danivon wrote:Given that I acknowledge that GDP has reached pre-crash levels (I said 'only just' because it only exceeds by a tiny proportion in real terms, and only did so in recent months) I have to ask if you read my words before asking.
The US has therefore got to where it should be 3 years ago, and is not yet showing solid growth. I would say when the lag is down to a year and growth is at 'normal' levels, you can have eased off.
Re 1st paragraph, yes, I did not read as carefully as I could have, although the additional data that I provide does help better frame the discussion.
Re 2nd paragraph, can you explain what you mean?
You know, I think my question is really the crux of the matter between Keynesianism and austerity. One can argue that the short term stimulus ala Keynes makes sense if you believe that you will eventually have the wherewithal to repay the debt or at least cover the interest without worry. However, if your government continues to stimulate AND you do not get to a growth "lag ... to a year and growth ... at 'normal' levels" (and I still don't exactly know what that means), what do you do next.
We can now look at several countries at different levels of growth (or lack thereof) and deficit including the US, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Italy, England?, Japan. In the case of Greece the situation is so bad that they simply cannot get credit so they no longer have a choice. The credit card companies, so to speak, have still not caught on to the US, so we can still get credit, but I wonder whether that is for the best. Danivon, is your prescription for all of these other countries the same as it is for the US?