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Statesman
 
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 6:34 am

By the way has it occured to anyone that Fate continues to argue the justification for the Iraq War of 2003 was the perceived presence of WMDs ....
but that the proven and admitted presence of WMDs in Syria is not a justification?

I guess this is evidence of evolution?
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 6:40 am

silly me, sanctions in Iran are just soooooo effective!?
Iran continues to plod along on their way to having nuclear weapons and the world does NOTHING about it. Or wait, we imposed sanctions that are not working but Rickyp decides these sanctions are effective. When I said we have done nothing it was in regards to doing what they are supposed to do, stop the nuclear ambitions of Iran and as far as that ...nothing has been done!

and yes a strike by cruise missiles can devastate Syria's airforce, that would make them far less powerful and less effective vs the rebels. But why is this a good thing?
This strike would give the rebels more hope, it would lead to more fighting and more death on both sides. The war will continue for a lot longer with a lot more death and destruction. Be careful what you wish for!

Please explain to me why it is ok for the west to step in here.
Then explain why it was ok in Libya
Then please tell me why it was wrong to do so in Iraq
and why should we do nothing in the Philippines
what about Mali? DRC? why do you ignore the situation in DRC, why is Syria an issue? Why was Lioya ok but not DRC? You simply are all over the place here with one reason and one reason only, supporting your partisan politics!
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 6:57 am

Tom:
Please explain to me why it is ok for the west to step in here.


1. Moral: Syria used chemical weapons. If we don't respond, they or someone else may use them again.
2. Political: Obama said it was a red line. He's also said that Iran gaining nukes is a redline. If he doesn't respond to this redline there's no reason to believe that he will respond to the next redline. Iran will keep going full steam ahead. Israel may attack them. Saudi Arabia may try to develop nukes on their own. This takes the world's most unstable region to a new level.
3. Strategic: There is a Iran-Syria-Hezbollah-sometimes Russia --sometimes Iraq axis of power. We need to weaken them. They have supported terrorism in the past and they will do so again. They may use chemical weapons in the future against U.S. or other western civilian targets.

These three components are aligned making it worth our while. However, Obama has already gutted #2 by going to Congress, so it is a weaker case now.
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 7:05 am

My question was regarding the entire group.
In Syria the reasons for stepping in is due to chemical weapons. What was the reason in Libya? Why was the Iraq war wrong?

Syria = Chemical weapons = Good attack
Libya = no chemical weapons = Good attack
Iraq = chemical weapons = Bad attack
DRC = no chemical weapons (but 5.4 million deaths, 47% of deaths are children, rape, children soldiers, etc) = Doing nothing is good?

...The rationale makes no sense does it?

and I almost laughed out loud at this gem
They may use chemical weapons in the future against U.S. or other western civilian targets.

funny how this SAME thing was said about Iraq and dismissed as no reason to attack Iraq. It was wrong in Iraq (per liberals) then it simply must not be a valid reason now

Oh, and the "Red Line" speech, a stupid, ill conceived comment that requires a president saving face is absolutely ZERO reason to get into a war! I guess Bush and his comments on an aircraft carrier were good reason for war in Iraq???
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 7:14 am

I think it is the confluence of reasons and not one reason on its own. Morally, liberating Iraq from Hussein was the right thing to do. However, strategically, invading Iraq was an error. Previously they were contained and a good counterweight against Iran. This is much clearer now in hindsight then when Bush made his decision.

I don't think you can expect any country to be consistent over a 30 year span. Circumstances change; leaders change; opinions change; hopefully we get smarter, but not always.
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 7:26 am

rickyp wrote:By the way has it occured to anyone that Fate continues to argue the justification for the Iraq War of 2003 was the perceived presence of WMDs ....
but that the proven and admitted presence of WMDs in Syria is not a justification?

I guess this is evidence of evolution?

This is evidence of your illiteracy. I did not "argue (for) the justification for the Iraq War of 2003 (on the basis) of WMDs."

I have argued it was legal under the ceasefire. That is not an endorsement. I have NEVER said it was justified because of WMD.

So, either learn how to read or stop lying.

There were inspectors. Saddam hindered them--he certainly did not cooperate. That's just a fact.

There is a war in Syria. You suggest Assad will simply turn over the chemical weapons. Okay, but shouldn't that be verified? Or, is a mass murderer trustworthy in your opinion?
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 7:36 am

Ray Jay wrote:Tom:
Please explain to me why it is ok for the west to step in here.


1. Moral: Syria used chemical weapons. If we don't respond, they or someone else may use them again.


If we respond with "an unbelievably small" strike (the way Kerry described it, I think Assad's comic book collection is a goner), that specifically does not tilt the war, what is the disincentive? Why not use them again? Why not try to get the US more involved? That likely would cause action from Iran or Russia or Hezbollah.

