BTW, the spelling error in the bold above was from the link, not mine. Apologies for not catching it before...
Your statement about Reagan was the first president since the war to run a deficit is false
Isn't the definition of Keynesian stimulus the conscious decision by the government to buy things that it will pay for later. Perhaps you get a free pass if it is an investment (and we can debate how good the investment is) but much of the Obama stimulus was not an investment per se (unemployment insurance, state governments to pay for municipal payroll, etc.)
"Europe" is also pretty diverse if you consider it. Sweden is perhaps more diverse than people assume. Odd how it's easy to call one ignorant for not agreeing to the native view of America, but how much do you guys really know about Sweden?Ray Jay wrote:I love this country, and especially its diversity. It's our richness and I don't envy Europe or Sweden one bit. Ethnic group is more than race; we have every type of European, Hispanic, Middleastern, Asian, black, etc. It's great. Have I missed anyone?
You know what? I'm not convinced.However, it also means that we are more complex.
Britain is 20% the size of America in terms of population, and we don't all have the same language (English is the main language, but there are places where it is a minority language amongst the native population, and it's not unknown for the odd million or so immigrants to come along with their own languages. I frequently hear Polish being spoken on the street in my (small-medium) town.We don't all speak the same language.
No, but part of the thing is that you mentioned 'illegal immigrants' in your reasoning. Interestingly, I suspect that illegal immigrants have some of the highest work ethics (it's damn hard to get in, then to hide, and to make a living) and because they are less likely to be able to claim benefits, it's not actually as significant a difference as you think.We don't all have the same cultural expectations for hard work or using benefits. We have a long legacy of slavery and segregation. None of this is code for racism. This is just describing what America is.
Your dream is not that different from mine. Except that I see social programmes as having two key functions. Firstly to enable mroe people to have the equal opportunity to be able to have access to the prosperity from work. Secondly to act as a means to keep people comfortable when you need more than just a willingness to work hard (such as when the banks overspeculate and cause a worldwide recession).I want to fully integrate this country as the land of opportunity based on hard work, and not a land of opportunity based on social programs. That's the dream over here. If you and Ricky dream of a different society, that’s fine. Go build it.
By the way, all ethnic and racial groups have good and bad, hard workers, and lazy people, some with high moral standards, and others without. Some who contribute to the greater good, and others who will take whatever they can get regardless of fairness or law. And some who just need help because they can't fend for themselves.
That being true, it is also true that cultures vary widely. Germans are known for precision, and Brits are known for stiff upper lips. Italians enjoy life and Israelis like to argue. There’s some truth to all of that, and yet every culture has every type.
Greece and Portugal (and this applies to Spain until very recently) did not have the same kind of social democracy as Sweden. Benefits are much lower. State involvement in health and education is lower. Pensions are lower (and despite the lies told on US TV, the average retirement age in Greece is not 50, it's one of the highest in Europem beating those work-ethicy Germans). There's also a key difference between Spain, Portugal and Greece and the rest of Western Europe that may also affect attitudes to the State (and paying dues to it) that won't apply to the US or Sweden - Until 40 years ago (ie: withing living memory) they were run by dictatorships/military cabals.What works for Sweden may not work for the U.S. It isn’t working for Greece, Spain, or Portugal.
So, ignoring the bit of my response you don't like, can you accept that just showing a difference between the USA and Sweden is not sufficient to explain why that difference is enough to negate it as an example? You already used the 'Greece' response, now you move on to the 'America is just different' response. Neither are reasons to ignore Sweden without a lot more explanation.
It's not 'misquoting' to omit something. You've said a lot, and we can't quote it all. Ricky's said a lot too, and both of you are talking past each other to an extent. You are both arguing against a straw man version each other's position, when the reality is you are closer than you think.I didn't negate Sweden or say we should ignore it. I saidI'm all for learning as much as possible about what other countries do.
What's up with this constant misquoting?
And, as above, there are many other factors. Greece and Portugal never had an appreciable industrial sector and don't have much of a high-skill or knowledge-based economy. Sweden and the US, on the contrary are more similar in that regard.I also said that it is not a sufficient example to prove that the US can or should build a European style economy with large social spending and higher taxes. For every Sweden or Germany that you name, I can name a Greece or Portugal. This has nothing to do with complexion by the way. I'm just looking at the headlines of what's going on for some of Europe. Certainly it is complex, and cultural attitudes within nations are important.
