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Post 11 Sep 2013, 2:45 pm

freeman3 wrote:Well it's good to know that Tom is reading our posts carefully. .Aha!, so you did vote for Romney, RJ!...If I ever become president I am appointing Randy as my Secretary of State because he would (1) kick butt and take no prisoners, and (2) we could refight the Civil War in our spare time...Is it just me or did Tom and Ricky have the same English teacher who loved Virginia Woolf and stream of consciousness...

Okay, now THAT was funny!
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 3:03 pm

freeman3 wrote:Well it's good to know that Tom is reading our posts carefully. .Aha!, so you did vote for Romney, RJ!...If I ever become president I am appointing Randy as my Secretary of State because he would (1) kick butt and take no prisoners, and (2) we could refight the Civil War in our spare time...Is it just me or did Tom and Ricky have the same English teacher who loved Virginia Woolf and stream of consciousness...

Woolf? I think sometimes it's more Joycean.

I am confused, also. There are very few Obama supporters on this thread who are backing military action. Those of us who tend to prefer Obama over Republicans and are also opposed to military action are what, chopped liver?
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 6:17 pm

Myself, I don't care to get involved in someone else's civil war. I don't want to get involved in anything that does not affect American security. Syria equals no action on both counts.
Simple really, some of the reasons for action stated here include because we need to reinforce a stupid statement the president made, one of the dumbest things I have heard but to actually back that statement is beyond all reason.

and Randy and I share so very few thoughts, someone isn't paying attention.
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Post 12 Sep 2013, 2:17 am

Tom, if the USA were in splendid isolation, your second criteria would make sense. But you are not. You have a NATO ally (Turkey), another long term ally (Israel) and a recently occupied nation that you have significant interest in (Iraq) all on the borders of Syria and all already being affected in some way, with the potential for further impacts.

That doesn't mean you have to use military force, but it also means you do have commitments and interests that you cannot suddenly ignore.

There is also the humanitarian angle, with a large number of refugees needing help. The least we in the rich West can do is to assist the aid effort for them.
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Post 12 Sep 2013, 5:30 am

If we are drawn into conflict due to alliances, that's a different story of course. But right now the key word you mention is "potential" yes there are potential impacts but we have none just yet and such a strike could very well make matters worse for those allies in the region. Why does nobody not mention the very possible bad side effects of such an attack? i have not seen anything here other than my posts, should a western (mostly US) attack be made, watch the entire situation amp up and get worse! How does THAT help our allies in the region???

Right now we have refugees spilling over into some of these countries and I have no problem with aiding refugees. I have no problem bending immigration rules and letting many in to the country, sending food and medical supplies, I have no problem helping allies by sending patriot missiles to held defend themselves from possible future spillovers. I did not say I was against helping allies, helping allies is in fact part of our security. I am not an isolationist though it certainly may have come across as such. Right now this is a civil war, that would be bad enough to get involved in, but to pick sides when both sides are against you ...that's just plain stupid!
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Post 12 Sep 2013, 8:46 am

Ray
But, Kerry/Obama have ceded the political battleground to Putin. He looks like a diplomatic genius and they look like . . . well, themselves

You never replied...and i'd like to know ...

If the surrender of WMD by Syria goes through, have they achieved their goals? And have they achieved them without having to strike militarily?
How is this a failure?
If they've coopted Putin and Putin gains a little credibility through his invovlement does it diminish the achievement of the goal? Why?
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Post 12 Sep 2013, 9:31 am

rickyp wrote:Ray
But, Kerry/Obama have ceded the political battleground to Putin. He looks like a diplomatic genius and they look like . . . well, themselves

You never replied...and i'd like to know ...

If the surrender of WMD by Syria goes through, have they achieved their goals? And have they achieved them without having to strike militarily?
How is this a failure?
If they've coopted Putin and Putin gains a little credibility through his invovlement does it diminish the achievement of the goal? Why?


There's a reason he didn't reply. I'll let you guess.

Meanwhile (hint), I'll remind you that you begin with a huge two-letter word: "if."

Furthermore, they didn't co-opt Putin (see NYT op-ed by the Russian President). He jumped on a throw-away line from Kerry (see statement from State Department immediately afterward) to get Assad out of the crosshairs. Watch what happens now: at best, at the absolute best, there will be a slow process wherein some of the weapons Russia supplied will be turned over (and replaced in the future, if needed). This was a play for time--nothing more.

But, it points to the bigger problem: Obama has zero strategy in the region. He is involved in problems tactically, but there is no "vision." He has no idea what he's trying to accomplish. That's why Syria would be a huge mistake. We don't want either side to win, so why get our toes into the water?
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Post 12 Sep 2013, 11:06 am

Ricky, you never replied...and I'd like to know...

Why no outrage over the situation in the Congo?
Please tell me why you seem to think it ok to ignore that situation while you want to get into Syria? Please explain why Congo is no issue to worry yourself about and why Syria is and why Libya was, methinks you have no leg to stand on when comparing situations.
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Post 12 Sep 2013, 11:26 am

Ricky:
Ray


But, Kerry/Obama have ceded the political battleground to Putin. He looks like a diplomatic genius and they look like . . . well, themselves

You never replied...and i'd like to know ...