In effect, another strike is a second "red line." We would have to defend President Obama's honor again. This seems like a Gulf of Tonkin-type situation wherein we slowly become immersed in a war we don't really want.

2. Political: Obama said it was a red line. He's also said that Iran gaining nukes is a redline. If he doesn't respond to this redline there's no reason to believe that he will respond to the next redline. Iran will keep going full steam ahead. Israel may attack them. Saudi Arabia may try to develop nukes on their own. This takes the world's most unstable region to a new level.


Agreed, but the correct answer to this one was an immediate response from the US, not the dilly-dallying we've seen. At this point, only the obliteration of Assad would mean anything to Iran.

3. Strategic: There is a Iran-Syria-Hezbollah-sometimes Russia --sometimes Iraq axis of power. We need to weaken them. They have supported terrorism in the past and they will do so again. They may use chemical weapons in the future against U.S. or other western civilian targets.


But, Kerry/Obama have ceded the political battleground to Putin. He looks like a diplomatic genius and they look like . . . well, themselves.

These three components are aligned making it worth our while. However, Obama has already gutted #2 by going to Congress, so it is a weaker case now.


He has boxed himself into a corner, standing on one foot, facing the wall. We're going to lose this. If it's poker, he made a large wager and the other guy is holding aces and raised. The President can either risk further humiliation and loss, or fold and live to fight another day.
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 7:44 am

Dr. Fate:
He has boxed himself into a corner, standing on one foot, facing the wall. We're going to lose this. If it's poker, he made a large wager and the other guy is holding aces and raised. The President can either risk further humiliation and loss, or fold and live to fight another day.


He certainly seems like a Newbie in this one. If this were a standard Dip game I think he would be first one out by Spring 03. Fortunately he starts with the most units on the board (and everyone else has only 1 or 2 or at most 3) so we will survive till 2017.
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 8:14 am

fate
I have NEVER said it was justified because of WMD.


sure you dd. Constantly. we had long debates on the old board and WMDs were always a reason to go for you ..
(They woul have been for me too, but the UN inspectors had ruled out their presence,).
You've only flopped since Obama came to power.

tom
sanctions in Iran are just soooooo effective!?

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100924712

These guys think so. Whats the alternative? Force? That you are arguing against in Syria?
When the Syrian gas is actually there, but the Iranians haven;t got nuclear weapons?

tom
There is a war in Syria. You suggest Assad will simply turn over the chemical weapons. Okay, but shouldn't that be verified? Or, is a mass murderer trustworthy in your opinion?


Of course verifiation is required. Just as was required from Ghaddaffi .... And was achieved.
Voluntary surrender and verification is far more certain than military force without boots on the ground.

Ray
But, Kerry/Obama have ceded the political battleground to Putin. He looks like a diplomatic genius and they look like . . . well, themselves


If the surrender of WMD by Syria goes through, have they achieved their goals? And have they achieved them without having to strike militarily?
How is this a failure?
If they've coopted Putin and Putin gains a little credibility through his invovlement does it diminish the achievement of the goal? Why?
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 8:18 am

rickyp wrote:fate
I have NEVER said it was justified because of WMD.


sure you dd. Constantly. we had long debates on the old board and WMDs were always a reason to go for you ..
(They woul have been for me too, but the UN inspectors had ruled out their presence,).
You've only flopped since Obama came to power.


You're a liar.

So, the standard for you is to just make up someone else's position, then insist they hold it?

You're the lowest.
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 8:21 am

rickyp wrote:Ray
But, Kerry/Obama have ceded the political battleground to Putin. He looks like a diplomatic genius and they look like . . . well, themselves


If the surrender of WMD by Syria goes through, have they achieved their goals? And have they achieved them without having to strike militarily?
How is this a failure?
If they've coopted Putin and Putin gains a little credibility through his invovlement does it diminish the achievement of the goal? Why?


That wasn't RJ.

Your statement begins with "if."

Let me know when that happens. Meanwhile, anyone with a pulse knows Putin took Obama to the woodshed. That obviously lets you out.
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 8:26 am

fate
There were inspectors. Saddam hindered them--he certainly did not cooperate. That's just a fact


The claim that UNSCOM weapons inspectors were expelled by Iraq has been repeated frequently. U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell, in his February 5, 2003 speech before the U.N. Security Council, called for action against Iraq and stated falsely that "Saddam Hussein forced out the last inspectors in 1998".[14] The claim has appeared repeatedly in the news media.[15] However, according to UNSCOM inspector Richard Butler himself, it was U.S. Ambassador Peter Burleigh, acting on instructions from Washington, who suggested Butler pull his team from Iraq in order to protect them from the forthcoming U.S. and British air strikes: "I received a telephone call from US Ambassador Peter Burleigh inviting me for a private conversation at the US mission... Burleigh informed me that on instructions from Washington it would be 'prudent to take measures to ensure the safety and security of UNSCOM staff presently in Iraq.' ... I told him that I would act on this advice and remove my staff from Iraq."[16

