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Post 21 Nov 2011, 3:47 pm

Exactly, default first then restructure and prioritize around a budget.
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 6:26 am

I think we can both agree the repeal of Glass-Steagall (G-S). The G-S repeal effectuated by the passing of Gramm-Leach-Biley Act (GLB) which was signed into law by Clinton. According to Wikipedia here Democrats agreed to support GLB in exchange for "strengthen provisions of the anti-redlining Community Reinvestment Act". Therefore, without the desire to force banks into more low income lending, the G-S repeal would never have happened.

All right. This wa a first step. But notice, whatever the "motivation" it was the act of deregulation that set things on their course... (It isn't a murdererss' motivation that causes a murder. Its the pulling of the trigger...)
Low income housing may have been the motivation. But there is no record of any legislation forcing banks to lower lending standards. Only govenrment assistance with down payments.
And it wasn't until non-traditional financial institutions got into place that stinky mortgages got going.
The Time analysis does leave out the inital deregulation, perhaps because it starts with Clinton.
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 7:33 am

rickyp wrote:All right. This wa a first step. But notice, whatever the "motivation" it was the act of deregulation that set things on their course...
Of course but the motivation of the deregulation is the important point.

rickyp wrote:Low income housing may have been the motivation. But there is no record of any legislation forcing banks to lower lending standards.Only govenrment assistance with down payments.
And it wasn't until non-traditional financial institutions got into place that stinky mortgages got going./quote]
I have to disagree with this as well. The problem with the NYTimes analysis is it doesn't look to the Bush Administration attempt to adjust regulations of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. I am pretty sure it was MinX on the old Redscape that showed most of the problem loan products orginiated in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and then other banks began to use them as well. Further, I believe he also showed that Fannie and Freddie did this in furtherence of the CRA's minority homeownership goal.

rickyp wrote:The Time analysis does leave out the inital deregulation, perhaps because it starts with Clinton.

Agree completely. If anything, I think these guys are the actual revisionist.
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 10:09 am

archduke
Of course but the motivation of the deregulation is the important point.

I would point you to the reagan revolution for the motivation. for those on the right. Deregulation for the sake of freeing the markets" Wisdom of the markets. etc. Those who bought that didn't need any justification or motivation whatsoever. They simply believed the nonsense. And they were in the majority. And they would have deregulated everything. Just say the word.
For those on the left who wanted to push home ownership of the poor, perhaps that may have made them cave on Glass Steagall. (Fools need only look at where home ownership ended up. Never got higher than 65%. Same as Canada always ahd, who never went through this BS.) .

But don't think for an instant that Country Wide was motivated by altruism when it set out making subprime, and new structured mortgage loans... They thought they had a way to make an easy buck and the deregulation and creation of CSD's allowed them to believe there were no consequences....
The central point one should take away isn't that trying to put poor people into homes was a bad idea... the central point was that freeing an industry to take risks that will eventually implode the system was a bad idea. It doesn't follow that the freeing of the industry HAD to follow the first idea.
There are other solutions...The one that was chosen, for ideological reasons, failed. And that what conservatives who bought into the radicalism of Reagan have to deal with...and thats really difficult. Admitting they were wrong.
Still, if Greenspan can fess up...
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 10:45 am

How about regulation within the context of a balanced budget? How about defense within the context of a balanced budget? How about Medicare within the context of a balanced budget? Let's fight tooth and nail over what we want and how much it's going to cost within the context of a balanced budget. Otherwise it's a bunch of silliness.

I'd also like to reiterate that regulation of banks and finance is a 'trust' activity. They are being allowed to inflate the money supply, so it's an entirely different issue than regulations hitting other goods and services industries.

Here's my #OWS demand: Outlaw the Republican and Democratic national parties. They brought us to this point, let's move forward without them.
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 12:11 pm

Neal - they'd only be replaced by two analogues, containing many of the same features. And if they hadn't existed, other politicians would have 'brought us to this point', along with all the bank wide-boys and greedy financiers.
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 1:16 pm

rickyp wrote:I would point you to the reagan revolution for the motivation. for those on the right. Deregulation for the sake of freeing the markets" Wisdom of the markets. etc. Those who bought that didn't need any justification or motivation whatsoever. They simply believed the nonsense. And they were in the majority. And they would have deregulated everything. Just say the word.


