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Post 28 Jul 2015, 2:06 pm

geojanes wrote:But this isn't about the GOP. It's about the Democratic nomination: the Dems actually have some good people running for the nomination: Bernie Sanders and Lincoln Chafee come to mind. Both have reputations as being honest, upstanding and principled. One is more left, the other is more right. Both are vastly more attractive candidates than Clinton if you care about character, and the general election is largely about character. Dems are being foolish lining up behind Clinton. She couldn't win in 2008, why is she a better candidate today? I really don't get it.

I know very little about Chafee, and while I like Sanders, I fear a left wing Democrat candidate would do badly (unless the Republicans nominate a complete nutjob, perhaps). Generally in the US elections I tend to support the SPUSA candidate, but I would back Sanders. He's like a centrist/right-wing Labour social democrat, as compared to the Liberal Democrat / moderate Tory mainstream Dems [Whereas the Republicans are the right-wing Tories / UKIP nutters]

Clinton is not my idea of a great candidate, or President. You don't need another Bush or Clinton, frankly. I'm not sure I like many of the alternate options. Luckily it's not my country.
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 1:12 am

Electability factors into my calculations for several reasons. First, the appointment of Supreme Court justices. If Obama did not get elected and appoint two liberal justices we could have had a far- right stranglehold for many years. Instead we have Kennedy and Roberts being swing justices who can align with either the liberal bloc or the conservatives.

Then we need to look at what would happen if a Republican president gets elected. These guys do not inspire confidence that they would be much better than Bush II. To recap his administration:

(1) his administration deemphasized counter- terrorism and then did nothing, NOTHING when he received an urgent brief that there was indications of a major attack coming in the US (it's amazing that Bush II got a pass on his incompetence here when he could have taken actions that would have significantly improved the chances of stopping the attacks, particularly with Mossadegh being arrested--compare that with the nonsense thrown Hillary's way);

(2) the ludicrous, farcical war against Iraq as the result of the 9-11 attacks that Iraq was not involved in. I am fairly confident that no other democracy has done anything similar. Then there was the deceptive attempt to convince Americans that Iraq posed a nuclear threat and the lies that Iraq was involved in the 9-11 attacks (with the slimy Cheney being point man). This horrendous mistake cost several thousand dead and many more wounded (when TBI and PTSI are counted we're talking about hundreds of thousands of physical and mental injuries);

(3) lax financial policy led to the Financial Crisis. Would we have that Financial Crisis if there was another president in power and did not cause huge deficits with tax cuts, did not start a war with Iraq causing an enormous financial strain on the country, who maybe did something to curb the oil speculation in the oil commodity due to new rules not requiring that the commodities be traded without ever taking physical possession of them? Or done something when the real estate market got our of control? Hard to know...but no else could have done nearly as bad a job.

(4) frittered away without any thought whatsoever a psychological barrier that had been transcended of actually balancing the budget.

This is real stuff. This is thousands of people lives lost in the Iraq war and hundreds of thousands negatively affected. Millions of Americans negatively affected by the Financial Crisis.

DF has criticized me for being unprincipled in my support of Hillary. Look at the above stuff. You want to criticize me because I would continue to support Hillary after some vague allegations of improprieties with the Clinton Foundation and she had a private e-mail account. Look at what happened when we had an incompetent idiot as president. The allegations against Clinton are minor stuff and will not affect how she does as president. She will be similar to Obama I think--a cautious, prudent president who will competently manage things and will not get us into unnecessary wars due to some need to prove toughness. Whereas , DF was awfully silent about all of Bush II's errors. Oh, let's throw a fit over four Americans dying in Benghazi which no serious person holds Hillary responsible for-- not a word of criticism about Bush II's many mistakes that ruined many lives. Who did you vote for in 2004, DF? Private email account vs an unlawful, deceptive war killing thousands? I am very secure in my principled stand regarding Hillary.

