyond, Rossy sold 80% of his company to Bain Capital Partners for a reported $1 billion. He says he decided to work with the Boston-based equity firm because they were "nice people." In addition, bringing Bain onboard allowed him to compensate for his own "managerial weaknesses," like an inability to fire or demote people. As proof of his own deficiencies, Rossy notes Dollarama's first comptroller was an accountant who drove to work every day until died at the age of 96. "The guy who was waiting for 25 years to take his place is still with us today," says Rossy. "He's 85. So we have a hard time transitioning people."


He was not at Bain.

Romney left Bain Capital in February 1999 to serve as the President and CEO of the 2002 Salt Lake City Olympic Games Organizing Committee.


What part of this confuses you?

Btw, read the article about the original owner (before Bain) of Dollarama. He brought Bain in to make business decisions because he knew he didn't do that part very well.

Ricky, you define "know nothing."
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Post 14 Jan 2012, 12:32 pm

In my never-ending crusade (is it okay to use that word?) to help, here's a primer on what Bain-types actually do:

I have been a banker and investor in private equity for two decades. Bain has been one of my many clients, and I’ve also worked with companies that sit on the other side of the table from Bain and other private equity funds. Attempts to characterize Mitt Romney and/or Bain Capital as “corporate raiders” or “vultures” will ultimately fail the test of facts, analysis, and fairness.

Private equity firms differ in a few respects from their public-investing brethren like Fidelity, T. Rowe Price, etc., but they are ultimately the same animals: they are looking to deploy equity capital for a return commensurate with the risk they are taking on. They invest on behalf of individuals, pension funds, insurance companies, and charitable foundations, like universities and hospitals, who trust them to manage their money for a decent return. Like any investor, Bain makes good bets and they make bad bets.

The key difference is that private equity funds tend to invest in shares that are not listed on stock exchanges and they often invest a large single amount so as to control the companies they invest with — although there are many exceptions to those rules. Bain, in particular, does a significant amount of non-control investments in companies (such as LinkedIn). In any event, they are singularly focused on getting their investment dollars into good companies, not bad ones, and backing exceptional management teams that are focused on running healthy, profitable companies. To paraphrase Samuel Gompers (the founder of the American labor movement): the biggest enemy of the working man is an unprofitable, poorly-managed company. He would applaud Bain.

What Bain Capital is NOT is a highly regulated entity, like a bank and brokerage, that also has access to the Fed borrowing window. Bain does not speculate, hedge, create new financial instruments, etc.. So while I might quibble with Romney saying he was not on “Wall Street,” the reality is Bain is NOT directly part of the thin-air, money-creation industry that everyone from Ron Paul to MoveOn.org has justifiable concerns with. Of course the biggest recent funny money operators have been Obama with his 100B per month deficits and Helicopter Ben who buys the debt via the fed printing press to keep interest rates low — but that is a topic for another day.

Critics might argue that by controlling their investments, private equity funds have an incentive to saddle their companies with debt and/or management fees and “loot” their companies. The main problem with this theory is: where is the advantage in stealing from yourself? Cash out equals a one-to-one reduction in the equity value of your holdings. Moreover, private equity is an extremely competitive business and good managers are a highly sought-after commodity. The best industry managers (and those that follow these leaders) have ZERO incentive to go work for a company and shareholders in the business of cutting off their noses to spite their faces.

There may well be companies with assets and organizations that are simply unrecoverable, but that is more a function of uncompetitive costs, technology disruption, changes in consumer preference etc. These are the LAST companies that Bain and its brethren will look to put their money in, with the rare exception when they believe they can extend an “end of life” business and save related jobs.

Moreover, private equity has been a critical check on the 1970s-style under-performing, over-paid, entrenched public company management. All the teeth-gnashing about incompetent CEOs getting paid enormous sums by rubber-stamp boards goes away in the private equity environment.


Now, if someone wants to show where Romney looted a company, that's fine. I think it is important though to at least know when he was at Bain and what Bain actually does.
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Post 14 Jan 2012, 1:09 pm

steve
So, let me get this straight: one should not take advantage of profit-making opportunities if one knows that down the road one might have to critique the source of those opportunities? In other words, Bain should have let Dollarama go out of business, costing jobs, rather than allow it to import stuff from China


I'm not criticizing the actions of Bain. I'm saying that when Bain ; who Mitt is forever linked with, even those activities from when he wasn't on staff. as he still receives money from Bain, does something that contradicts his stump rhetoric he has a problem.
Its those contradictions piling up that are eroding his support in SC.
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Post 14 Jan 2012, 1:41 pm

Hmm. I'm not sure that I'm convinced by the rationalisations there. Bain was quite capable of making money out of companies as it saddled them with debt (remember that if they didn't own 100% of the shares, cash out would still see them up in net terms, as the other equity holders would end up with some of the loss too).
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Post 14 Jan 2012, 2:23 pm

rickyp wrote:steve
So, let me get this straight: one should not take advantage of profit-making opportunities if one knows that down the road one might have to critique the source of those opportunities? In other words, Bain should have let Dollarama go out of business, costing jobs, rather than allow it to import stuff from China


I'm not criticizing the actions of Bain. I'm saying that when Bain ; who Mitt is forever linked with, even those activities from when he wasn't on staff. as he still receives money from Bain, does something that contradicts his stump rhetoric he has a problem.