On this thread you misquote people and don't know who said what and on another thread you are in the wrong millennium; man, get a grip of yourself.
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Post 12 Sep 2013, 11:29 am

A word about ODS from that well-known Obama opponent, Joe Klein:

On the eve of the 12th anniversary of the 9/11 terrorist attacks, Barack Obama made the strongest possible case for the use of force against Bashar Assad’s Syrian regime. But it wasn’t a very strong case. Indeed, it was built on a false premise: “We can stop children from being gassed to death,” he said, after he summoned grisly images of kids writhing and foaming at the mouth and then dying on hospital floors. Does he really think we can do that with a limited military strike—or the rather tenuous course of diplomacy now being pursued? We might not be able to do it even if we sent in 250,000 troops and got rid of Assad. The gas could be transferred to terrorists, most likely Hizballah, before we would find all or even most of it. And that is the essence of the policy problem Obama has been wrestling with on Syria: when you explore the possibilities for intervention, any vaguely plausible action quickly reaches a dead end.

The President knows this, which makes his words and gestures during the weeks leading up to his Syria speech all the more perplexing. He willingly jumped into a bear trap of his own creation. In the process, he has damaged his presidency and weakened the nation’s standing in the world. It has been one of the more stunning and inexplicable displays of presidential incompetence that I’ve ever witnessed. The failure cuts straight to the heart of a perpetual criticism of the Obama White House: that the President thinks he can do foreign policy all by his lonesome. This has been the most closely held American foreign-policy-making process since Nixon and Kissinger, only there’s no Kissinger. There is no éminence grise—think of someone like Brent Scowcroft—who can say to Obama with real power and credibility, Mr. President, you’re doing the wrong thing here. Let’s consider the consequences if you call the use of chemical weapons a “red line.” Or, Mr. President, how can you talk about this being “the world’s red line” if the world isn’t willing to take action? Perhaps those questions, and many others, fell through the cracks as his first-term national-security staff departed and a new team came in. But Obama has shown a desire to have national-security advisers who were “honest brokers”—people who relayed information to him—rather than global strategists. In this case, his new staff apparently raised the important questions about going to Congress for a vote: Do you really want to do this for a limited strike? What if they say no? But the President ignored them, which probably means that the staff isn’t strong enough.

The public presentation of his policies has been left to the likes of Secretary of State John Kerry, whose statements had to be refuted twice by the President in the Syria speech. Kerry had said there might be a need for “boots on the ground” in Syria. (Obama: No boots.) Kerry had said the military strikes would be “unbelievably small.” (Obama: We don’t do pinpricks.) Worst of all, Kerry bumbled into prematurely mentioning a not-very-convincing Russian “plan” to get rid of the Syrian chemical weapons. This had been under private discussion for months, apparently, the sort of dither that bad guys—Saddam, the Iranians, Assad—always use as a delaying tactic. Kerry, in bellicose mode, seemed to be making fun of the idea—and the Russians called him on it. Kerry’s staff tried to walk back this megagaffe, calling it a “rhetorical exercise.” As it stands, no one will be surprised if the offer is a ruse, but the Administration is now trapped into seeing it through and gambling that it will be easier to get a congressional vote if it fails.

Which gets close to the Obama Administration’s problem: there have been too many “rhetorical exercises,” too many loose pronouncements of American intent without having game-planned the consequences. This persistent problem—remember the President’s needless and dangerous assertion that his policy wasn’t the “containment” of the Iranian nuclear program—has metastasized into a flurry of malarkey about Syria. It’s been two years since he said, “Assad must step aside.” He announced the “red line” and “the world’s red line.” And now, “We can stop children from being gassed.” The Chinese believe that the strongest person in the room says the least. The President is the strongest person, militarily, in the world. He does not have to broadcast his intentions. He should convey them privately, wait for a response, then take action, or not. He should do what the Israelis did when they took out the Syrian nuclear reactor: they did it, without advance bluster, and didn’t even claim credit for it afterward. The wolf doesn’t have to cry wolf, nor should the American eagle. We must stand for restrained moral power, power that is absolutely lethal and purposeful when it is unleashed, but never unleashed wantonly, without a precise plan or purpose.


Even the President's most ardent supporters are beginning to have the scales fall from their eyes.
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Post 12 Sep 2013, 12:41 pm

GMTom wrote:If we are drawn into conflict due to alliances, that's a different story of course. But right now the key word you mention is "potential" yes there are potential impacts but we have none just yet and such a strike could very well make matters worse for those allies in the region.
A potential threat is a threat by definition (as a threat is a potential danger)

GMTom wrote:Why does nobody not mention the very possible bad side effects of such an attack? i have not seen anything here other than my posts, should a western (mostly US) attack be made, watch the entire situation amp up and get worse! How does THAT help our allies in the region???
Nobody?


