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Post 18 Jan 2015, 12:53 pm

That poll seems suspicious to me, as it implies at least half of the supporters of ISIS in France are not even Muslims.
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Post 18 Jan 2015, 4:25 pm

freeman
The questions in the poll you cited Ricky were of the softball variety;

I cited one poll and one entire book.
I would love to cut and paste from the book but Google won't allow it. You can use the link I provided to get to Google books and read most of it.
The book is based on a great deal of research and has numerous sources.

and yes Ray, I'm referng to Europe. You made a comment about assimilation. I don't think assimilation could mean anything but Europe.
And I agree that the problem in Africa and the Middle East is different. But it is about a clash of extremist use of a religion by parties seeking to govern.
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Post 18 Jan 2015, 4:27 pm

danivon
That poll seems suspicious to me, as it implies at least half of the supporters of ISIS in France are not even Muslim


ICM interviewed 3,007 respondents in Britain (1,000), France (1,006) and Germany (1,001) by telephone between 11th and 21st July this year, before the group released a video of an apparently British jihadist executing American journalist James Foley


Perhaps a lot of people didn't really know what ISIS was all about in July?
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Post 18 Jan 2015, 9:26 pm

A compilation of polls of Muslim attitudes/beliefs. http://www.thereligionofpeace.com/pages ... -polls.htm

This is a biased source to be sure but who else would go to the trouble of compiling this? The picture that emerges is not of general moderation/assimilation.
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Post 19 Jan 2015, 7:41 am

freeman3 wrote:A compilation of polls of Muslim attitudes/beliefs. http://www.thereligionofpeace.com/pages ... -polls.htm

This is a biased source to be sure but who else would go to the trouble of compiling this? The picture that emerges is not of general moderation/assimilation.


Wow, very scary. I thought the views of UK Muslims were particularly depressing since they are less democratic than what I expected.

BTW, the US gave the French authorities warnings on the Charlie Hebdo terrorists and the French authorities monitored them for awhile, but stopped because of resource constraint and other competing needs. This suggests that Ricky's statement:

If security forces concentrate on finding the few who become radicalized then, instances like Charlie Hebdo will be few.


is particularly off because it seems that it's more than a few who are radicalized.
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Post 19 Jan 2015, 8:07 am

Freeman3
This is a biased source to be sure


Its also really dated. Most of the polls were taken at the height of the Iraq War.

And the numbers of sympathizers in western nations, like this :
Pew Research (2011): 8% of Muslims in America believe suicide bombings are often or sometimes justified (81% never)

is in the range of the null. A certain percentage of people support anything. A certain percentage of American Christians could be found to support bombing abortion clinics if you asked them anonymously. More of an expression of their outrage against abortion than a real commitment.
I suggest that much of the response by Muslims is equally that. Outrage about whats happening to their brethern in the Iraq War ....

ray
is particularly off because it seems that it's more than a few who are radicalized.

It suggests the french intelligence screwed up. Since the closest relatives of the two shooters didn't really know their feelings or intentions, perhaps not surprising.
And, whats a few?

A couple of guys with access to automatic weapons can cause a great deal of grief. Don't we see mass shootings, without religious inspiration, on a fairly constant basis?
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Post 19 Jan 2015, 9:34 am

Ricky:
If security forces concentrate on finding the few who become radicalized then, instances like Charlie Hebdo will be few.


Ricky:
And, whats a few?


Ricky, you used the term first; why don't you frigging define what you meant instead of playing games? So what if a few innocent people die from a few terrorists who partake in a few incidents? What are you really saying? Use a few words.
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Post 19 Jan 2015, 1:40 pm

rickyp
And, whats a few?


Rayjay
Ricky, you used the term first; why don't you frigging define what you meant


Here's what i originally said about support for terrorism by Muslims in the US.
but I think the percentage of Muslims living in North America that support the Charlie Hebdo attacks are about the same percentage of Christians living in North America that support shooting abortionists


So that's my definition of a a few "supporters" in the US
In terms of potential domestic terrorists who act out like the Boston Bombers or Charlie Hebdo, there's probably half a dozen, maybe 10?

I know that sounds like a lot. To put it in perspective: In 2013 there 33 school shootings in the US. with 22 deaths. And 39 deaths from the same events in 2012.

It would seem to me that in the US, whatever motivates people to shoot up schools is at least as great a threat, perhaps greater, than that of Muslim citizens who become radicalized to the point of murder and suicide.
And from a law enforcement perspective harder to actually identify the potential perpetrators.