Oh, and then we have the winners lining up to be the Republican nominee. Huckabee saying that the Iran deal marches Israel to the door of the ovens; Santorum supporting his remarks; Cruz saying that the deal risks millions of Americans and Israelis being killed and that the US is now the leading financier of Islamic terrorist as a result of this deal. Ridiculous over-the-top bombastic stuff.

And for all DF's incessant criticism of Obama and that he is running our country into the ground...growth is up, unemployment is down , deficits are under control, American casualties are much reduced, and there is no evidence that our strategic interests have been sacrificed... Imagine if McCain had been president?

By the way, with Walker talking about his job in Wisconsin there is little evidence that his type of pro-business policies help economic growth. http://econbrowser.com/archives/2014/04 ... h-addendum

As for DF's contention that if conservatives all got together they would do better than liberals we already have that--blue states do better economically. Shocking that when you are inclusive, promote immigration and the energy that bright motivated people from other countries bring, when you spend on infrastructure including education, when you allow people to have their own culture, customs and beliefs that don't affect others instead of demanding that society reflect majority views, when you make it easier for women to balance career and family, when you pay workers an adequate wage so that can afford to buy more things, when you do all these things --you do better than other places that don't do those views. Freedom is not just from an overbearing government; it's also from a majority that says we don't like you...you are not like us, you don't believe the things we do, we don't want you here. Places with people like that...are not going to do as well economically.

So, yeah, Hillary is a good floor as a candidate. If someone better comes along and can win--great. But the stakes are too high for pipe dreams. People who voted for Nader thought they were being principled but a lot of people suffered because of their self- indulgence. Bernie Sanders is a socialist-he has literally no chance of winning (Ricky..these kind of early polls don't mean much--Americans are not electing a socialist). I am glad he is in the race so liberal issues will be highlighted. Pragmatism is principled when it means a better world. I would say a Democrat voting for a third party candidate and helping a Republican to win is being unprincipled in my mind.
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 1:28 am

By the way, Ted Cruz's PAC has raised 38 million dollars--36 million from 4 guys..
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 6:11 am

Freeman, you're free to support whomever you'd like, and I completely agree with you on many of your points above: Bush II was bad, and the current GOP field has some real wackos in there for sure, and from a policy standpoint Clinton would likely be better than any of them.

But to your notion that people who voted for Ralph Nader were being self-indulgent. Well, screw you! I voted for the best person for the job. A real American hero. A guy who saved more lives, who affected more real policy than Al Gore ever did, for sure.

Bernie Sanders, and before him, Ralph Nader have no chance of winning because of people like you, who make compromises, who do this bizarre political calculation in their head to pick the least offensive person. Fine. Go do that. Whatever, we've all got to make our choices. But do NOT criticize those who find your compromising unsavory, distasteful and perhaps even a little unpatriotic.

I'm not a Democrat, and I can't vote for Sanders in the primary. Even if I could vote for Sanders, he won't be on the New York ballot because the undemocratic New York Democratic party will keep him off the ballot. That's the kind of establishment these types of political calculations and compromises lead to. I will not be a part of it, and if you want to criticize people who have principles, and who will not compromise their principles for political expediency, fine, but understand that many of those people think far worse of your compromises.
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 6:32 am

freeman3
(Ricky..these kind of early polls don't mean much--Americans are not electing a socialist).


Well, I think Saunders biggest hurdle is the nomination. Specifically because, like you, Democrats don't think he could be elected. Ad also because, like you, they really don't want to take a chance on losing to the republicans for many of the reasons you enumerate. They honestly don't think the nation can survive disastrous conservative policies that have wounded states like Sam Brownback's Nebraska or Wisconsin. Nor foreign policy conducted by nitwits.