Well, you had them once, at the end of Clinton, at the end of a period of growth that came just before the dotcom bubble bursting. If you were ever going to have a balanced budget, it would be then.Ricky seems to believe that the topic sentence is that this is all Republican’s fault, and in particular it is Reagan’s legacy. I just don’t agree with that since we’ve had budget surpluses since Reagan’s time.
I agree that there is shared responsibility. Both parties voted pretty much for Iraq, which adds much to the deficit. Both supported the first set of tax cuts to some degree (if not the second set).The deficit magnitude since Bush II / Pelosi / Obama have been in charge is breathtaking. I believe there is shared responsibility between Democrats and Republicans because they have both controlled the executive branch at times and they have both controlled the legislature at times over these many years.
[/quote]I don't know if he really did make it worse. He made it pretty much no better, but if more people have access to healthcare, that's fewer days lost in the economy which is a roundabout help to national productivity and will 'trickle-up' in taxes over time. This part of the healthcare debate is usually forgotten about when people look at the bottom-line cost of the healthcare bill. Again, it's not just about the accounting of the Federal government, it's about the effect on the wider economy.Ricky seems to believe that another topic sentence is that social programs work because social security seems to be on firm footing and Sweden is doing just fine. My issue continues to be Medicare which has ballooning deficits. I still haven’t heard Obama’s plan to deal with this; he definitively made it worse 2 years ago. That’s my marker for how good a job he is doing, and I think that should be our topic sentence because it is his speech we are evaluating.
sourced from wikipedia...The debt burden fell rapidly after the end of World War II, as the US and the rest of the world experienced a post-war economic expansion. The outstanding debt held stable for the next 25 years, going up to $283 billion in 1970 from $242 billion in 1946. However, over the last 30 years, beginning with deficit spending from the Vietnam War and 1970s recessions, the overall debt has increased under every president.[8]
Debt relative to GDP rose rapidly during the 1980s under President Ronald Reagan, whose economic policies increased military spending and lowered tax rates.[9] Gross debt in nominal dollars quadrupled during the Reagan and Bush presidencies from 1980 to 1992. The net public debt quintupled in nominal terms. Debt held by the public had declined from 28% to 26% of GDP in the 1970s, by contrast, it rose to 41% of GDP by the end of the 1980s.
The budget controls instituted in the 1990s successfully restrained fiscal action by the Congress and the President and together with economic growth contributed to the budget surpluses that materialized by the end of the decade. These surpluses led to a decline in the debt held by the public, and from fiscal years 1998 through 2001, the debt-to-GDP measure declined from about 43 percent to about 33 percent.[10]
Debt relative to GDP rose due to recessions and policy decisions in the early 21st century. From 2000 to 2008 debt held by the public rose from 35% to 40%, and to 62% by the end of fiscal year 2010.[11] During the presidency of George W. Bush, the gross public debt increased from $5.7 trillion in January 2001 to $10.7 trillion by December 2008,[12] due in part to the Bush tax cuts and increased military spending caused by the wars in the Middle East.[13] Under President Barack Obama, the debt increased from $10.7 trillion in 2008 to $14.2 trillion by February 2011, caused mainly by decreased tax revenue due to the late-2000s recession.[14]
No, but part of the thing is that you mentioned 'illegal immigrants' in your reasoning. Interestingly, I suspect that illegal immigrants have some of the highest work ethics (it's damn hard to get in, then to hide, and to make a living) and because they are less likely to be able to claim benefits, it's not actually as significant a difference as you think.
Mind you, the mentality of "it's both sides as bad as each other" might work, but what are people doing as a consequence? Are they working for an alternative? Will you be voting for viable non-Republicrat candidates in elections this year? Could you go further and work for another (perhaps new) political party? Are you trying to argue your case with the party you normally identify with (and no, debating on here does not do that)?bbauska wrote:Freeman2,
This is exactly the mentality that is perpetuating the problem. "It is not my side that is the problem...It is the other side!"