Islamic fanatics represent a truly great threat to the people who live in the regions where they exist in numbers and seek to , or actually do govern. In the West, the threat is real but not as substantial as many day to day threats that societies deal with, with equanimity.
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Post 19 Jan 2015, 2:23 pm

Well, US Muslims do appear to be more moderate in their views than European Muslims. On the other hand, your comparisons to school shootings is misplaced, Ricky. There are limits on casualties from school shootings as bad as they are. The limits on the damage that could be wrought by an Islamic extremist are not so clear. You really are comparing apples and oranges here.
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Post 20 Jan 2015, 7:02 am

freeman3
There are limits on casualties from school shootings as bad as they are.

What limits are those Freeman? In the US its very easy to possess an AK47 or similar weapon. In Newton 28 children were killed by one skinny man man.

My argument is that modern police and surveillance is well equipped in Europe and the US to interdict most terror threats by radicalized Muslim's. Lone wolf types are very difficult, but witness the recent terror arrests in Belgium and Across Europe. There is no genuinely popular support for radicalized Muslims in western countries among the Muslim citizens and as such they will always be marginal, thought dangerous, actors.

The major problem we face is in the Islamic world where ISIS threatens violence and instability. And where stifling forms of Islam have thrived both with western complicity (KSA) and enmity (Iran). Having to confront modern ideas and reason, will, in the long run be problematic for these regimes and for this ideology. In the short term, the radicalization of former prisoners of the Iraq war have created ISIS. And they offer a genuinely trans formative vision for their region. One that will inevitably fail but how long must the region endure?
From the Toronto Star today:

By: Richard Gwyn Columnist, Published on Mon Jan 19 2015
Here are some comments made recently about ISIS, or the Islamic State, that has so rapidly conquered large portions of the nation-states of Syria and Iraq and gained allies throughout the Middle East (and Africa) as well as among some Muslim emigrants now living in Europe and North America:
“To describe the IS as essentially backward would be mistaken … globalization and modern technology have been its cradle.”
“It is spreading a positive and powerful political messages in the Muslim world — the return of the Caliphate associated with happier and richer times.”
“Under the religious veneer and the terrorist tactics lies a political and military machine fully engaged in nation-building, seeking consensus after territorial conquests. Residents of enclaves controlled by the Caliphate affirm improvements in day-to-day living from fixing holes in roads to organizing soup kitchens.”
“The Islamic State wants to be for Muslims what Israel is for Jews, a state in their ancient land that they have reclaimed in modern times … something to be proud of.”
And:
“The most surprising development (is) in the staggeringly successful nation-building of these seemingly backward insurgents as compared with the dismal nation-building attempts of the U.S.”
These comments come from the recently published book, The Islamist Phoenix. Its author is Loretta Napoleoni, an Italian journalist (she now lives in the U.S. and in Britain) who is an expert on money laundering and the financing of terror.
Cuddled up as I am in far-away, safe Toronto, I am in no way competent to judge the accuracy of Napoleoni’s observations and conclusions. Yet I cannot help feeling she is onto something important.
I’m ready to accept that some of Napoleoni’s comments are valid in part because she herself is as shocked as anybody by the savagery of many of the Islamic State’s acts.
As in: “Refugees describe its rule as a sort of carbon copy of the Taliban regime. (It) seems engaged in a sort of religious cleansing: people must either join its creed, flee or face execution.”
(Incidentally, the German journalist Jurgen Todenhofer, who spent 10 days inside IS’s territory, reports that officials there “envisage the elimination of hundreds of millions, even billions, of people.”)
Further, Napoleoni is exceptionally shrewd in her description of the way the Islamic State exploits the fact that “fear is a much more powerful weapon of conquest than religious lectures.” As she writes, “In a voyeuristic society (the one created by the Internet and social media) … sadism, when appealingly packaged, becomes a major attraction.”
Napoleoni is trying to warn us that the Islamic State has a coherent objective and operates on the basis of a strategy that is far more sophisticated than that of any of the other crude and bloodthirsty jihadist groups.
It may be crazed. It is patently so in a great many respects. And it is itself limitlessly crude and bloodthirsty.
But it does have an overarching purpose. That purpose is to end the centuries-long humiliation of uninterrupted failure that Arabs have endured, no matter that the principal cause of their miseries has been themselves.
Transformational ideologies of this kind almost always end very badly. There was much about the French Revolution that was idealistic and enlightened. It ended in slaughter at home and endless wars abroad. The same was true for communism. It ended in political repression and economic collapse.
The same can be said about all the interventions undertaken by the U.S. and other western nations to better the conditions of Arabs by “nation-building” their states and implanting democracy in them.
Objectively, a creditable share of our intentions were good. But, again to quote Napoleoni’s comment, the outcome of all these interventions has been “dismal.” Perhaps, amid those good intentions was too much arrogance.
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Post 20 Jan 2015, 7:17 am

I found the New Yorker's commentary on Charlie Hebdo informative, and helped me understand better the nature of this kind of commentary in France. We really don't have an equivalent in the US that I'm aware of.

http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/01/19/satire-lives