Join In On The Action "Register Here" To View The Forums

Already a Member Login Here

Board index Forum Index
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 4991
Joined: 08 Jun 2000, 10:26 am

Post 07 Jun 2011, 4:31 am

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/MF08Ak03.html

Has anyone else seen this? Somehow this publication has all sorts of interesting tidbits on what is going on that I haven't seen elsewhere. There are interesting tidbits on indirect negotiations between Israel and Hamas, on how Egypt is playing this, on splits between Hamas and Syria, etc.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 21062
Joined: 15 Jun 2002, 6:53 am

Post 07 Jun 2011, 7:41 am

danivon wrote:The PA and Hamas have entered into what is in effect a peace deal, but that doesn't mean that the PA is ruled by Hamas policy. The actual transitional government agreed to is made up of 'technocrats' and is primarily responsible for setting up the elections next year (if they happen). What happens after the elections may well be salient, but they haven't been held yet. In the meantime, Abbas is still there to be talked to and is not Hamas at all.


So, the agreement between the PA and Hamas means nothing?

I think it would be a bit like Lincoln making peace with the CSA and expecting free African-Americans to shrug. Israel cannot be blamed for being concerned about this pact.

And no, I would not. If I were Israel's PM, I'd crack down on illegal settlement activity, and open channels to the PA and anyone interested in peace.


Because settlements kill and rockets don't.

It looks like excuse-making. Someone at some point has to agree to at least talk. Just because you (and Binyamin) equate dialogue with surrender doesn't make it so.


Yeah, it's an excuse. Who would not sit down with someone who just made peace with your sworn enemy? Israel has consistently been willing to deal. It's been the PA that has been intransigent. What sort of reasonable deal has the PA ever offered? Please--give me the best offer that they've ever made and tell me if you would have agreed to it if you were the Israeli PM.

Edit - by the way, what was Netenyahu's excuse before the agreement? That was only arranged in the last few months, but the man has had longer than that.


I could be wrong, but I seem to recall it was the PA who resisted. After Obama demanded a settlement freeze as a precondition, the PA joined in that and refused negotiations.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 21062
Joined: 15 Jun 2002, 6:53 am

Post 07 Jun 2011, 7:46 am

Ah, here it is.

US and Israel have been negotiating a settlement freeze for several months. The Obama administration demanded a complete settlement freeze but Israel would only agree to a freeze limited in time and scope.

A senior Israeli diplomat said Israel agreed to not building any new settlements, no outward expansion of existing growth and to only build for “natural” growth within existing settlements. He said Israel also agreed not to encourage Israelis to move to settlements, which would increase the population.

“A complete settlement freeze wasn’t physically or politically possible, especially in the absence of any Arab or Palestinian concessions,” the Israeli diplomat said. “There was a time the gaps had significantly narrowed, but now they were starting to widen. The administration recognized, rather than have them widen further, we should start negotiating.”

The Palestinian aide to Abbas said President Obama’s failure to secure a settlement freeze has weakened him in the eyes of the Palestinian delegation, because it casts doubt on his ability to move Israel during final status negotiations. The aide said that while Abbas would continue to push for a complete freeze, the Palestinian leader understands it likely will not happen and will begin “climb down” from his insistence for one before talks can resume.

The Palestinians did win an important point, however, with Obama making clear that the peace talks would not start from scratch, which Netanyahu had favored. Rather the talks would take into account progress made in previous negotiations between Israelis and Palestinians, the sources said.

The Israeli diplomat said that Israel would “take into account” the previous negotiations, but stressed his country’s longstanding position that “nothing is agreed to until everything is agreed to.”

Obama also addressed Abbas' desire to have the terms for negotiations more clearly defined, asking Israeli and Palestinian negotiators to come to Washington next week for further talks.


Here's another question for those, like Danivon, who believe the fault is all Israel's (or at least more Israeli than Palestinian): would you allow "the right of return?" If so, how would you propose Israel survive--or if you were the Israeli PM, would that not be a priority?
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 16006
Joined: 15 Apr 2004, 6:29 am

Post 07 Jun 2011, 11:44 am

Ray Jay wrote:http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/MF08Ak03.html

Has anyone else seen this? Somehow this publication has all sorts of interesting tidbits on what is going on that I haven't seen elsewhere. There are interesting tidbits on indirect negotiations between Israel and Hamas, on how Egypt is playing this, on splits between Hamas and Syria, etc.
Certainly is an eye-opener. But I notice that most of their references are to other publications, which suggests that it's not like the information is hidden, so much as that the Western media isn't passing it on to us.