Perhaps you are correct. However, the discussion was on whether the claim that deregulation to spur low income home ownership was the cause of the housing crisis was revisionist. It is not.

rickyp wrote:But don't think for an instant that Country Wide was motivated by altruism when it set out making subprime, and new structured mortgage loans... They thought they had a way to make an easy buck and the deregulation and creation of CSD's allowed them to believe there were no consequences....

No shit sherlock. But I haven't seen one person make this claim. As a matter of fact, this is exactly an example of what I said happened. The Government forced banks to make loans to people who wouldn't meet normal lending criteria. New criteria are created (by Fannie and Freddie) which are in turn used by other banks to make the same type of loans to middle and upper income people. In otherwords, government actions forcing unintended consequences.

rickyp wrote:The central point one should take away isn't that trying to put poor people into homes was a bad idea... the central point was that freeing an industry to take risks that will eventually implode the system was a bad idea. It doesn't follow that the freeing of the industry HAD to follow the first idea.

See and I see the central point as being it is one more example of unintended consequences of poorly thought out government actions screwing things up. Oh and that your initial claim that Bloomberg was being a revisionist is false.
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 3:52 pm

archduke
The Government forced banks to make loans to people who wouldn't meet normal lending criteria

Please find a credible source for the "force used". All I've seen is this claim repeated in conservative blogs.
Until you can offer real proof, I fundamentally disagree. There was no force used, or ever required for them to create new lending requirements. Only a way to think they were off loading the shiite. And that came as a result of all Bushes deregulation and decreased over sight.

archduke
Perhaps you are correct. However, the discussion was on whether the claim that deregulation to spur low income home ownership was the cause of the housing crisis was revisionist. It is not
.

Let's agree that the govenment was involved in making the decision to deregulate. That makes the government at fault. (They never should have trusted the idots with the risk they wanted to be trusted with...)
Lets disagree on whether the majority at the time, Republicans, really needed the "motivation" of increased home ownership. And until you have actual evidence that somebody forced all those mortgage comapnies to do stupid things...I'll believe they managed to do that voluntarily. With gusto.
And many would do so again, given the chance to repeat their stupidity. Becasue, many actually made out like bandits.
You know there were some financial institutions that had the chance to alter their mortgage requirements and didn't. If they could do so, where was the force?
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 4:25 pm

This guy is already a meme, I googled a couple hundred pics he has been inserted into, some are pretty funny.
Image
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 4:29 pm

UC Davis cop?

He sure was brave up against all those kids violently sitting down...
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 4:54 pm

rickyp wrote:Until you can offer real proof, I fundamentally disagree. There was no force used, or ever required for them to create new lending requirements.


Which raises a question: why do you suppose Ricky banks would make loans to people unlikely to be able to repay them? Does this seem like sound business practice? What was in it for the bankers?

I'll await your answer.
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 4:58 pm

I know a little bit about using enough force to compel compliance. The protestors were blocking sidewalks and not following the requests of the university and police. The officer made requests of the protestors who, in response, locked arms and said they were not moving. Therefore, compliance must be enforced, and a non-lethal method was used. I have been pepper sprayed as well, and it is not fun, but certainly not life threatening.

This is a typical case of an officer trying to enforce law and compel compliance. Nothing to see here... Please move along.

What should the protestors have done? Perhaps obeyed the law and not trespassed upon school property? Should the officer have just served milk and cookies, had a nice heart to heart understanding and wait for the protestor's moods to change?
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 5:05 pm

Neal Anderth wrote:This guy is already a meme, I googled a couple hundred pics he has been inserted into, some are pretty funny.


So, why was the spray used? Was it justified? Should they have beaten the protesters instead?

But some experts on police tactics say, depending on the circumstances, pepper spray can be more effective to de-escalate a tense situation than dragging off protesters or swinging at them with truncheons.

"Between verbalized commands and knock-down, drag-out fights, there's quite a bit of wiggle room," said David Klinger, a former Los Angeles Police Department officer and instructor at the University of Missouri-St. Louis who reviewed the pepper spray footage. . . .

Klinger said the officers could have turned to other methods, such as a so-called pain compliance hold, but that would bring its own set of complications. A protester could receive a broken arm, he said, or an officer could pull a muscle.

Charles J. Key, a former lieutenant with the Baltimore Police Department who wrote the department's use-of-force manual, said that officers were clearly within their rights to use it.

After reviewing the footage, Key said he observed at least two cases of protesters actively resisting police. In one, a woman pulls her arm back from an officer. In the second, a protester curls into a ball. Each of those actions could have warranted more force, including baton strikes and pressure-point techniques, he said.

"What I'm looking at is fairly standard police procedure," Key said.