They were voting to remove regulation, and Clinton was certainly running as and ruling as a moderate on economic policy. From my perspective, the Democrats are largely centre-right, particularly at the leadership level. So I see Freeman's point clearly, and that seems to be what he was saying.1) Are you really saying that the Dems were voting in regs and laws that are conservative because they are really center right? I don't see your point.
Freeman is talking about the history. Social Security is not causing the current deficit, for example. You don't address his point that tax cuts caused part of the deficits, you only talk about the spending side here, and your approach to taxes is not to start from the position of "What do we need to spend as a nation to balance the books and do what we as a society want", but "I want to pay x% and no more". Totally different directions.2) Here is the crux of the problem. I have said that military spending needs to be cut. I have also said that social programs need trimmed down as well. To say it is the Rs or Ds only is the problem.
But that's basically the choice you have. As before, it's all very well saying it, but what are you going to do about it?3) Neither side has shown propensity to reduce the deficit, so I can see that neither party has a candidate to looks promising in that arena of deficit reduction.
I think freeman is trying to distinguish between future problems and current ones. Which are more important to resolve, given a choice?4) I disagree with your premise. Social Security and Medicare are part of the problem. So are many military programs. So many other government programs have problem areas that need to go away.
Yes, the consequences of high unemployment are not good. The consequences of offshoring jobs and not generating work to fill the gap are not good. The consequences of allowing parts of the country to fester for decades are not good, That's what you meant, right? You don't think if welfare was reduced/removed that jobs would suddenly appear?5) No comment. Consequences speak for themselves
You've made it clear that you feel one way about this. You said it before - if anyone 'undeserving' gets it, you want to change it so they can't. The reality is that if you take that approach, some of the 'deserving' will lose out too, because marginal cases will always be hard to deal with using simple mechanisms. Babies and bathwater spring to mind.6) Are you saying that every recipient is deserving? I can confidently say they are not. Take care of the deserving, cut the undeserving, and eliminate the fraud.
Of course you'd 'accept' it. You think it won't be you who ends up on benefits, so it's not really something that you personally would have to deal with. However, beware of unintended consequences. If benefits are contingent on work, then effectively you get a load of new free labour. What does that do (any good capitalist knows the laws of supply and demand)? It becomes a downward drag on wages. Putting more people who have jobs at risk of losing out.7) Would you accept people working for the benefits? I could accept that. The rest of the paragraph was pure class warfare...
Surely not all. You aren't a libertarian, after all? Again, you wander off freeman's point, although you seem to be taking a more dogmatic (ideological) line as you go through the debate.8) I am all for removal of ALL government supports whether it is social or business, Let the business make it without any support. Did you support the auto bailouts? How about TARP? Shall I bring in Solyndra or the Volt?
I don't think you addressed Freeman's point at all here. He's making a general point - that even though technology has advanced and there are more ways to save labour than ever before, the benefit of that is incredibly uneven. People are apparently having to work harder (and some revel in this) just to keep going, despite the fact that 'work' should be a lot easier. We can do so much more with less effort than any preceding generation, but what we have is a situation where some do nothing and get paid anyway (those on welfare get paid a little, those who 'invest' in companies get paid a lot) and others are working harder to get the same as before.9) Where would the US be without the auto industry. How about the steel industry. Corporations serve a purpose, they employ people. See 8 above. Do not support the industry, but stay out of it's way, as well. If the industry is so terrible, have the worker quit.
Ahh, the "Go back to Russia" gambit. Apparently it's not ok to want to improve your own country (as you see it).If the US is so terrible to the poor, I would recommend that those who are feeling trodden upon try another country. The US is a wonderful supporting country that provides opportunity to may who work hard.
Sweden might be great option, I hear.
Yes, it's relevant. But this doesn't go anywhere towards explaining what the actual effects of the differences in size and diversity actually mean for trying to apply lessons from Sweden (or anywhere else) to the USA.Ray Jay wrote:I mentioned illegal immigrants in the context of size and diversity. I wanted to give a sense of how much larger and more complex the US is than Sweden. We have more illegals than they have people. That seems very relevant to me when designing social programs.
freeman2 wrote:Hmm, not a bad idea about going to Sweden, Brad. Only thing it's too cold there and I would have to get licensed as a lawyer. But the women are not unattractive (at least the ones that come to the U.S.!)