These are just some of the comments from people not called GMTom on the thread so far. Several of us have mentioned how things could be worsened by a US- or Western-led attack.

danivon wrote:
DEFIANT wrote:This whole thing is a powder keg and this may be the ignition to set off the middle east. But to take no action is an action, so by sitting on the sidelines we do not in partial control the situation in Syria, it may blow without our input...
Syria may well set things off, but then again so could Western intervention, particularly of the military kind.


freeman3 wrote:From what I understand that by getting rid of Assad we may be allowing people to come to power that are more anti-western, anti-Israel than Assad is


Doctor Fate wrote:If our enemies (Syria is a client of Iran and supplies/supports Hezbollah) are shooting each other, should we interject a few missiles or planes? What will that do? The other side (the rebels) are hardly "freedom fighters." We've been down this road a few times now--haven't we learned anything?


Doctor Fate wrote:The rebels are really not "good guys."

And, what if there are indirect consequences? Iran decides to fire up a Hezbollah missile campaign against Israel, or whatever. We cannot expect "nothing" to happen.

What will such a strike accomplish? Will it kill more civilians?


dag hammarsjkold wrote:1. if green light, Congress takes the blame alongside you when things go wrong and they will go wrong. This way you safeguard the party in 2016 for shouldering the blame for what will of course become a quagmire costing more billions.


danivon wrote:As you rightly point out I am wary of the unintended consequences of an Israeli airstrike on Iran. Similarly, and not coincidentally, I am wary of the unintended consequences of a US airstrike on Syria.


dag hammarsjkold wrote:And can someone tell me what is the big damn hurry for intervention? I don't get it. Why the rush to punish? What is the harm in biding our time and taking things slow? Isn't it possible that in time a solution may present itself?

I can not believe any of this crazy talk. A strike will solve nothing, add to the complexity, create ample opportunity for more suffering, more hatred, entangle us in yet another mindless effort costing us millions or even billions that we can not afford.


Like Ricky, you have a selective memory.
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Post 12 Sep 2013, 4:13 pm

no, of these examples only one mention by yourself of "unintended consequences" and a similar one by DF. Nothing about making the rebels fight longer and harder, if you decide to prove me wrong, please use examples that actually prove me wrong!

and your comment about a potential threat...really?
potential threats are just that POTENTIAL, they are not threatening only MIGHT. Using your own potential threat example, we should be sending cruise missiles into North Korea, Iran, Palestine even Mexico, after all, the potential threat of Mexican drug lords taking power is there, we must stop it!
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Post 12 Sep 2013, 11:57 pm

Tom, if you think I support military action in Syria, think again. I just disagree with your assertions that it is just a civil war. So drawing parallels with other issues is a bust.

So on Mexico, of course you have an interest, what with it being right next door and comnected with xrime in your country. Doesn't mean that the only logical option is military strikes either. Just that the US has an interest and has reason to be involved in some way.

And sorry, but the comments I posted from myself, DF, dh and others are no less vague than yours when it comes to the negative impacts than yours. You didn't say no-one but you had mentioned a specific aspect, you claimed to be the only one who'd come up with any negative impacts at all.

Why would you do that - rubbish the contribution made by people who are agreeing with you?
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Post 13 Sep 2013, 2:56 am

Obama and his noodle of a Secretary of State have been played like a Russian fiddle. Now that Putin has taken charge of the situation Assad will carry on business as usual.

I had a feeling that once Russian navy started positioning itself nearer the trouble Obama would be looking for ways to shut the hell up.

http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/articles/505836/20130913/syria-russia-mediterranean-navy-kerry-lavrov-geneva.htm

Fortunately for us and the world, Putin has proven the senior statesman by usurping control of the region and dictating what will and will not transpire. In this particular case, Putin has saved the US from certain stupidity and has allowed for us a way out. Obama should be sending him cigars as a thank you.

That Kerry thinks he's going to somehow push the Russians into pressuring Assad to comply with US demands is hilarious. Kerry is now the laughing stock of politicians the world over. But that's ok and really, I am relieved by this. We needed a way out and this was it. I just find it tragically humorous that it took our own stupidity to save us from our own stupidity. But you know what, I'll take it if it means avoiding further bloodshed, suffering and endless spending.

Rickyp said earlier that...

If the surrender of WMD by Syria goes through, have they achieved their goals? And have they achieved them without having to strike militarily?
How is this a failure?
If they've coopted Putin and Putin gains a little credibility through his invovlement does it diminish the achievement of the goal? Why?


"Coopted Putin? Hey Rickyp, Putin is a Russian. If you think for a minute that any of this hogwash about Assad handing over anything will come to fruition you are as gullible as Gomer Pile. Both Assad and Putin are having a laugh at the moment.

The only thing Assad will be handing over to Putin will be a complimentary bottle of vodka and a pat on the back for a job well done.

Obama just got played. And thank God for it.
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Post 13 Sep 2013, 3:39 am

Allow me to add that I like what the Kentucky Senator Paul Rand has had to say concerning Syria. I believe he serves on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee?

http://www.paul.senate.gov/?p=press_release&id=959