tom
But "democracy won on the streets" may not be the same in the Muslim world than it is in the rest of the solar system. Let's look at similar Muslim protests, it happened in Iran, how did that work out?
If you are a conservative Shiite Muslim, as the over whelming majority of Iranians are, it worked out pretty well in 1979.
The problem of looking at this only from a Western lens is that we look at it only with our values. The Shah, who was placed in power in large part because of British and American military help, was forcing secularism onto a very religious and conservative people. The revolution occurred in reaction to his methods (arresting and torturing opposition) AND his aims. The extent to which he attempted to "Modernize" was shocking to many Iranians...
From the point of view of the educated elite, centred mostly in Tehran,the revolution was not so good..
It depends on how you view democracy Tom. Do people get the government they want, or do they get a reflection of western governments that favours western aspirations and goals for the region?
The recent Green revolution in Iran is a reaction to the over reach of the Islamic revolution, at least as seen in Tehran. It has to be noted, that despite these demonstrations, outside Tehran there was little support for the demonstrators. And although it appears some accomodations were made, it wasn't a second revolution. Now, economic pressures are likely to create havoc for the Mullahs in Iran sooner than cultural pressures. Even conservative Shiites have trouble supporting a regime that ends up with them hungry all the time.
In Egypt a similar situation occurs, with a very conservative Sunni majority outside Cairo.
The theory behind Democracy constantly evolving new liberties and freedoms, and greater tolerance, isn't based upon it happening over night. Its based on the concept that those who enjoy all the benefits of democracy are constantly under pressure from groups out side it who want the full benefits of democracy as well. And as those already enjoying it see society and themselves prosper they are prepared to allow other groups to benefit more incrementally, rather than face violent opposition or revolution or just because they can no longer intellectually sustain opposition to greater freedoms.Its called the virtuous circle.
In the US you could ask women, blacks or gays about how this works
over time....
In the Muslim world, they start with a society that reflects many values that of the west some 400 years ago..... But they also start with a society that constantly sees other values in action around the world, and that will energize the minorities not included in the circle of democracy...So, we can't map out a time period for how democracy might evolve, but we can certainly know the direction ....