In
a 2005 interview Ritter criticized the Clinton administration's use of a blocked inspection of a Ba'ath party headquarters to justify the bombing.
Public perception is that the Iraqis were confrontational and blocking the work of the inspectors. In 98% of the inspections, the Iraqis did everything we asked them to because it dealt with disarmament. However when we got into issues of sensitivity, such as coming close to presidential security installations, Iraqis raised a flag and said, “Time out. We got a C.I.A. out there that's trying to kill our president and we're not very happy about giving you access to the most sensitive installations and the most sensitive personalities in Iraq.” So we had these modalities, where we agreed that if we came to a site and the Iraqis called it ‘sensitive,’ we go in with four people.
In 1998, the inspection team went to a site. It was the Baath Party headquarters, like going to Republican Party headquarters or Democratic Party headquarters. The Iraqis said, “You can't come in – you can come in. Come on in.” The inspectors said, “The modalities no longer apply.” The Iraqis said, “If you don't agree to the modalities, we can't support letting you in,” and the Iraqis wouldn't allow the inspections to take place.
Bill Clinton said, “This proves the Iraqis are not cooperating,” and he ordered the inspectors out. But you know the United States government ordered the inspectors to withdraw from the modalities without conferring with the Security Council. It took Iraqis by surprise. Iraqis were saying, “We're playing by the rules, why aren’t you? If you're not going play by the rules, then it’s a game that we don't want to participate in.” Bill Clinton ordered the inspectors out. Saddam didn't kick them out

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_of_Iraq_(1998)
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 8:39 am

rickyp wrote:fate
There were inspectors. Saddam hindered them--he certainly did not cooperate. That's just a fact


The claim that UNSCOM weapons inspectors were expelled by Iraq has been repeated frequently. U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell, in his February 5, 2003 speech before the U.N. Security Council, called for action against Iraq and stated falsely that "Saddam Hussein forced out the last inspectors in 1998".[14] The claim has appeared repeatedly in the news media.[15] However, according to UNSCOM inspector Richard Butler himself, it was U.S. Ambassador Peter Burleigh, acting on instructions from Washington, who suggested Butler pull his team from Iraq in order to protect them from the forthcoming U.S. and British air strikes: "I received a telephone call from US Ambassador Peter Burleigh inviting me for a private conversation at the US mission... Burleigh informed me that on instructions from Washington it would be 'prudent to take measures to ensure the safety and security of UNSCOM staff presently in Iraq.' ... I told him that I would act on this advice and remove my staff from Iraq."[16

In
a 2005 interview Ritter criticized the Clinton administration's use of a blocked inspection of a Ba'ath party headquarters to justify the bombing.
Public perception is that the Iraqis were confrontational and blocking the work of the inspectors. In 98% of the inspections, the Iraqis did everything we asked them to because it dealt with disarmament. However when we got into issues of sensitivity, such as coming close to presidential security installations, Iraqis raised a flag and said, “Time out. We got a C.I.A. out there that's trying to kill our president and we're not very happy about giving you access to the most sensitive installations and the most sensitive personalities in Iraq.” So we had these modalities, where we agreed that if we came to a site and the Iraqis called it ‘sensitive,’ we go in with four people.
In 1998, the inspection team went to a site. It was the Baath Party headquarters, like going to Republican Party headquarters or Democratic Party headquarters. The Iraqis said, “You can't come in – you can come in. Come on in.” The inspectors said, “The modalities no longer apply.” The Iraqis said, “If you don't agree to the modalities, we can't support letting you in,” and the Iraqis wouldn't allow the inspections to take place.
Bill Clinton said, “This proves the Iraqis are not cooperating,” and he ordered the inspectors out. But you know the United States government ordered the inspectors to withdraw from the modalities without conferring with the Security Council. It took Iraqis by surprise. Iraqis were saying, “We're playing by the rules, why aren’t you? If you're not going play by the rules, then it’s a game that we don't want to participate in.” Bill Clinton ordered the inspectors out. Saddam didn't kick them out

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_of_Iraq_(1998)


I never said "Saddam kicked them out." You cite Ritter, one man.

Of course, that means that Clinton, UNSCOM, and Blix were all lying. Again, you're a moron--and a liar.