Only with people who are too stupid to sort things out.

Its those contradictions piling up that are eroding his support in SC.


Talk to me after the primary. Better yet: make a prediction. I need a laugh.
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Post 14 Jan 2012, 4:13 pm

Doctor Fate wrote:Better yet: make a prediction. I need a laugh.


Jon Huntsman wins South Carolins :wink:
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Post 14 Jan 2012, 4:27 pm

Archduke Russell John wrote:
Doctor Fate wrote:Better yet: make a prediction. I need a laugh.


Jon Huntsman wins South Carolins :wink:


Thank you! I appreciate that!

I saw the so-called evangelical leaders settled on Santorum. I don't know if it will matter. I think it's too little and too late. The only way to stop Romney is for everyone to bail out except one candidate (and no, it can't be Paul). Since that won't happen, he's it.

Here's something Ricky can't grasp: it is conservatives who are rallying to Romney. Why? Because they know that running against capitalism (like the idiot Gingrich) is going to mean we'll have Obama versus Faux Obama. I think people will vote for the "real" Obama if that is the choice.

For those who think Romney is a mushy moderate. We'll find out, I reckon.

I do know that a libertarian radio host up here has been touting Romney for years as a "Rushmorian" President (as in Mt. Rushmore). He actually knows Mitt and is sold on him, and has been for years. To put it in perspective, this same host thought GWB should be impeached for invading Iraq. Mind you, that had nothing to do with WMD, but he thought Iraq was not properly within our national interests and so Bush should be tried.

That guy thinks Romney will be a great President..
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Post 14 Jan 2012, 4:29 pm

One more note, then I'm done for the day. I saw it reported that Gingrich was booed on the Huckabee South Carolina roundtable. I think he is going to find out Bain is one big boomerang.
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Post 14 Jan 2012, 8:34 pm

George's point about you can't fault someone for manipulating the rules to their advantage is well-taken. I have been criticized for doing the same in the past in certain fantasy sports games... My response was always, well, if you think what I did was unfair then change the rules. The question will be do the rules need to be changed and clearly if that is the case then Romney would not be the one to preside over changing the rules.
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Post 14 Jan 2012, 10:06 pm

All I have to say is that I have been following all the events unfolding around the world (Middle East mainly), along with the world economic situation. On the side I have been following your presidential campaigns, so from down under here in the magical land of Oz. Ron Paul for president.
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Post 15 Jan 2012, 2:19 pm

freeman2 wrote:George's point about you can't fault someone for manipulating the rules to their advantage is well-taken. I have been criticized for doing the same in the past in certain fantasy sports games... My response was always, well, if you think what I did was unfair then change the rules. The question will be do the rules need to be changed and clearly if that is the case then Romney would not be the one to preside over changing the rules.


I have mixed feelings about private equity and its role in our economy. On the plus side they give founders of companies a way out. They have become an important "exit strategy" for many entrepreneurs, which is mostly a good thing, because these people can't work forever.

But their method of doing business is so high risk for the company they buy. Typically, they pony up a small amount of capital and then have the company borrow the rest to pay off the owner (or to go private) and then the company has to make even more profit, while at the same time being responsible for the debt payments. Typically requires massive re-engineering, so that even if you don't lose your job with the target company, you're often responsible for twice as much work after the deal is done.

I'd love to see private equity put up more $$ when they buy these companies, but I don't see how that could be required. I think you've got to let the market work itself out. Eventually, with enough failures, these folks will have a harder time selling the debt that they use and they will be forced to increase their equity and decrease their leverage.
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Post 16 Jan 2012, 6:43 am

With Huntsman leaving today and endorsing Romney ... and the slide in SC stemmed, Mitt looks to be just about home and cooled out. He'll cruise through Florida and finish off whoevers' still left on Super Tuesday.

Which makes the head to head the only interesting number to follow....

General Election: Romney vs. Obama
FOX News
Obama 46, Romney 45
Obama +1

If Bain has an effect, it won't be ultimately on republican committed... But will affect Independents and those conservative Dems who might have switched... And thats got to be the reason everyone in the party jumped on the republican candidates who were using Bain as a cudgel...
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Post 16 Jan 2012, 11:09 am

rickyp wrote:If Bain has an effect, it won't be ultimately on republican committed... But will affect Independents and those conservative Dems who might have switched... And thats got to be the reason everyone in the party jumped on the republican candidates who were using Bain as a cudgel...


This is so funny to me. Which is going to be a bigger turn off to independent voters: a man who has presided over the largest deficits in US history and has not even proposed a remotely serious approach to reducing them or a man who engaged in capitalism AND turned around the Winter Olympics? One has an understanding of economics even if the results were not always pretty. The other? Well, he sure seems capable of class warfare, but not of addressing any of the fundamental budgetary problems facing this country.

Oh, and there is the whole Obamacare thing.

Digging deeper into the Fox poll, here's a nugget from page 19: Job approval for Obama among independents is 52% disapprove, 36% approve. Hint: that's not good.
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Post 16 Jan 2012, 11:12 am

Not that this will make the Archduke feel better, but I caught a bit of Huntsman on the Huckabee show this weekend. He was answering a question from an SC voter re the Department of Education. He was brilliant. It actually made me think "Well, maybe if this turns into a dogfight, he could be the guy."

I was actually, for the first time, excited about his candidacy.