Steve, I don't, as you assert, "believe the fault is all Israel's (or at least more Israeli than Palestinian)". I think both 'sides' are to blame, and that both 'sides' contain people with varying levels of blame. The people who get shafted at the bottom from both communities are the victims here.

But to answer your question, I would support a limited right of return, with compensation for those who don't get it. A viable Palestinian state would hopefully reduce the demand for it.

But you are being offensive now. I don't say that rockets don't kill. Settlers have killed, and settlements have stolen land from people (and also water) and the measures to protect them are also affecting the Arab residents. Just because the settlements are not as deadly as rockets does not mean that the provocation and territorial expansion that they represent can be ignored.

And your reply about negotiating with the PA being impossible is rendered utterly void by RJ's link. Israel has been indirectly negotiating with Hamas already.

I guess an analogy that is more recent would be if the UK were to stop dealing with the Irish government and with the SDLP and nationalists in Northern Ireland after they started to make agreements with Sinn Fein and the IRA. In reality the UK government not only continued to, but initiated indirect talks with Sinn Fein, leading to a more peaceful settlement.
User avatar
Truck Series Driver (Pro II)
 
Posts: 897
Joined: 29 Dec 2010, 1:02 pm

Post 27 Jun 2011, 7:33 am

In Summary, the flotilla was successful, but if you do it again you'll be sorry.
Press Statement, Victoria Nuland, State Department Spokesperson, June 24, 2011

Last month marked the one-year anniversary of the confrontation between Israeli forces and activists when a flotilla attempted to break Israel’s maritime blockade of Gaza on May 31, 2010. The United States deeply regrets the tragic loss of life and injuries suffered among those involved in that incident aboard the Gaza bound ships.

We are concerned that a number of groups are organizing a one year “anniversary” flotilla to commemorate the incident by sailing from various European ports to Gaza in the near future. Groups that seek to break Israel’s maritime blockade of Gaza are taking irresponsible and provocative actions that risk the safety of their passengers. Established and efficient mechanisms exist to transfer humanitarian assistance to Gaza. For example, humanitarian assistance can be delivered at the Israeli port of Ashdod, where cargo can be offloaded, inspected, and transported to Gaza. We urge all those seeking to provide such assistance to the people of Gaza to use these mechanisms, and not to participate in actions like the planned flotilla.

Recent seizures by Israel and Egypt of advanced military systems, weapons, and ammunition bound for terrorist groups in Gaza, as well as periodic rocket and mortar attacks from Gaza against Israeli civilians, highlight the continuing problem of illicit arms smuggling to Gaza. These seizures underscore the vital importance to Israel’s security of ensuring that all cargo bound for Gaza is appropriately screened for illegal arms and dual-use materials.

The United States remains concerned by conditions in Gaza, but notes that the humanitarian situation has significantly improved over the last year, including a marked increase in the range and scope of goods and materials moving into Gaza, an increase in international project activity, and the gradual expansion of exports. The United States will continue to work with Israel, the Palestinian Authority, donors, and the international community to do more and ensure that the needs of the people of Gaza are being met.

We also continue to call on Hamas to play a constructive role by renouncing violence, recognizing Israel’s right to exist, and accepting past agreements. We underscore that delivering or attempting or conspiring to deliver material support or other resources to or for the benefit of a designated foreign terrorist organization, such as Hamas, could violate U.S. civil and criminal statutes and could lead to fines and incarceration.

Hillary goes further and greenlights IDF violence against upcoming flotilla peace activists, which is suppose to include a ship of Americans.
SECRETARY CLINTON: Well, we do not believe that the flotilla is a necessary or useful effort to try to assist the people of Gaza. Just this week, the Israeli Government approved a significant commitment to housing in Gaza. There will be construction materials entering Gaza and we think that it’s not helpful for there to be flotillas that try to provoke actions by entering into Israeli waters and creating a situation in which the Israelis have the right to defend themselves.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 4991
Joined: 08 Jun 2000, 10:26 am

Post 28 Jun 2011, 7:24 am

Neal, I'm trying to understand your emotion in all of this. It seems gleeful, but I don't see why. Perhaps more people will die?