In April 1991 Iraq provided its first of what would be several declarations of its chemical weapons programs.[59] Subsequent declarations submitted by Iraq in June 1992 , March 1995, June 1996 came only after pressure from UNSCOM.[59] In February 1998 , UNSCOM unanimously determined that after seven years of attempts to establish the extent of Iraq’s chemical weapons programs, that Iraq had still not given the Commission sufficient information for them to conclude that Iraq had undertaken all the disarmament steps required by the UNSC resolutions concerning chemical weapons.[59]

. . .

There is dispute about whether Iraq still had WMD programs after 1998 and whether its cooperation with the United Nations Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission (UNMOVIC) was complete. Chief weapons inspector Hans Blix said in January 2003 that "access has been provided to all sites we have wanted to inspect" and Iraq had "cooperated rather well" in that regard, although "Iraq appears not to have come to a genuine acceptance of the disarmament."[69] On March 7, in an address to the Security Council, Hans Blix stated: "Against this background, the question is now asked whether Iraq has cooperated "immediately, unconditionally and actively" with UNMOVIC, as is required under paragraph 9 of resolution 1441 (2002)... while the numerous initiatives, which are now taken by the Iraqi side with a view to resolving some long-standing open disarmament issues, can be seen as "active", or even "proactive", these initiatives 3–4 months into the new resolution cannot be said to constitute "immediate" cooperation. Nor do they necessarily cover all areas of relevance." Some U.S. officials understood this contradictory statement as a declaration of noncompliance.


Did the UN vote that Saddam was in compliance or non-compliance when it voted on Resolution 1441?

Holding Iraq in “material breach” of its obligations under previous resolutions, the Security Council this morning decided to afford it a “final opportunity to comply” with its disarmament obligations, while setting up an enhanced inspection regime for full and verified completion of the disarmament process established by resolution 687 (1991).

By the unanimous adoption of resolution 1441 (2002), the Council instructed the resumed inspections to begin within 45 days, and also decided it would convene immediately upon the receipt of any reports from inspection authorities that Iraq was interfering with their activities. It recalled, in that context, that the Council had repeatedly warned Iraq that it would face "serious consequences" as a result of continued violations.

Under the new inspection regime established by the resolution, the United Nations Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission (UNMOVIC) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) would have “immediate, unimpeded, unconditional and unrestricted access” to any sites and buildings in Iraq, including presidential sites. They would also have the right to remove or destroy any weapons, or related items, they found.

The Council demanded that Iraq confirm, within seven days, its intention to comply fully with the resolution. It further decided that, within 30 days, Iraq, in order to begin to comply with its obligations, should provide to UNMOVIC, the IAEA and the Council a complete declaration of all aspects of its programmes to develop chemical, biological and nuclear weapons, including chemical, biological and nuclear programmes it claims are for purposes not related to weapons production or material. Any false statement or omission in the declaration will be considered a further material breach of Iraq’s obligations, and will be reported to the Council for assessment.


Again, let's see . . . Ritter or the UN?

Please, just stop.
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 8:45 am

Meanwhile, Putin is turning up the heat by giving Iran more weapons. We are playing rock/paper/scissors while he is playing Diplomacy.

AFP - Russian President Vladimir Putin will offer to supply Iran S-300 air defence missile systems as well as build a second reactor at the Bushehr nuclear plant, the Kommersant business daily reported Wednesday.

Putin will renew an old offer to supply Iran with five of the sophisticated ground-to-air missile systems at a meeting with Iranian President Hassan Rowhani on Friday, Kommersant said, quoting a souce close to the Kremlin.

Putin is set to meet Rowhani at a summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation held in Kyrgyzstan on Friday.

Russia in 2007 signed a contract to deliver five of the advanced ground-to-air weapons -- which can take out aircraft or guided missiles -- to Iran at a cost of $800 million.
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Post 11 Sep 2013, 8:51 am

I guess we should praise Bush II for having the skill necessary to get a coalition together...in order to to start an illegal war and make the worst colossal foreign policy blunder any president has ever made!
Now, RJ was right it probably was wrong to go to the Congress because he should have known that there are many Republicans who would never fail to take an opportunity to embarrass the president. Actually Putin's proposal gives Obama a way out of losing the vote in Congress (and no I don't agree that Congress would authorize him to act if Syria fails to cooperate). What Obama should do is see if Syria is willing to get rid of its chemical weapons and if they are just playing games hit them with no warning.
At the end of the day Syria is an issue tangential to our interests and military action is not supported by the American people. I think there were valid reasons to act against Syria but If the American people and Congress are not going to support Obama in this, it is probably the best thing that Obama not go it alone. And if Syria and Russia try to embarrass us that is easily curable by an attack on Syria if they don't cooperate. Unfortunately, the lesson that Obama has to take from this is that next time he will not consult Congress on the use of military force--a further shift in power to the executive branch.