What you've just enumerated here is also a reason why Saunders is getting some support. Both a realization that promises and policies of the right haven't turned out, and familiarity with the idas he espouses in real life demonstrations.
Americans have always been an insular people, little traveled per ca pita and with limited exposure to foreign media. For that reason conservative. Without exposure to new ideas, different ways of doing things, and the ability to witness things done a different way change comes slowly.
The communications revolution, the Internet has been particularly important in allowing Americans to see other experiences and other was of doing thing.
I'll use one small example. The US is the only advanced nation in the world that doesn't provide paid leave to Women who've given birth. When faced with this fact, repeatedly, at some point dissonance has to set in... Why can't the wealthiest nation in the world afford this for its families? What is so specifically different about Americans that they don't enjoy the quality of life that this benefit , and other social benefits that the French enjoy?
After a while the drum beat of denial from the right, it can't be afforded ... we need to spend more on defense and less on the poor and entitlements for the middle and working class..
After a while that starts to make less sense.
and I think that Saunders popularity as an unabashed "socialist" (is he really?) is a reflection of the change in the nation. Evidence is showing that his ideas are working for people all over the world, and evidence eventually over whelms faith.
What the polls do show is that if the election were held today, that Saunders would likely beat most republicans. And whats interesting is that Saunders really hasn't even campaigned that much, or gotten that much exposure. The one thing that Saunders isn't , that Hillary is ....calculating. Hillary calculates that the ideas Saunders is espousing won't be acceptable to the electorate. Saunders is letting the ideas stand for themselves. And promoting them.
Perhaps all he is doing is paving a way for a few of the ideas to be picked up by Clinton. But perhaps he is at the beginning of a sea change.
Acceptance of gay and lesbian marriage was, as predicted buy several on this board, never going to happen in the US. That was largely a battle of faith versus evidence. Discrimination versus acceptance. It took maybe a dozen years for the idea to win....
Maybe things like maternity leave are faced with economic foes (large businesses) that gay marriage didn't face.... but other than that socialist ideas that Saunders is offering might just enjoy an even quicker uptake when properly promoted...
And is maternity leave "socialist"? Or just a family centric policy ?
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 6:34 am

geo
Even if I could vote for Sanders, he won't be on the New York ballot because the undemocratic New York Democratic party will keep him off the ballot.


really? Off the primary ballot?
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 6:36 am

http://observer.com/2015/06/can-bernie- ... -new-york/

I guess your right Geo.
What a system.
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 7:11 am

What about Mrs. Clinton's positions on something like the Keystone pipeline? Oh, I forgot. She doesn't give her opinion.

I get that you don't want a Republican. Just find a better Dem. Or at least one who makes a stand known on a political issue. If Sanders can win in the General Election, Run him! I like Mr. Sanders more than Mrs. Clinton

He is principled. She is a coward.

http://onpolitics.usatoday.com/2015/07/28/clinton-takes-no-position-of-keystone-oil-pipeline/
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 7:21 am

What is her position for becoming President? Really, what is it?

Is her non-answer brave, and the strong leadership that the U.S. needs?
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 8:05 am

Ok, I take back my comment that voting for a third- party candidate would be unprincipled, George ( maybe unwise)But , in general , I would argue that you need to figure out which Democrat has the best chance to win . I would take Chaffee or O'Malley too--I actually don't think Sanders would make a good president. But it doesn't mean anything if they lose. Just win, baby.
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 8:14 am

Ricky, Trump is leading the Republican field right now. People like a little pizzazz at the start of a race. This is not Europe--we can barely get a centrist elected--a socialist is not getting elected. You 're just not going to win battleground states. Sure, you'll have some voters excited about his ideas , but the swing voters in the center will not like them. Gay marriage appeals to Americans' fundamental sense of fairness , of equality. Americans by and large think of socialism as taking wealth from some and redistributing it. Sanders also just said that he would ban all non-hunting guns. Oh, that's going to go over well...he has no chance.
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 8:36 am

http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/v ... 1428419848


Freeman
Gay marriage appeals to Americans' fundamental sense of fairness , of equality. Americans by and large think of socialism as taking wealth from some and redistributing it. Sanders also just said that he would ban all non-hunting guns. Oh, that's going to go over well..