If the aim of the new flotilla is to provide food to Gaza, it doesn't make sense since the Egyptian border is fairly open, and the Israelis have agreed to transport any food there by land. If the aim is to provide weapons for Gaza, it's going to end badly for everyone, either on the ship or in Gaza and Israel when the weapons are used.

Maybe I just don't understand why these people are considered "peace activists" by you and others? What is their peaceful objective?
User avatar
Truck Series Driver (Pro II)
 
Posts: 897
Joined: 29 Dec 2010, 1:02 pm

Post 28 Jun 2011, 1:59 pm

I'm one of the few that consistently renounces violence topic after topic and you're trying to attach the word 'gleeful' to me? Don't bother answering as I've no intentions of discussing that aspect with you further.

I'm not a leftist, so I can't say that I relate to any notion of wanting to get roughed up by security forces. So this flotilla is a bit of a strange concept to me.

Obviously they are out to upset the status quo, they had some measure of success last time. I'm not sure in the bigger picture it helps. As long as Iran can use Gaza as a proxy there's just no getting around the rocket attacks and the accompanying retaliation.

I no longer believe that either side wants peace and equality for all concerned. Outsiders keep projecting their own values on the problem and insist that a proper meeting of the minds will fix this, it won't.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 4991
Joined: 08 Jun 2000, 10:26 am

Post 28 Jun 2011, 5:49 pm

Neal Anderth wrote:I'm one of the few that consistently renounces violence topic after topic and you're trying to attach the word 'gleeful' to me? Don't bother answering as I've no intentions of discussing that aspect with you further.

I'm not a leftist, so I can't say that I relate to any notion of wanting to get roughed up by security forces. So this flotilla is a bit of a strange concept to me.

Obviously they are out to upset the status quo, they had some measure of success last time. I'm not sure in the bigger picture it helps. As long as Iran can use Gaza as a proxy there's just no getting around the rocket attacks and the accompanying retaliation.

I no longer believe that either side wants peace and equality for all concerned. Outsiders keep projecting their own values on the problem and insist that a proper meeting of the minds will fix this, it won't.


I didn't mean to offend. I honestly couldn't figure out where you were coming from.

I tend to agree with you on most of this. From a PR perspective, the last flotilla was successful in that the Israelis relaxed their blockade, and Erdogan increased his status in the Islamic world.. This new flotilla makes less sense to me in that I don't get a sense that the blockade on Gaza is particularly effective anymore given the situation in Egypt. In addition, Turkey is trying to mend relations with Israel because of the Syrian unrest. Israel is more than willing to do what it has to for some friendship in the Muslim world.

I think you are right in terms of the West projecting its own views on the Muslim world. I hope that we've seen enough now in Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran, Syria, Yemen, Pakistan, Libya, Bahrain, Somalia, Saudi Arabia, etc. to fully understand that these cultures are very different than our own. I also think you are partially right on the Israelis. Having lived in that neighborhood for over 60 years, about 1/2 have hardened to a great extent.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 4991
Joined: 08 Jun 2000, 10:26 am

Post 30 Jun 2011, 11:17 am

Here's a Reuters article on the flotilla http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/ ... 3Q20110630

Roads are being paved, houses are being built, new cars have taken to the busy streets and shops are full of myriad products. ...

Nearly 6,000 tons of food, fuel and other supplies are transferred into the Gaza Strip every day via Israel. But among the items it routinely refuses to let in are cement and steel, both of which are needed to help rebuild from Israel's offensive against Hamas and its rocket teams in the winter of 2008-09.

Israel says such materials, unless for specific foreign-sponsored projects, could be used to make bunkers and weapons. ...

Mahmoud Daher, the Gaza office director of the World Health Organization (WHO), said shortages of medicine and medical equipment were at an "unprecedented" level, forcing the cancellation of some operations and evacuation of patients.

However, this problem cannot be blamed directly on Israel.