Were they warned? Did they fail to comply with instructions? Or, did the officer spray them for no reason?

I don't know. I do know they were doing what they weren't supposed to be doing. I do know that experts seem to be less than critical:

“I’d rather be hit with a taser,” says Geoffrey Alpert, professor of criminology at the University of South Carolina. “It hurts like hell, but when the electricity goes off, it’s over and done with. The spray is so nasty.” While that may sound extreme, tasers and pepper spray are widely accepted to be on the same level of the Use of Force Continuum, a hierarchy based on recommendations by the National Institute of Justice to govern the extremity of weapons used against a disorderly person. The spectrum ranges from mere police presence, which is enough to scare some people into cooperation, up to the use of lethal force. Of course, the jolt delivered by pepper spray or a taser isn’t lethal, placing both a step below, in a category called “less-lethal force.”

However, the use of less-lethal tactics may sometimes be employed out of order. “It’s so you don’t have to put your hands on someone,” Alpert tells TIME. According to Alpert, who also teaches criminology at Griffith University in Brisbane, Australia, force with soft and hard hands — essentially pushing and prying people — should come well before the use of less-lethal weapons including pepper spray, tasers and batons.

But what type of situation would spark an escalation in the amount of force needed? “Pepper spray should only be used when there’s a clear threat to officers or severe-enough resistance — essentially, when the only alternative is more extreme force,” says Dr. John MacDonald, professor of criminology at the University of Pennsylvania. “But if the only threat is time, then the best weapon to exercise is patience.”

It may have been time that was the ultimate obstruction in the UC Davis incident. Numerous cameras caught the students sitting in a circle in the middle of the university quad, arms linked and apparently engaged in an act of civil disobedience. While it’s known that the protesters overstayed their welcome on campus — they were told to move their campsite from the area by 3 p.m. but still remained at 5 p.m. when police showed up — video footage shows a majority of them making no overtly threatening gestures toward the authorities. And what about those yelling at police? Alpert invokes the “sticks and stones” proverb to identify the necessary amount of force. “Words don’t justify that kind of treatment,” he says, explaining that even if the protesters were being disruptive, there are additional ways of getting them to disperse without inflaming their eyes — or their tempers. Alpert notes that police are taught how to break up daisy chains of people, which can be done by prying apart people’s arms and legs with a baton.


It's easy to post a picture. It takes 2-3 minutes to get a bit of understanding about "why." Maybe you should try it?
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 5:59 pm

http://www.cnbc.com/id/31524954/

Please focus your attention to the Subprime mortgage origination (Slide 7)and the Ratings of Subprime Mortgages (Slide 26). There is definitely an uptick of a remarkable amount for 2007 to 2008.

Why did banks make risky loans? Great question. I would never make them.

I see 3 reasons for the bubble:
1. People overextending and buying a house they cannot afford
2. Bank greed
3. Freddie and Fannie's unlimited funding

I think this situation applies in the same thing I said about government investment in companies declaring bankruptcy. If you lose your house, the amount over a resale is your responsibility. If the house is worth 300K, and It is foreclosed and sells for 100K, you still have a 200K debt.

If Banks were not in the mood to risk assets to meet their greed needs, then this would not have happened

If Fannie and Freddie did not provide the safety net, it would not have happened either.

It is similar to the "fire triangle". You need heat, fuel and spark or you do not get a fire.
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Post 22 Nov 2011, 8:33 pm

Steve
Why did banks make loans to people who couldn't afford them?


You havn't retained much in these discussions have you?

The days when a bank issued a mortgage and held onto it for the life of that loan ended long ago. Mortgages had become huge profit-generators for investment banks, which bought the loans from other banks and non-bank lenders, packaged them together, sliced them up, and sold them as securities. In theory, as long as homeowners paid their mortgages, these securitized loan investments, also known as structured products, were relatively safe. But, theory and practice were two very different things.
Among the Republican Party’s top 10 donors in 2004 was Roland Arnall. He founded Ameriquest, then the nation’s largest lender in the subprime market, which focuses on less creditworthy borrowers. In July 2005, the company agreed to set aside $325 million to settle allegations in 30 states that it had preyed on borrowers with hidden fees and ballooning payments. It was an early signal that deceptive lending practices, which would later set off a wave of foreclosures, were widespread.
then have a look at See Slide 5.4 in Boom Bust and Blame
Deregulation lead to MBSs and CD slide 4.3 which trading in made all those profits in 5.4

There's no slide saying anyone was forced to do any of this..