Ten years ago America's fundamental sense of fairness did not apply to gay marriage.
and you might be right that Americans by and large think of socialism as taking wealth from some and redistributing it... but perhaps they've learned that that Is whats been going on since 1980 ....only in the direction of the 1%...
And that strikes to the heart of the American fundamental sense of fairness....
I agree he's got his work cut out for him,.... But there's is a threshold at which fundamental understanding changes. The Crash of 08, Occupy Wall Street and the Great Recession have all reshaped thinking about what is fundamentally fair...
As well, the world demonstrates that middle class people of other nations have a better quality of life than many Americans now.... Stuff life national health insurance, inexpensive education .... stuff that directly affects middle and working class people enjoy life ...that's becoming increasingly attractive and acceptable. Because they can't be demonized as "socialism" when some Americans get to actually see how those things work elsewhere...
Above Meet the Press is impressive.
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 9:18 am

rickyp wrote:freeman3
(Ricky..these kind of early polls don't mean much--Americans are not electing a socialist).


Well, I think Saunders biggest hurdle is the nomination. Specifically because, like you, Democrats don't think he could be elected. Ad also because, like you, they really don't want to take a chance on losing to the republicans for many of the reasons you enumerate. They honestly don't think the nation can survive disastrous conservative policies that have wounded states like Sam Brownback's Nebraska or Wisconsin. Nor foreign policy conducted by nitwits.

What you've just enumerated here is also a reason why Saunders is getting some support. Both a realization that promises and policies of the right haven't turned out, and familiarity with the idas he espouses in real life demonstrations.
Americans have always been an insular people, little traveled per ca pita and with limited exposure to foreign media. For that reason conservative. Without exposure to new ideas, different ways of doing things, and the ability to witness things done a different way change comes slowly.
The communications revolution, the Internet has been particularly important in allowing Americans to see other experiences and other was of doing thing.
I'll use one small example. The US is the only advanced nation in the world that doesn't provide paid leave to Women who've given birth. When faced with this fact, repeatedly, at some point dissonance has to set in... Why can't the wealthiest nation in the world afford this for its families? What is so specifically different about Americans that they don't enjoy the quality of life that this benefit , and other social benefits that the French enjoy?
After a while the drum beat of denial from the right, it can't be afforded ... we need to spend more on defense and less on the poor and entitlements for the middle and working class..
After a while that starts to make less sense.
and I think that Saunders popularity as an unabashed "socialist" (is he really?) is a reflection of the change in the nation. Evidence is showing that his ideas are working for people all over the world, and evidence eventually over whelms faith.
What the polls do show is that if the election were held today, that Saunders would likely beat most republicans. And whats interesting is that Saunders really hasn't even campaigned that much, or gotten that much exposure. The one thing that Saunders isn't , that Hillary is ....calculating. Hillary calculates that the ideas Saunders is espousing won't be acceptable to the electorate. Saunders is letting the ideas stand for themselves. And promoting them.
Perhaps all he is doing is paving a way for a few of the ideas to be picked up by Clinton. But perhaps he is at the beginning of a sea change.
Acceptance of gay and lesbian marriage was, as predicted buy several on this board, never going to happen in the US. That was largely a battle of faith versus evidence. Discrimination versus acceptance. It took maybe a dozen years for the idea to win....
Maybe things like maternity leave are faced with economic foes (large businesses) that gay marriage didn't face.... but other than that socialist ideas that Saunders is offering might just enjoy an even quicker uptake when properly promoted...
And is maternity leave "socialist"? Or just a family centric policy ?


Can't even wade through this nonsense.

If you don't know the difference between "Sanders" and "Saunders" . . .

If you don't know Brownback is from Kansas, not Nebraska . . .
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 10:58 am

Fate
If you don't know Brownback is from Kansas, not Nebraska

Well, thank you for the reminder....
Its the realization of ALEC policies in places like Kansas that are making Saunders ideas more acceptable.

http://www.usnews.com/opinion/economic- ... l-disaster
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Post 29 Jul 2015, 11:34 am

rickyp wrote:Fate
If you don't know Brownback is from Kansas, not Nebraska

Well, thank you for the reminder....
Its the realization of ALEC policies in places like Kansas that are making Saunders ideas more acceptable.

http://www.usnews.com/opinion/economic- ... l-disaster


Who (in your mind) is SAUNDERS?