Daher said the two main reasons were a failure by the Palestinian authorities to pay suppliers on time and a lack of cooperation between health authorities in the West Bank and Gaza, which are governed by rival Palestinian movements.
User avatar
Truck Series Driver (Pro II)
 
Posts: 897
Joined: 29 Dec 2010, 1:02 pm

Post 14 Sep 2011, 9:43 pm

Ray Jay wrote:In addition, Turkey is trying to mend relations with Israel because of the Syrian unrest. Israel is more than willing to do what it has to for some friendship in the Muslim world.

Not the part embodied in Netanyahu. This is like watching a train wreck.

Absolutely mind blowing that Obama of all the POTUSs in my lifetime will be the one to deliver the veto.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 4991
Joined: 08 Jun 2000, 10:26 am

Post 15 Sep 2011, 7:01 am

Have you seen the text of the resolution? I've searched for it on the web and was unsuccessful. I guess the language is still very fluid. I'd like to understand what we are vetoing or not vetoing before having an opinion.

Re Turkey and Netanyahu, I agree this is unfortunate. Turkey is really demagoguing the issue given that the UN report was largely favorable to Israel. It affirmed the Gaza blockade, noted that the Israeli soldiers were attacked by people with weaponry. It does fault the Israelis for excessive force, but during for of war situations it is very easy to Monday morning quarterback. The principle still holds: the Israelis operated legally, were attacked, and responded, although too aggressively.

How would the Turks feel if the Israelis decided to fly aid into Kurdish territories controlled by the PKK, refused to park the aid in Ankara for delivery by truck ... when met by Turkish war planes forcing them to land either refused or fired, and then the Turks seized the planes and killed 8 Israeli pro-Kurdish activists? How quickly would the world condemn Israel for that mostly parallel interaction?

Nevertheless, I do agree that Netanyahu has played this all wrong from a PR standpoint. It's surprising to me that his government has not fallen over this. I would think that Barak should bolt if Lieberman stays as foreign minister. Yet he hangs on, I guess for his own political reasons.
User avatar
Administrator
 
Posts: 7463
Joined: 26 Jun 2000, 1:13 pm

Post 15 Sep 2011, 8:45 am

I would hope that the Turks would be angry for unauthorized incursions into sovereign territory, just like what occurred with the blockade attack on Israeli soldiers. But that would require a fair treatment of both sides of the issue.
User avatar
Truck Series Driver (Pro II)
 
Posts: 897
Joined: 29 Dec 2010, 1:02 pm

Post 23 Sep 2011, 11:52 am

http://www.jpost.com/DiplomacyAndPoliti ... 38855&R=R1

69% of Israelis say they would accept a UN recognized Palestinian state.

Foreign Minister Lieberman walked out when Abbas approached the podium to speak at the UN. Could be that Bibi and crowd don't care what anyone else thinks. And well, Obama, he just wants to get re-elected at any cost.

I suspect this whole unilateral push for statehood wouldn't have come about (this year) accept for Bibi's intransigence on continuing expansion of the settlements.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 4991
Joined: 08 Jun 2000, 10:26 am

Post 23 Sep 2011, 12:30 pm

http://www.jpost.com/DiplomacyAndPoliti ... 38855&R=R1

69% of Israelis say they would accept a UN recognized Palestinian state.


I was also very interested in this poll and spent some time following the links to see if I could learn more. The Jerusalem Post is a fairly conservative newspaper so my initial thought was that it is credible. I actually got a copy of the poll results but could not find the specific questions that they asked. Many Israelis are scratching their heads and wondering about poll methodology and the way that questions were framed. I have no idea -- I just want to say that you and others should not take the poll as gospel.
User avatar
Statesman
 
Posts: 11324
Joined: 15 Aug 2000, 8:59 am

Post 23 Sep 2011, 2:54 pm

http://truman.huji.ac.il/upload/Joint_p ... 9_2011.pdf

The poll is linked. Although 69% say that Israel should recognize Palestine, only half of them actually think that means negotiating the implementation of statehood. The other half of the 69% think nothing should really change in the West bank after the recognition. So recognition in name only?

Is that attitude more reflective of what you expected Ray? A little more ambivalent then the headline suggests?
(The polls done by the University seem to have a common methodology. For Israelis they do personal phoners and offer multiple choice answers... )